Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This morning - 26 July - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> issued an <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2022/0726/2022072600077.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcement</a> it would pursue a primary listing on the HKEX.</li>
<li>When Alibaba listed in NY, it was on ADRs. When it listed in HK, it was the shares underlying the ADRs but it was a quickie secondary listing.</li>
<li>It will now seek a dual primary listing as others have. This will make BABA Southbound-eligible and will slightly improve BABA's HSI funding trade prospects in future. </li>
</ul>


This morning - 26 July - Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) / Alibaba Group (9988 HK) issued an announcement it would pursue a primary listing on the HKEX.
When Alibaba listed in NY, it was on ADRs. When it listed in HK, it was the shares underlying the ADRs but it was a quickie secondary listing.
It will now seek a dual primary listing as others have. This will make BABA Southbound-eligible and will slightly improve BABA's HSI funding trade prospects in future. 


Alibaba to Pursue Dual Primary Listing in HK - Impact on Stock Connect, Indices, Etc

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Legend Biotech Corp / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US)</a>, a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Hong Kong-listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genscript-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21041:1" rel="noopener">Genscript Biotech (1548 HK)</a>, is planning to raise up to US$250m in its follow-on offering.</li>
<li>The company last raised cash in Dec 2021 in a similar sized deal, which ended up doing very well after a sharp share price correction.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US), a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Hong Kong-listed Genscript Biotech (1548 HK), is planning to raise up to US$250m in its follow-on offering.
The company last raised cash in Dec 2021 in a similar sized deal, which ended up doing very well after a sharp share price correction.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and  run the deal through our ECM framework.


Legend Biotech Follow-On - A Little Opportunistic. Last Deal Did Well, After a Large Correction

<ul>
<li>Onewo Space-Tech (OST) aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Onewo Space-Tech (OST) aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK).
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, amongst the residential community service providers in China, OST ranked first. It also ranked first in the commercial space integrated services market in China.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the Largest and Still Growing Fast

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> currently has a Secondary Listing in Hong Kong and is looking to become dual primary listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.</li>
<li>The main change will be inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program where mainland investors will be able to buy the stock.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> is capped at 8% in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and is close to 8% of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a>, there will be negligible impact on the dividend futures.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group (9988 HK) currently has a Secondary Listing in Hong Kong and is looking to become dual primary listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
The main change will be inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program where mainland investors will be able to buy the stock.

Alibaba Group (9988 HK) is capped at 8% in the HSCEI INDEX and is close to 8% of the HSI INDEX, there will be negligible impact on the dividend futures.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing Implications

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover two quarters later.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s stock price fell from HK$300 in October 2020 to HK$100 today.</li>
<li>We believe Alibaba has at least an upside of 43%.</li>
</ul>


We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover two quarters later.
Alibaba’s stock price fell from HK$300 in October 2020 to HK$100 today.
We believe Alibaba has at least an upside of 43%.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Lowest Growth, Will Recover in December Quarter, Buy

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Alibaba to Pursue Dual Primary Listing in HK - Impact on Stock Connect, Indices, Etc

Alibaba this morning announced it will seek a Dual Primary Listing on the HKEX. This makes PCAOB-induced US exit easier, and will make the stock...

Travis Lundy

Legend Biotech Follow-On - A Little Opportunistic. Last Deal Did Well, After a Large Correction

Legend Biotech Corp (LEGN US), a non-wholly owned subsidiary of Hong Kong-listed Genscript Biotech (1548 HK), is planning to raise up to US$250m in...

Sumeet Singh

Onewo Space-Tech Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the Largest and Still Growing Fast

Onewo Space-Tech aims to raise around US$2bn in its Hong Kong IPO. OST is a property management service provider primarily owned by China Vanke Co...

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing Implications

Alibaba is looking to change its HK listing from Secondary to Dual Primary. This will make the stock eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. A...

Brian Freitas

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Lowest Growth, Will Recover in December Quarter, Buy

We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover this year. The stock price fell from HK$300 to...

Ming Lu

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