Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in September. However, there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$31.1bn (US$4bn). There is plenty to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in September. However, there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$31.1bn (US$4bn). There is plenty to buy in Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), BYD (1211 HK) and Meituan (3690 HK). 
Short interest is elevated in some of the stocks with large flows and shorts could be active in the stocks over the next couple of weeks.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$4bn Trade

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta, Geely Automobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

<ul>
<li>There will be 3 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII Index) at the September rebalance. </li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 10.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.4bn (US$818m). There are a bunch of stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There is a huge FAF increase for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics</a> and that will bring passive buying from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> trackers too. The stock is being added to a global index on Tuesday.</li>
</ul>


There will be 3 changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; Information Technology Index (HSIII Index) at the September rebalance. 
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 10.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.4bn (US$818m). There are a bunch of stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade.
There is a huge FAF increase for Horizon Robotics and that will bring passive buying from the HSTECH trackers too. The stock is being added to a global index on Tuesday.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: 3 Changes; Big FAF Increase for Horizon Robotics

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The growth rate of GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) rose to 18% YoY in 2Q25 from 15% YoY in 1Q25.</li>
<li>The operating margin improved to 13% in 2Q25 from 11% in 2Q24 so that operating profit increased by 35% YoY in 2Q25.</li>
<li>We conclude an stock upside of 91% for the next twelve months. Buy.</li>
</ul>


The growth rate of GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) rose to 18% YoY in 2Q25 from 15% YoY in 1Q25.
The operating margin improved to 13% in 2Q25 from 11% in 2Q24 so that operating profit increased by 35% YoY in 2Q25.
We conclude an stock upside of 91% for the next twelve months. Buy.


KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 2Q25, Op Profit Up by 35% YoY, 91% Upside

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Float/Capping Changes Lead to US$4bn Trade

No constituent changes, but some large FAF/capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 6.3% and round-trip trade is US$4bn. Large inflows for...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF, China Hongqiao, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, TraHK HSI ETF,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 22nd): China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto, Anta

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for China Life, Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, AIA, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: 3 Changes; Big FAF Increase for Horizon Robotics

There are 3 changes for the HSIII in Sep. Big FAF increase for Horizon Robotics - a lot to trade in the stock over the next 2 weeks. Estimated 1...

Brian Freitas

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 2Q25, Op Profit Up by 35% YoY, 91% Upside

The growth rate of GMV rose to 18% YoY in 2Q25 from 15% YoY in 1Q25. The operating margin improved to 13% in 2Q25 from 11% in 2Q24. We conclude an...

Ming Lu

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