Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 1/2 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> in March. Then there will be more changes as large Chinese companies list H-shares on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX</a>.</li>
<li>Fast Entries and regular inclusion of newly listed H-shares will change the characteristics of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">FXI</a> and there could be further deviations from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>That will provide opportunities for index rebalance traders as well as volatility traders that are active on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> options.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1/2 changes to the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in March. Then there will be more changes as large Chinese companies list H-shares on the HKEX.
Fast Entries and regular inclusion of newly listed H-shares will change the characteristics of the FXI and there could be further deviations from the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX). 
That will provide opportunities for index rebalance traders as well as volatility traders that are active on the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) options.


FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>December numbers from Taiwanese carriers suggest balanced air freight market conditions</li>
<li>Cathay, SIA, &amp; three Chinese carriers reported solid volume growth, but low load factors</li>
<li>A range of leading air cargo hubs disclosed moderating volume growth in December</li>
</ul>


December numbers from Taiwanese carriers suggest balanced air freight market conditions
Cathay, SIA, &amp; three Chinese carriers reported solid volume growth, but low load factors
A range of leading air cargo hubs disclosed moderating volume growth in December


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Inaugural Edition | Low Cargo Load Factors and Moderating Demand Growth

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO.
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Outpaced by Rivals

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC hit a record high average fund allocation of 9.07% at the end of last year, yet EM funds switched to a sizeable underweight of -1.47% throughout the year.</li>
<li>Active UCITS funds become forced sellers as weights hit 10%, with non-UCITS selling in to strength as weights rise on strong performance.</li>
<li>EM Value funds maintain an overweight in Alibaba, the only Style group to do so. Alibaba is now the most widely held stock for Value funds alongside TSMC and Samsung.</li>
</ul>


TSMC hit a record high average fund allocation of 9.07% at the end of last year, yet EM funds switched to a sizeable underweight of -1.47% throughout the year.
Active UCITS funds become forced sellers as weights hit 10%, with non-UCITS selling in to strength as weights rise on strong performance.
EM Value funds maintain an overweight in Alibaba, the only Style group to do so. Alibaba is now the most widely held stock for Value funds alongside TSMC and Samsung.


TSMC Forced Underweight, Alibaba Value Trap?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Ather is a pure play electric vehicle company in India designing and developing E2Ws, battery packs, charging infrastructure, associated software and accessories, also manufacturing battery packs and assembling E2Ws in-house.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the E2W Pioneers

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake

There could be many constituent changes to the FXI this year. That will alter the returns, volatility and drawdown of the ETF and open up trading...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Inaugural Edition | Low Cargo Load Factors and Moderating Demand Growth

Air cargo demand growth appears to be moderating, and most carriers reported low (sub-70%) load factors in December. In short, we see few signs of...

Tracking Traffic

Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Outpaced by Rivals

Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

TSMC Forced Underweight, Alibaba Value Trap?

TSMC sees record high fund allocation, but EM funds hit limits and are forced to sell. Alibaba moved to the most widely held stocks among EM Value...

Steven Holden

Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the E2W Pioneers

Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

FXI ETF: Potential Changes in the Year of the Snake

There could be many constituent changes to the FXI this year. That will alter the returns, volatility and drawdown of the ETF and open up trading...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Inaugural Edition | Low Cargo Load Factors and Moderating Demand Growth

Air cargo demand growth appears to be moderating, and most carriers reported low (sub-70%) load factors in December. In short, we see few signs of...

Tracking Traffic

Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Outpaced by Rivals

Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

TSMC Forced Underweight, Alibaba Value Trap?

​TSMC sees record high fund allocation, but EM funds hit limits and are forced to sell. Alibaba moved to the most widely held stocks among EM Value...

Steven Holden

Ather Energy Pre-IPO - The Positives - One of the E2W Pioneers

Ather Energy is looking to raise about US$536m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

TSMC sees record high fund allocation, but EM funds hit limits and are forced to sell. Alibaba moved to the most widely held stocks among EM Value...