Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite a few pockets of improved demand, key Transpacific trade remains weak</li>
<li>Most carriers reported low (48% - 68%) but stable cargo load factors in August</li>
<li>For carriers, still lots of empty space to sell; macro view shows no "snap-back"</li>
</ul>


Despite a few pockets of improved demand, key Transpacific trade remains weak
Most carriers reported low (48% - 68%) but stable cargo load factors in August
For carriers, still lots of empty space to sell; macro view shows no "snap-back"


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.
Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Some Changes to Expectation; Three Weeks to Base Date

<ul>
<li>Even before US tariff and <em>de minimis</em> changes, Asian air cargo conditions had turned weaker</li>
<li>Carrier load factors were up seasonally in March, but down Y/Y, and remain quite low</li>
<li>Data from Taiwanese carriers suggests shift away from Transpacific to short-haul routes</li>
</ul>


Even before US tariff and de minimis changes, Asian air cargo conditions had turned weaker
Carrier load factors were up seasonally in March, but down Y/Y, and remain quite low
Data from Taiwanese carriers suggests shift away from Transpacific to short-haul routes


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Even Before US Tariff Chaos, Conditions Had Turned Weaker (May 2025)

<ul>
<li>January air cargo activity moderated; timing of LNY holiday also made for tough comps</li>
<li>January Int'l air cargo tons at US gateways grew far less than inbound (ocean) TEUs</li>
<li>Data from Asian carriers &amp; US gateways indicates low utilization, softening growth</li>
</ul>


January air cargo activity moderated; timing of LNY holiday also made for tough comps
January Int'l air cargo tons at US gateways grew far less than inbound (ocean) TEUs
Data from Asian carriers &amp; US gateways indicates low utilization, softening growth


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | January: Soft Demand, Low LFs | Ocean Growth > Air Growth (March 2025)

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the March 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.</li>
<li>We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the March 2025 rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
Today is the base date for the March 2025 index rebal event and the expected ADDs/DELs discussed in this insight are our final index change expectations.
We expect one change for T50 and two changes for T100 index for the March 2025 rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar25: Final Expectations; Tung Ho Steel Safe from TDIV Deletion

Taiwan

EVA Airways Corp. is an air carrier that transports passengers and cargos. The Company operates primarily in Taiwan and serves international route networks in North America, Asia, Europe, and Australasia.

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Eva Airways (2618 TT)

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

August air cargo data from a range of carriers and cargo gateways around the Pacific Rim show uneven demand, but still-low utilization and weak...

Tracking Traffic

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Some Changes to Expectation; Three Weeks to Base Date

After the June 2025 index review, we expect an intra-review index change to be triggered by the completion of the Taishin-Shin Kong merger in late...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Even Before US Tariff Chaos, Conditions Had Turned Weaker (May 2025)

Even before US tariff increases and the end of the de minimis exemption, conditions in the Transpacific air cargo market were clearly turning weaker.

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | January: Soft Demand, Low LFs | Ocean Growth > Air Growth (March 2025)

Air cargo demand in January 2025 softened, although some of this may be attributed to timing of the LNY holiday. Air cargo utilization is low (and...

Tracking Traffic

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Mar25: Final Expectations; Tung Ho Steel Safe from TDIV Deletion

TDIV member Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) was previously close to T100 deletion and TDIV deletion but based on the current data, the stock might be safe...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

August air cargo data from a range of carriers and cargo gateways around the Pacific Rim show uneven demand, but still-low utilization and weak...

Tracking Traffic

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Some Changes to Expectation; Three Weeks to Base Date

After the June 2025 index review, we expect an intra-review index change to be triggered by the completion of the Taishin-Shin Kong merger in late...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | Even Before US Tariff Chaos, Conditions Had Turned Weaker (May 2025)

Even before US tariff increases and the end of the de minimis exemption, conditions in the Transpacific air cargo market were clearly turning weaker.

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | January: Soft Demand, Low LFs | Ocean Growth > Air Growth (March 2025)

Air cargo demand in January 2025 softened, although some of this may be attributed to timing of the LNY holiday. Air cargo utilization is low (and...

Tracking Traffic

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Mar25: Final Expectations; Tung Ho Steel Safe from TDIV Deletion

TDIV member Tung Ho Steel (2006 TT) was previously close to T100 deletion and TDIV deletion but based on the current data, the stock might be safe...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Some Changes to Expectation; Three Weeks to Base Date

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Mar25: Final Expectations; Tung Ho Steel Safe from TDIV Deletion