ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This week we look at Lazada's swing into profit in July 2024, Bukalapak's profit reversal, and PropertyGuru's impending delisting, with a takeover from a Swedish Investor. </li>
<li>We also look at the Southeast Asian coffee market and Kopi Kenanagan's move into the mass market and overseas to Malaysia and Singapore. </li>
<li>CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


This week we look at Lazada's swing into profit in July 2024, Bukalapak's profit reversal, and PropertyGuru's impending delisting, with a takeover from a Swedish Investor. 
We also look at the Southeast Asian coffee market and Kopi Kenanagan's move into the mass market and overseas to Malaysia and Singapore. 
CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.


CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Lazada's Profitable, Bukalapak's Loss, PropertyGuru, and SEA Coffee

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN).
Ant Group had earlier sold some of its stake in Nov 2023 and Mar 2024, with the deals producing a mixed bag result.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China Literature’s revenue increased by 28% YoY in 1H24, because four novel copyrights for movies brought box office hits.</li>
<li>KE revenue increased by 20% YoY in 2Q24 compared with a 19% YoY decrease in 1Q24, as government policies supported existing home transaction.</li>
<li>Alibaba announced that it will recruit 1,000 fresh graduates for tech positions in 2025.</li>
</ul>


China Literature’s revenue increased by 28% YoY in 1H24, because four novel copyrights for movies brought box office hits.
KE revenue increased by 20% YoY in 2Q24 compared with a 19% YoY decrease in 1Q24, as government policies supported existing home transaction.
Alibaba announced that it will recruit 1,000 fresh graduates for tech positions in 2025.


China Consumption Weekly (19Aug2024): China Literature, BEKE, Alibaba, JD, JD Health, Tencent Music

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees</a> contiued along <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a>'s path, ensuring that India's ECM wave will continue, for now.</li>
<li>Once again there was only one placement this week, that too in India, just like the week before.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, BrainBees contiued along Ola Electric's path, ensuring that India's ECM wave will continue, for now.
Once again there was only one placement this week, that too in India, just like the week before.


ECM Weekly (19th Aug 2024) - Midea, China Res, WeRide, FirstCry, ACME, Gadgil, 99 Speed, Hind Zinc

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the close on 6 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.5bn. Passives need to buy over 7x ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Positioning appears light in both stocks. Expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> to move up and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a> to move lower near-term.</li>
</ul>


As expected, ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) will replace Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the close on 6 September.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 3.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$6.5bn. Passives need to buy over 7x ADV in ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK). 
Positioning appears light in both stocks. Expect ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) to move up and Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) to move lower near-term.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: ASMPT (522 HK) Replaces Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK)

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Lazada's Profitable, Bukalapak's Loss, PropertyGuru, and SEA Coffee

This week we look at Lazada's swing into profit in July 2024, Bukalapak's profit reversal, and PropertyGuru's impending delisting, with a takeover...

Angus Mackintosh

China Consumption Weekly (19Aug2024): China Literature, BEKE, Alibaba, JD, JD Health, Tencent Music

China Literature’s revenue increased by 28% YoY in 1H24. KE revenue increased by 20% YoY in 2Q24. Alibaba announced that it will recruit 1,000...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (19th Aug 2024) - Midea, China Res, WeRide, FirstCry, ACME, Gadgil, 99 Speed, Hind Zinc

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance: ASMPT (522 HK) Replaces Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK)

ASMPT will replace Ping An Healthcare in the HSTECH at the close on 6 Sep. Changes were expected but positioning appears light. With 6.5% of float...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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CrossASEAN Ground Zero - Lazada's Profitable, Bukalapak's Loss, PropertyGuru, and SEA Coffee

This week we look at Lazada's swing into profit in July 2024, Bukalapak's profit reversal, and PropertyGuru's impending delisting, with a takeover...

Angus Mackintosh

Zomato Placement - Momentum Is Very Strong, past Ant Related Deals Have Been Mixed

AntFin is looking to raise around US$400m by selling around 2% of Zomato (ZOMATO IN). Past selldown's by AntFin have produced mixed results.

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (19Aug2024): China Literature, BEKE, Alibaba, JD, JD Health, Tencent Music

China Literature’s revenue increased by 28% YoY in 1H24. KE revenue increased by 20% YoY in 2Q24. Alibaba announced that it will recruit 1,000...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (19th Aug 2024) - Midea, China Res, WeRide, FirstCry, ACME, Gadgil, 99 Speed, Hind Zinc

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index Rebalance: ASMPT (522 HK) Replaces Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK)

ASMPT will replace Ping An Healthcare in the HSTECH at the close on 6 Sep. Changes were expected but positioning appears light. With 6.5% of float...

Brian Freitas