External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alibaba reported 1QFY25 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB243.2bn, up 3.9% YoY, 2.6% shy of Bloomberg consensus due to reduction of certain direct sales business and softer-than-expected customer management revenue (CMR) growth, while adjusted EBITA/non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB45.0bn/40.3bn, both of which were 6% better than consensus, driven by better-than-expected operating efficiency improvement across nearly all major segments.</li><li>The results demonstrated Alibaba’s capability in driving for operating efficiency improvement across business segment, in our view, and management has illustrated a clear path to drive for monetization improvement of Taobao &amp; Tmall (T&amp;T) Group in the coming quarters.</li><li>Key strategic growth areas such as Cloud Intelligence Group (CIG) and Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group (AIDC) are on track to support Alibaba’s long-term revenue and earnings growth, and the potential dual primary listing in Hong Kong and inclusion into Stock Connect could drive rerating for valuation, in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba reported 1QFY25 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB243.2bn, up 3.9% YoY, 2.6% shy of Bloomberg consensus due to reduction of certain direct sales business and softer-than-expected customer management revenue (CMR) growth, while adjusted EBITA/non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB45.0bn/40.3bn, both of which were 6% better than consensus, driven by better-than-expected operating efficiency improvement across nearly all major segments.The results demonstrated Alibaba’s capability in driving for operating efficiency improvement across business segment, in our view, and management has illustrated a clear path to drive for monetization improvement of Taobao &amp; Tmall (T&amp;T) Group in the coming quarters.Key strategic growth areas such as Cloud Intelligence Group (CIG) and Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group (AIDC) are on track to support Alibaba’s long-term revenue and earnings growth, and the potential dual primary listing in Hong Kong and inclusion into Stock Connect could drive rerating for valuation, in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) - Driving for Monetization Improvement While Maintaining Stabilizing Market Share

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

<ul><li>Alibaba reported 4QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB221.9bn, up 6.6% YoY, and non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB25.3bn, down 9.4% YoY, owing to investment to drive user experience improvement and GMV growth of domestic business, as well as international business expansion.</li><li>For FY24, total revenue reached RMB941.2bn, up 8.3% YoY, and non-GAAP net income was RMB158.4bn, up 10% YoY.</li><li>Management highlighted solid progress regarding its investment to support market share gains of core business, with Taobao &amp; Tmall (T&amp;T) Group GMV grew double digits YoY, international commerce retail revenue grew 56% YoY, and AI-related cloud revenue grew triple digits YoY in 4QFY24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba reported 4QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB221.9bn, up 6.6% YoY, and non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB25.3bn, down 9.4% YoY, owing to investment to drive user experience improvement and GMV growth of domestic business, as well as international business expansion.For FY24, total revenue reached RMB941.2bn, up 8.3% YoY, and non-GAAP net income was RMB158.4bn, up 10% YoY.Management highlighted solid progress regarding its investment to support market share gains of core business, with Taobao &amp; Tmall (T&amp;T) Group GMV grew double digits YoY, international commerce retail revenue grew 56% YoY, and AI-related cloud revenue grew triple digits YoY in 4QFY24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) - Business Adjustment Shows Greater Visibility in Delivering Results

<ul><li>We expect Alibaba to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth for 4QFY24.</li><li>Although escalated investment in international business, cloud, and Taobao and Tmall (T&amp;T) Group, as well as strategically important new businesses is likely to put some short-term pressure on margin expansion, we remain positive on Alibaba’s long-term growth potential.</li><li>Alibaba remains committed to improving shareholder return by achieving loss reduction in non-core business, and enhancing share buyback and dividend payout, which in our view should provide support for near-term valuation. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Alibaba to deliver in-line-with-consensus revenue growth for 4QFY24.Although escalated investment in international business, cloud, and Taobao and Tmall (T&amp;T) Group, as well as strategically important new businesses is likely to put some short-term pressure on margin expansion, we remain positive on Alibaba’s long-term growth potential.Alibaba remains committed to improving shareholder return by achieving loss reduction in non-core business, and enhancing share buyback and dividend payout, which in our view should provide support for near-term valuation. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) - Driving Long-Term Growth While Enhancing Shareholder Return

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) - Business Adjustment Shows Greater Visibility in Delivering Results

Alibaba reported 4QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB221.9bn, up 6.6% YoY, and non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB25.3bn,...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) - Driving Long-Term Growth While Enhancing Shareholder Return

Alibaba remains committed to improving shareholder return by achieving loss reduction in non-core business, and enhancing share buyback and...

CMB International

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US) - Driving for Monetization Improvement While Maintaining Stabilizing Market Share

Our SOTP based target price was lifted by 1.5% to US$126.9 driven by potentially better monetization outlook from CMR business. Maintain BUY.

CMB International

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) - Business Adjustment Shows Greater Visibility in Delivering Results

Alibaba reported 4QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB221.9bn, up 6.6% YoY, and non-GAAP net income for the quarter was RMB25.3bn,...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) - Driving Long-Term Growth While Enhancing Shareholder Return

Alibaba remains committed to improving shareholder return by achieving loss reduction in non-core business, and enhancing share buyback and...

CMB International

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International