Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The largest potential inbound cross-border M&amp;A in years - for a national champion no less - gets a lot of press coverage. </li>
<li>This morning, a Nikkei <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Seven-i-s-proposed-buyout-to-require-preapproval-by-Japan" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> noted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> was likely to need "prior approval" from Japanese regulatory authorities for its takeover "the Nikkei has learned."</li>
<li>It wasn't difficult for the Nikkei to learn that. METI publishes a FEFTA List. 7&amp;i has been on it for years as Type II Designated Business, requiring prior approval.</li>
</ul>


The largest potential inbound cross-border M&amp;A in years - for a national champion no less - gets a lot of press coverage. 
This morning, a Nikkei article noted Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) was likely to need "prior approval" from Japanese regulatory authorities for its takeover "the Nikkei has learned."
It wasn't difficult for the Nikkei to learn that. METI publishes a FEFTA List. 7&amp;i has been on it for years as Type II Designated Business, requiring prior approval.


Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I (3382) - FEFTA and Economic Security

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>It was reported yesterday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> has put forward a bold proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The offer price remains undisclosed, but the market may be anticipating a significant premium based on the share price movement following the news.</li>
<li>However, we believe the offer price could fall short of market expectations, and it is likely that Seven &amp; i will reject the proposal.</li>
</ul>


It was reported yesterday that Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) has put forward a bold proposal to acquire Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).
The offer price remains undisclosed, but the market may be anticipating a significant premium based on the share price movement following the news.
However, we believe the offer price could fall short of market expectations, and it is likely that Seven &amp; i will reject the proposal.


Couche-Tard Targets Seven & I: Seven & I's Pride on the Line

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> shares rose 22.7% as it confirmed media reports that it had received a confidential, non-binding preliminary proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a>. </li>
<li>The interest is unsurprising due to the weak share price performance. Since ValueAct’s open letter on 25 January 2022, the shares are up 5.2% vs. the Nikkei 225 up 38.0%.</li>
<li>Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging as it requires support from the founder’s family and the Japanese government. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low.  </li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) shares rose 22.7% as it confirmed media reports that it had received a confidential, non-binding preliminary proposal from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN). 
The interest is unsurprising due to the weak share price performance. Since ValueAct’s open letter on 25 January 2022, the shares are up 5.2% vs. the Nikkei 225 up 38.0%.
Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging as it requires support from the founder’s family and the Japanese government. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low.  


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

Alimentation Couche-Tard  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.</li><li>The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.</li><li>ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Investors should ignore the news around restructuring....it's nice but basically irrelevant</li>
<li>The long-term valuation proposition is driven by the core convenience store businesses in the US and Japan</li>
<li>Unlike Walmart, we think 7&amp;I should have a good quarter in the US and beat analyst expectations for Q1</li>
</ul>


Investors should ignore the news around restructuring....it's nice but basically irrelevant
The long-term valuation proposition is driven by the core convenience store businesses in the US and Japan
Unlike Walmart, we think 7&amp;I should have a good quarter in the US and beat analyst expectations for Q1


Seven & I (3382) | So What if Walmart Missed

Canada

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. owns and operates convenience store. The Company offers a wide range of merchandise, including coffee, snacks, beverages, grocery products, beer and wine, and lottery tickets, as well as fuel and other services. Alimentation Couche-Tard serves customers globally.

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Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)

Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I (3382) - FEFTA and Economic Security

The ATD bid for 7&i is subject to Prior Notification under FEFTA. This is not news, or special. It is and was known. But I expect that price is far...

Travis Lundy

Couche-Tard Targets Seven & I: Seven & I's Pride on the Line

Alimentation Couche-Tard makes bold proposal to acquire Seven & I Holdings, but offer price may fall short of market expectations.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging to achieve. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low. Nevertheless,...

Arun George

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Seven & I (3382) | So What if Walmart Missed

We expect the core Convenience business in the US and Japan to perform strongly. This is the key driver of valuations. We expect Q1 results to...

Mark Chadwick

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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Couche-Tard Bid for 7&I (3382) - FEFTA and Economic Security

The ATD bid for 7&i is subject to Prior Notification under FEFTA. This is not news, or special. It is and was known. But I expect that price is far...

Travis Lundy

Couche-Tard Targets Seven & I: Seven & I's Pride on the Line

​Alimentation Couche-Tard makes bold proposal to acquire Seven & I Holdings, but offer price may fall short of market expectations.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Couche-Tard “friendly” Proposal Likely to Go Nowhere

Couche-Tard aims for a friendly offer, which is challenging to achieve. Therefore, the probability of a binding proposal is low. Nevertheless,...

Arun George

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Seven & I (3382) | So What if Walmart Missed

We expect the core Convenience business in the US and Japan to perform strongly. This is the key driver of valuations. We expect Q1 results to...

Mark Chadwick

Alimentation Couche-Tard makes bold proposal to acquire Seven & I Holdings, but offer price may fall short of market expectations.