IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Dongzheng Automotive Finance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.</li>
<li>The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. </li>
<li>At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



SAIC Motor (600104 CH) completed the auction procedures for acquiring a 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). This will trigger an unconditional MGO at HK$1.2430 per H Share.
The offeror and Dongzheng are required to issue the composite document on or before 11 August jointly. However, an application has been made to the Executive to extend the deadline. 
At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.


SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

<ul>
<li>The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.</li>
<li>The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a>’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.</li>
<li>At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The potential MGO price is HK$1.2430 per H Share vs Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)’s previously noted HK$1.294 per H Share due to the change in RMB/HK$ rates.
The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. Approvals have low risk as the SAIC Motor (600104 CH)’s controlling shareholder is owned by the Shanghai SASAC.
At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 5.3% and 12.7%, respectively.


Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

<ul>
<li>On 19 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor (600104 CH)</a> emerged as the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.</li>
<li>Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. </li>
</ul>


On 19 May, SAIC Motor (600104 CH) emerged as the successful bidder for China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK).
As SAIC will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294 per H Share.
Dongzheng shares remain in a trading halt. The equity interest will transfer to SAIC and the MGO launched when the Shanghai Financial Court issues an auction sale judgment. 


SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

<ul>
<li>On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court <a href="https://paimai.jd.com/287421325" target="_blank" rel="noopener">published</a> the details for the auction of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-zhengtong-auto-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17001:1" rel="noopener">China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)</a>’s 71.04% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.</li>
<li>The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.</li>
</ul>


On 16 April, the Shanghai Financial Court published the details for the auction of China Zhengtong Auto Services Hldg (1728 HK)’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK). 
If the auction is successful and results in any person and a group of persons acting in concert holding 30%+ of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO.
The base bid implies an MGO price of HK$1.294 per H Share, a 112.1% premium to the last close. The auction will be held from 18 May to 19 May.


Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Financial Select Sector SPDR F / Technical Analysis

<p>We continue to see a steady flow of risk-on signals that have us moving toward an outright bullish outlook for the broad US equity market. Below we discuss several bullish developments that leads us to believe we are close to exiting the "mixed market environment" that we have referenced since late March.</p><p>Charts highlighted: XLF, KBE, Copper, US Dollar, IWD, XLY, Bitcoin, S&amp;P 500, APO, LPLA, ARCC, JHG, KKR, ALLY, CACC, OMF, CIT, WD, GATX, LC, CODI, WRLD, ATLC, BCPC, TROX, ASPN, ASIX, LXU, HWKN, MOS, CF, ICL, SQM, UAN, IPI</p>

We continue to see a steady flow of risk-on signals that have us moving toward an outright bullish outlook for the broad US equity market. Below we discuss several bullish developments that leads us to believe we are close to exiting the "mixed market environment" that we have referenced since late March.Charts highlighted: XLF, KBE, Copper, US Dollar, IWD, XLY, Bitcoin, S&amp;P 500, APO, LPLA, ARCC, JHG, KKR, ALLY, CACC, OMF, CIT, WD, GATX, LC, CODI, WRLD, ATLC, BCPC, TROX, ASPN, ASIX, LXU, HWKN, MOS, CF, ICL, SQM, UAN, IPI

Upgrading Financials To Overweight; Downgrading Communications To Market Weight

United States

Ally Financial Inc. is a automotive financial services company powered by a direct banking franchise. The Company operates as a financial holding company.

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Ally Financial (ALLY US)

SAIC Completes Dongzheng Stake Acquisition, Unconditional MGO

At last close and for an end of September completion, the gross and annualised spread to the MGO price is 3.6% and 20.9%, respectively.

Arun George

Dongzheng’s Potential MGO Price from SAIC at HK$1.2430

The completion procedures for the auction will take place within six months. At the last close and for a 1 November completion, the annualised...

Arun George

SAIC Wins the Auction for the 71.04% Stake in Dongzheng, MGO Upcoming

SAIC, the successful bidder, will hold 30%+ of the voting rights, requiring an MGO at a price not less than the auction price of HK$1.294. Shares...

Arun George

Auction of China ZhengTong’s Dongzheng Stake Set for 18 May; Potential MGO

The auction of China Zhengtong’s 71.04% stake in Dongzheng will be held from 18 to 19 May. A successful auction will imply an MGO price (at the...

Arun George

Upgrading Financials To Overweight; Downgrading Communications To Market Weight

We are upgrading Financials to overweight; Financial Sector ETFs (XLF, RYF), banks (KBE, KRE), and insurance stocks (KIE) are all breaking out to...

Vermilion Research

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