HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Cathay Pacific Airways / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX's capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. </li>
<li>YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  </li>
</ul>


With more foreign countries being granted visa-free visits to China, Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) will benefit from more transfer traffic via Hong Kong.
Recovery is decent with passenger traffic rising 37.5% in 5M24. CX's capacity already returned to 80% of pre-pandemic in 2Q24, and this will reach 100% in 1Q25. 
YTD, CX is still a laggard relative to many global airlines. Its P/B valuation is not stretched at 0.8x, given ROE of 11% over the next 3 years.  


Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tbo-tek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36284:1" rel="noopener">TBO Tek (0395045D IN)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.
TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and undertake a peer comparison.


TBO Tek Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cirrus-aircraft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39858:1" rel="noopener">Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.</li>
<li>We had covered the company’s performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO.
Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
We had covered the company’s performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about its PHIP updates.


Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Increased Customer Demand Continues to Drive Growth

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The number of weekly flights between China and the U.S. will increase again next month, sparking hopes that more supply will put downward pressure on sky-high ticket prices.</li><li>But industry insiders warned that the cost of a ticket won’t drop significantly anytime soon, as low travel demand means American airlines are taking a “cautious” approach to resuming operations.</li><li>From Nov. 9, Chinese carriers will be able to operate 35 weekly round-trips to the U.S., according to a U.S. Department of Transportation order issued Friday. </li></ul>

The number of weekly flights between China and the U.S. will increase again next month, sparking hopes that more supply will put downward pressure on sky-high ticket prices.But industry insiders warned that the cost of a ticket won’t drop significantly anytime soon, as low travel demand means American airlines are taking a “cautious” approach to resuming operations.From Nov. 9, Chinese carriers will be able to operate 35 weekly round-trips to the U.S., according to a U.S. Department of Transportation order issued Friday. 

More China-U.S. Flights Unlikely to Bring Down High Ticket Prices 

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cirrus-aircraft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39858:1" rel="noopener">Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US)</a> is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.</li>
<li>CA has managed to grow its profitability steadily over the track record period. However, the firm is subjected to heightened regulatory risks as US and China tensions rise.</li>
</ul>



Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
CA has managed to grow its profitability steadily over the track record period. However, the firm is subjected to heightened regulatory risks as US and China tensions rise.


Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

United States

American Airlines Group Inc. operates an airline that provides scheduled passenger, freight, and mail service throughout North America, the Caribbean, Latin America, Europe, and the Pacific.  The Company also provides connecting service throughout the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

American Airlines Group (AAL US)

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TBO Tek Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and...

Ethan Aw

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Increased Customer Demand Continues to Drive Growth

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. We had covered the company’s performance in our earlier...

Ethan Aw

More China-U.S. Flights Unlikely to Bring Down High Ticket Prices

The number of weekly flights between China and the U. S. will increase again next month, sparking hopes that more supply will put downward...

Caixin Global

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. CA has grown its profitability steadily over the track...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Multiple Positive Developments

​As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...

Osbert Tang, CFA

TBO Tek Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and...

Ethan Aw

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Increased Customer Demand Continues to Drive Growth

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. We had covered the company’s performance in our earlier...

Ethan Aw

More China-U.S. Flights Unlikely to Bring Down High Ticket Prices

The number of weekly flights between China and the U. S. will increase again next month, sparking hopes that more supply will put downward...

Caixin Global

Cirrus Aircraft Pre-IPO - Has Grown Steadily but Faces Prominent Regulatory Risks

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. CA has grown its profitability steadily over the track...

Ethan Aw

As more countries gain visa-free access to China, CX will benefit from increased transfer traffic. CX's recovery is on track with passenger...