Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ANTAM’s Q1 2025 EBITDA surged over 250% YoY, supported by strong gold and nickel sales and improved cost efficiencies.</li>
<li>Plans include new RKEF and HPAL plants in East Halmahera, targeting growth in battery-grade nickel output.</li>
<li>Despite a recent rally, ANTAM trades at just 7x forward P/E—well below regional peers—while its strong cash balance of IDR 462 per share offers downside support, stock is attractively valued.</li>
</ul>


ANTAM’s Q1 2025 EBITDA surged over 250% YoY, supported by strong gold and nickel sales and improved cost efficiencies.
Plans include new RKEF and HPAL plants in East Halmahera, targeting growth in battery-grade nickel output.
Despite a recent rally, ANTAM trades at just 7x forward P/E—well below regional peers—while its strong cash balance of IDR 462 per share offers downside support, stock is attractively valued.


ANTAM (IDX: ANTM): Operational Momentum, Expansion Ahead, Valuation Still Attractive

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Countries across the ASEAN region continue to invest on developing their respective EV markets with governments introducing new initiatives and offering further incentives.</li>
<li>The price war among Chinese EV players has escalated in recent month, causing pressure on non-Chinese players. European and Japanese EV makers are increasingly looking at ASEAN for cost advantage.</li>
<li>The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


Countries across the ASEAN region continue to invest on developing their respective EV markets with governments introducing new initiatives and offering further incentives.
The price war among Chinese EV players has escalated in recent month, causing pressure on non-Chinese players. European and Japanese EV makers are increasingly looking at ASEAN for cost advantage.
The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Initiatives to Build a Regional EV Ecosystem Continues

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Merdeka Battery Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA IJ)</a> was listed on 18th Apr 2023, when it raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. Its eight-month lockup will expire on 11th Dec 2023.</li>
<li>MBMA owns one of the world’s largest nickel mines in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA IJ) was listed on 18th Apr 2023, when it raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. Its eight-month lockup will expire on 11th Dec 2023.
MBMA owns one of the world’s largest nickel mines in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine. 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Merdeka Battery Materials Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry, Some Have Sold Beforehand

<ul>
<li>EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.</li>
<li>However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.</li>
<li>The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.</li>
</ul>


EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets including the US, the Europe and China due to higher ASPs and lack of logistics, maintenance and repair.
However, there has been a rapid growth in EV related investment in the region recently, focusing on developing domestic EV markets to make them more affordable while conserving the environment.
The governments have put forward several incentives such as government funding, tax incentives to buy EVs, while introducing measures to discourage the use of ICE vehicles.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ)</a> raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It has the largest resource globally in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine (the SCM Mine), according to Wood Mackenzie. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.</li>
</ul>



Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO.
It has the largest resource globally in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine (the SCM Mine), according to Wood Mackenzie. 
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.


Merdeka Battery Materials IPO Trading - Earnings Might Be Long Drawn Out but Should Perform Fine

Indonesia

PT ANTAM (Persero) Tbk is a diversified, vertically integrated, state-owned mining and metals company in Indonesia. It engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and marketing of mineral resources, with core businesses in nickel, gold, silver, bauxite, and alumina. Its products include ferronickel, nickel ore, gold bullion, and alumina, serving various industries domestically and internationally. The company is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia, and was established in 1968.

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Antam (ANTM IJ)

ANTAM (IDX: ANTM): Operational Momentum, Expansion Ahead, Valuation Still Attractive

ANTAM is pursuing a $500 million syndicated loan to support its expansion plans, particularly in nickel processing and battery materials. This move...

Rahul Jain

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Initiatives to Build a Regional EV Ecosystem Continues

ASEAN countries continue to invest on developing the EV markets. The price war among Chinese EV players has escalated, and European and Japanese...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Merdeka Battery Materials Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry, Some Have Sold Beforehand

Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA IJ) was listed on 18th Apr 2023, when it raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. Its eight-month lockup will...

Ethan Aw

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets. However, there has been rapid growth in EV related investment recently, aiming...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Merdeka Battery Materials IPO Trading - Earnings Might Be Long Drawn Out but Should Perform Fine

Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ANTAM (IDX: ANTM): Operational Momentum, Expansion Ahead, Valuation Still Attractive

ANTAM is pursuing a $500 million syndicated loan to support its expansion plans, particularly in nickel processing and battery materials. This move...

Rahul Jain

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Initiatives to Build a Regional EV Ecosystem Continues

​ASEAN countries continue to invest on developing the EV markets. The price war among Chinese EV players has escalated, and European and Japanese...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Merdeka Battery Materials Lockup Expiry - US$1.5bn Lockup Expiry, Some Have Sold Beforehand

Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA IJ) was listed on 18th Apr 2023, when it raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. Its eight-month lockup will...

Ethan Aw

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Series: Committed Towards Building a Regional EV Ecosystem

EV adoption in the ASEAN is very low compared to developed markets. However, there has been rapid growth in EV related investment recently, aiming...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Merdeka Battery Materials IPO Trading - Earnings Might Be Long Drawn Out but Should Perform Fine

Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) raised around US$591m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and...

Ethan Aw

ASEAN countries continue to invest on developing the EV markets. The price war among Chinese EV players has escalated, and European and Japanese...