HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to better-than-expected VBP results, we saw a decent rally of MDG’s share price last Friday. However, all the medical products that are covered by VBP begin to lose logic. </li>
<li>Backwardness in R&amp;D is a bottleneck restricting MDG's future growth. MDG is more like a manufacturing/processing plant relying on labor dividends than a technology company with high product added value.</li>
<li>Multiple risks (e.g.pandemic, depreciation of exchange rate against US dollar, economic downturn, etc.) will add more uncertainties to MDG's 2022 performance. MDG’s share price could remain tepid after temporary rally. </li>
</ul>


Due to better-than-expected VBP results, we saw a decent rally of MDG’s share price last Friday. However, all the medical products that are covered by VBP begin to lose logic. 
Backwardness in R&amp;D is a bottleneck restricting MDG's future growth. MDG is more like a manufacturing/processing plant relying on labor dividends than a technology company with high product added value.
Multiple risks (e.g.pandemic, depreciation of exchange rate against US dollar, economic downturn, etc.) will add more uncertainties to MDG's 2022 performance. MDG’s share price could remain tepid after temporary rally. 


Modern Dental Group (3600.HK) 22H1- Share Price May Remain Tepid Due to Lack of Core Competitiveness

<ul>
<li>Due to pandemic/lockdown/economic downturn, the case shipments could further decline. Our revenue forecast this year is below 20%, or even below 15%. We also lowered our forecast on profit margins.</li>
<li>Limited qualified orthodontists in China and challenging internationalization cast doubts on Angelalign’s long term growth prospects. We can’t see high growth potential of Angelalign with certainty.</li>
<li>Angelalign’s performance in 2022 would be under pressure. Although PE/TTM reached about 73 by the end of June 10 after corrections, it's still overvalued. The upside potential could be limited.</li>
</ul>


Due to pandemic/lockdown/economic downturn, the case shipments could further decline. Our revenue forecast this year is below 20%, or even below 15%. We also lowered our forecast on profit margins.
Limited qualified orthodontists in China and challenging internationalization cast doubts on Angelalign’s long term growth prospects. We can’t see high growth potential of Angelalign with certainty.
Angelalign’s performance in 2022 would be under pressure. Although PE/TTM reached about 73 by the end of June 10 after corrections, it's still overvalued. The upside potential could be limited.


Angelalign Technology (6699.HK) - There Is Still Plenty of Downside, but Limited Upside Potential

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry / Equity Capital Markets

Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry (BFM HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beauty-farm-medical-and-health-industry-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35923:1" rel="noopener">Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry (BFM HK),</a> second largest body and skin care service provider in China has filed for IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.  </li>
<li>Large and growing addressable market, comprehensive service offering, nationwide store network, and sound financial position are the major strengths of the company.</li>
<li>BFM’s operation faces uncertainties over COVID and related restrictions. This IPO is not expected to see listing gain unless general market condition and China’s economic growth outlook improve.</li>
</ul>



Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry (BFM HK), second largest body and skin care service provider in China has filed for IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.  
Large and growing addressable market, comprehensive service offering, nationwide store network, and sound financial position are the major strengths of the company.
BFM’s operation faces uncertainties over COVID and related restrictions. This IPO is not expected to see listing gain unless general market condition and China’s economic growth outlook improve.


Beauty Farm Medical and Health Industry Pre-IPO: Near-Term Operating Environment Is Not Beautiful

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Arrail, the largest dental services provider in China’s premium dental service market has announced the terms for its IPO.</li>
<li>The company plans to raise net proceeds of approx. HK$590m (US$75.9m) through issuing 46.5m at a price of HK$14.62 per share.</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors have agreed to purchase approx. US$65m worth of shares and these investors include Abax, Harvest, Hudson Bay, OrbiMed and TVHKL.</li>
</ul>


Arrail, the largest dental services provider in China’s premium dental service market has announced the terms for its IPO.
The company plans to raise net proceeds of approx. HK$590m (US$75.9m) through issuing 46.5m at a price of HK$14.62 per share.
Cornerstone investors have agreed to purchase approx. US$65m worth of shares and these investors include Abax, Harvest, Hudson Bay, OrbiMed and TVHKL.


Arrail IPO: Peer Comparison and Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arrail-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33794:1" rel="noopener">Arrail</a> is the largest dental services provider in China’s premium private dental service market and the third in the overall market in terms of total revenues in 2020.</li>
<li>The company has filed for an IPO to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and plans to raise about US$86m.</li>
<li>The group has experienced strong growth despite the impact of COVID-19 and China’s growing private dental market offers large potential for the company to grow.</li>
</ul>



Arrail is the largest dental services provider in China’s premium private dental service market and the third in the overall market in terms of total revenues in 2020.
The company has filed for an IPO to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and plans to raise about US$86m.
The group has experienced strong growth despite the impact of COVID-19 and China’s growing private dental market offers large potential for the company to grow.


Arrail IPO: Strong Growth Prospects with Further Upside to Margins

China

Angelalign Technology Inc. is a global provider of digital technology-driven clear aligner products and services, offering comprehensive orthodontic solutions including treatment planning, manufacturing, and marketing. The company's portfolio includes products like angelalign Pro, angelalign, and angelalign KID, supported by its iOrtho Digital Orthodontic Intelligent Service Platform. Headquartered in Shanghai, China, the company was founded in 2003.

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Angelalign Technology (6699 HK)