Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Investment community is too bearish on Pd, a strategic metal, it has strong growth dynamics looking forward. Future supplies will be physically constrained, whether from Russia and/or South Africa.</li>
<li>Palladium (Pd) demand to grow 26% over the next decade. Production dominated by Russia and South Africa. Russian production sustainability under question</li>
<li>Virtually all global Pd production is via by-product. Significant price rises required to incentivise additional supply  </li>
</ul>


Investment community is too bearish on Pd, a strategic metal, it has strong growth dynamics looking forward. Future supplies will be physically constrained, whether from Russia and/or South Africa.
Palladium (Pd) demand to grow 26% over the next decade. Production dominated by Russia and South Africa. Russian production sustainability under question
Virtually all global Pd production is via by-product. Significant price rises required to incentivise additional supply  


Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.
In this insight, we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the index rebal event in September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard MV Jr Gold Miners Sep 24:  Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We initiated on the iron ore space recently with a short-term bullish call (see: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iron-ore-primer-understanding-the-drivers-of-the-market-ways-to-play-the-sector" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136452" rel="noopener">Iron Ore Primer: Understanding The Drivers Of the Market, Ways To Play The Sector</a>). </li>
<li>Check out our initiation on  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mount-gibson-mgx-au-iron-ore-pure-play-77-of-the-mkt-cap-in-cash-0-5x-ev-ebitda-with-catalysts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136941" rel="noopener">Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Iron Ore Pure Play, 77% of the Mkt Cap in Cash, 0.5x EV-EBITDA With Catalysts</a> ).</li>
<li>Iron ore has a more short-term upside as it bounces off the cost curve in its three-year band (95-130 USD/ton), while China has demonstrated an abundant appetite for restocking. </li>
</ul>


We initiated on the iron ore space recently with a short-term bullish call (see: Iron Ore Primer: Understanding The Drivers Of the Market, Ways To Play The Sector). 
Check out our initiation on  Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Iron Ore Pure Play, 77% of the Mkt Cap in Cash, 0.5x EV-EBITDA With Catalysts ).
Iron ore has a more short-term upside as it bounces off the cost curve in its three-year band (95-130 USD/ton), while China has demonstrated an abundant appetite for restocking. 


Iron Ore Comes Roaring Back! BHP-Anglo, VALE, FMG: What's Hot In the Space

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Tariff chatter is a sideshow; the real focus should be  on the US Administration’s Fed plans</li>
<li>Non-Chinese miners of rare earths and other strategic minerals will command a steep premium.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Tariff chatter is a sideshow; the real focus should be  on the US Administration’s Fed plans
Non-Chinese miners of rare earths and other strategic minerals will command a steep premium.


Overview #30 – the Summer Doldrums-Not! Stage setting for the next phase of the bull market.

<ul>
<li>How did our major investment themes do so far in 2025?</li>
<li>Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on </li>
<li>We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for H2 25</li>
</ul>


How did our major investment themes do so far in 2025?
Review of the performance of the major markets and asset classes we focus on 
We revisit our outlook for each of those asset classes for H2 25


South Africa

Anglo American Platinum Limited is the holding company for a group of companies which operate platinum mines.  In addition to platinum, the Group mines and produces platinum group metals such as palladium, rhodium, iridium, ruthenium, osmium, nickel, copper, and cobalt.

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Anglo American Platinum (AMS SJ)

Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...

Gaius King

Quiddity Leaderboard MV Jr Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is up for rebalance in September. There are no LARGE changes expected. There are two obvious smallcap deletes. Some...

Travis Lundy

Iron Ore Comes Roaring Back! BHP-Anglo, VALE, FMG: What's Hot In the Space

We summarize newsflow in the iron ore market and our take on the BHP-Anglo deal. We also summarize the production reports of Vale/FMG and Champion...

Sameer Taneja

Overview #30 – the Summer Doldrums-Not! Stage setting for the next phase of the bull market.

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the Fed and the implications of DoD's stake in a rare earth...

Rikki Malik

Mid-Year Themes Review - Part II

Investor focus on hard assets ramps up. Overnight news that the Pentagon will take a US$400M stake in MP Materials is another boost for the rare...

Rikki Malik

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Palladium Price to Double Within a Decade

​Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...

Gaius King

Quiddity Leaderboard MV Jr Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is up for rebalance in September. There are no LARGE changes expected. There are two obvious smallcap deletes. Some...

Travis Lundy

Iron Ore Comes Roaring Back! BHP-Anglo, VALE, FMG: What's Hot In the Space

We summarize newsflow in the iron ore market and our take on the BHP-Anglo deal. We also summarize the production reports of Vale/FMG and Champion...

Sameer Taneja

Overview #30 – the Summer Doldrums-Not! Stage setting for the next phase of the bull market.

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the Fed and the implications of DoD's stake in a rare earth...

Rikki Malik

Mid-Year Themes Review - Part II

Investor focus on hard assets ramps up. Overnight news that the Pentagon will take a US$400M stake in MP Materials is another boost for the rare...

Rikki Malik

Investors underestimate growth potential of palladium due to supply constraints from Russia and South Africa, with demand expected to rise 26% in...