CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, and five new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 105% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 38%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, and five new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 105% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 38%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 39

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

<ul>
<li>Maintain our BUY rating with a new TP of Bt13.90, implying 7.4xPE’23E , +1SD from its five years trading average, to reflect higher project launches value in 2023.</li>
<li>3Q22 earnings  expand YoY AP reported 3Q22’s net profit of Bt1.4bn (+37.6%YoY, -9%QoQ), in line with our forecast and market expectation</li>
<li>The YoY growth of net profit supported by (1) Higher revenue recognition of real estate sales to Bt8.7bn(+25.6%YoY)  mainly from transfers of existing and new launches</li>
</ul>


Maintain our BUY rating with a new TP of Bt13.90, implying 7.4xPE’23E , +1SD from its five years trading average, to reflect higher project launches value in 2023.
3Q22 earnings  expand YoY AP reported 3Q22’s net profit of Bt1.4bn (+37.6%YoY, -9%QoQ), in line with our forecast and market expectation
The YoY growth of net profit supported by (1) Higher revenue recognition of real estate sales to Bt8.7bn(+25.6%YoY)  mainly from transfers of existing and new launches


<ul>
<li>We initiate coverage of APwith a BUY rating at a TP of Bt12.9,based on 7.0xPE23,or +0.5SD of its 5-year trading average.Our rating reflects high potential growth in the low-rise segment</li>
<li>High potential growth in long term AP has a high potential to expand its revenue in the long term,backed by(1)strong presales momentum,especially in the low-rise segment,where it is the leader</li>
<li>New high for project launches to support 22-24E earnings AP plans to launch 60 projects worth Bt75bn in 2022 (a new high), composed of 52 low-rise projects, 5 high-rise projects</li>
</ul>


We initiate coverage of APwith a BUY rating at a TP of Bt12.9,based on 7.0xPE23,or +0.5SD of its 5-year trading average.Our rating reflects high potential growth in the low-rise segment
High potential growth in long term AP has a high potential to expand its revenue in the long term,backed by(1)strong presales momentum,especially in the low-rise segment,where it is the leader
New high for project launches to support 22-24E earnings AP plans to launch 60 projects worth Bt75bn in 2022 (a new high), composed of 52 low-rise projects, 5 high-rise projects


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, the portfolio has gained 195% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 new join the fray
Since inception, the portfolio has gained 195% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 27%


Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 4Q21 DPU +7.7% YoY; Driven largely by absence of DI retention and strengthening RMB</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ara-us-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28048" rel="noopener">ARA US Hospitality Trust (ARAUS SP)</a> 2H21 DPU of US$0.36c declared; Road to recovery continues</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-hampshire-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28874" rel="noopener">United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP)</a> 2H21 DPU +0.7% YoY; Portfolio valuation rose 3.7% YoY, divesting of 2 Self Storage properties</li></ul>

EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 4Q21 DPU +7.7% YoY; Driven largely by absence of DI retention and strengthening RMBARA US Hospitality Trust (ARAUS SP) 2H21 DPU of US$0.36c declared; Road to recovery continuesUnited Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP) 2H21 DPU +0.7% YoY; Portfolio valuation rose 3.7% YoY, divesting of 2 Self Storage properties

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Feb22) - ECWREIT Driven by Absence of DI Retention

Thailand

AP Thailand PCL is a property development company. The Company develops residential property projects in Bangkok areas as well as manufactures and distributes precast concrete products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

AP Thailand PCL (AP TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 39

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Nine stocks remain, five new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

AP : Earnings Remain Strong in 3Q22

Maintain our BUY rating with a new TP of Bt13.90, implying 7.4xPE’23E , +1SD from its five years trading average, to reflect higher project...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

AP : High Growth Potential in Low-Rises

We initiate coverage of AP with a BUY rating at a TP of Bt12.9, based on 7.0xPE23, or +0.5SD of its 5-year trading average. Our rating reflects...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 38

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (24Feb22) - ECWREIT Driven by Absence of DI Retention

ARAUS back to declaring dividend; UHU portfolio valuation rising; LHN another Co-living expansion; RGE buys Tangling SC; HOBEE buys London office;...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)