Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices.</li><li>Firming base oils premium points to tightening supply and rising demand, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.</li><li>Recent slump in crude oil prices reflects concern about slowdown in global economic activity and subsequent drop in demand.</li></ul>

Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices.Firming base oils premium points to tightening supply and rising demand, incentivizing refiners to maintain or raise output.Recent slump in crude oil prices reflects concern about slowdown in global economic activity and subsequent drop in demand.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.</li><li>US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.</li><li>Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.</li></ul>

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump in crude oil prices.US Group I brightstock export price flips to rare discount to CFR India price in recent weeks.Ongoing weakness of US export prices points to weaker-than-usual domestic demand.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.</li><li>Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.</li><li>That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices.Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2 2025.That dynamic could change in coming weeks if economic growth slows, compounding typical seasonal dip in demand from end of second quarter.

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.</li><li>Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.</li><li>Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the region.Concern about weaker demand cuts fundamentals-related support that could cushion against impact of falling crude oil prices.Concern about more muted demand and expected improvement in base oils supply in coming weeks would contrast with increasingly high base oils margins caused by lower crude oil prices.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

India

Apar Industries Ltd. manufactures aluminum conductors for power transmission. The Company also manufactures polymers, synthetic rubbers, latexes, transformer oils, pharmaceutical oils and other specialty oils.

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Apar Industries (APR IN)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 7 April

Global base oils prices face growing upward pressure versus feedstock/diesel prices following slump in crude oil prices. Firming base oils premium...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 7 April

US Group II base oils export price-discount to CFR India prices widens further through March 2025 even ahead of imposition of US tariffs and slump...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils supply outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils prices resume rise versus feedstock/gasoil prices. Rising margins point to still-firm supply-demand fundamentals at start of Q2...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 7 April

Asia’s base oils demand could fall in face of slumping crude oil prices and concern about slower-than-expected economic growth in the...

Base Oil News

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

We currently forecast 40 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. There are 2 new listings that could be added to MidCap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

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