External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>JK Cement: We downgrade our rating on JK Cement (JKCE) with a revised TP of INR 2,475 (11.5x Mar-24E consolidated EBITDA) on expensive valuations</li><li>In Q1FY23, healthy pricing recovery in north regions and subdued fuel cost inflation (low cost inventory benefits) drove up blended unitary EBITDA by 16% QoQ to INR 1,101 per MT as margin rebounded for both grey and white/putty segments</li><li>While consolidated revenue rose 32% YoY, EBITDA came in flat</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

JK Cement: We downgrade our rating on JK Cement (JKCE) with a revised TP of INR 2,475 (11.5x Mar-24E consolidated EBITDA) on expensive valuationsIn Q1FY23, healthy pricing recovery in north regions and subdued fuel cost inflation (low cost inventory benefits) drove up blended unitary EBITDA by 16% QoQ to INR 1,101 per MT as margin rebounded for both grey and white/putty segmentsWhile consolidated revenue rose 32% YoY, EBITDA came in flatContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, Apollo Tyres, Ahluwalia Contracts

<div><ul><li>Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.</li><li><p>Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.</span></p></li><li><p><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Q1 estimates for ancillaries - </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.</span></p></li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.Q1 estimates for ancillaries - At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Market share gains in TBR &amp; PCR led by R&amp;D investment: APTY’s R&amp;D spends have been consistently ahead of competition over the last 5-10 years (Exhibit 5), which is reflected in its better quality TBR and PCR tyres.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Demand outlook remains positive: The domestic replacement tyre market is witnessing signs of recovery, led by the PCR and T&amp;B segments.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Margin headwinds to persist with elevated crude prices and depreciated INR: Crude derivatives account for ~40% of the RM basket for APTY.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Market share gains in TBR &amp; PCR led by R&amp;D investment: APTY’s R&amp;D spends have been consistently ahead of competition over the last 5-10 years (Exhibit 5), which is reflected in its better quality TBR and PCR tyres.Demand outlook remains positive: The domestic replacement tyre market is witnessing signs of recovery, led by the PCR and T&amp;B segments.Margin headwinds to persist with elevated crude prices and depreciated INR: Crude derivatives account for ~40% of the RM basket for APTY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apollo Tyres - Margin Headwinds Owing to Rising RM Prices; Maintain BUY

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div></div></div></div></div><ul><li>In its analyst meet, APTY management reiterated its revenue target of USD5bn in FY26, implying a 15% CAGR over FY22-26E vs. a 9% CAGR over FY18-22.</li><li>Management maintained the ROCE (pre-tax) target at 12-15% by FY26E (7% in FY22), led by better asset turnover and margins.</li><li>In the near term, cost pressures due to an increase in prices of crude derivatives and a lag in the pass-through of commodity inflation are likely to impact margins.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In its analyst meet, APTY management reiterated its revenue target of USD5bn in FY26, implying a 15% CAGR over FY22-26E vs. a 9% CAGR over FY18-22.Management maintained the ROCE (pre-tax) target at 12-15% by FY26E (7% in FY22), led by better asset turnover and margins.In the near term, cost pressures due to an increase in prices of crude derivatives and a lag in the pass-through of commodity inflation are likely to impact margins.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apollo Tyres - Maintaining FY26 Target of USD5bn Revenue with 12-15% ROCE

<div><div><div><ul><li>Well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry dynamics - On the back of strong investments in R&amp;D and brand building and focus on ramping up distribution, especially in rural regions, Apollo has gained market share in key segments.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Europe restructuring boosts operating performance - In the last couple of years, management earmarked a massive restructuring in Europe, which included: (1) shifting tyre production from Netherlands to new plant in Hungary and the balance to India; (2) converting the Netherlands plant into a specialty plant for producing high-end tyres; (3) right-sizing the Netherlands plant by giving VRS to 2/3rd of the employees.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><div><div><div><ul><li>Initiate with an ADD and a target price of INR229/sh - Given a lean cost structure and its focus on sweating existing assets, we expect Apollo’s returns to improve from here on.</li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Well-positioned to benefit from favourable industry dynamics - On the back of strong investments in R&amp;D and brand building and focus on ramping up distribution, especially in rural regions, Apollo has gained market share in key segments.Europe restructuring boosts operating performance - In the last couple of years, management earmarked a massive restructuring in Europe, which included: (1) shifting tyre production from Netherlands to new plant in Hungary and the balance to India; (2) converting the Netherlands plant into a specialty plant for producing high-end tyres; (3) right-sizing the Netherlands plant by giving VRS to 2/3rd of the employees.Initiate with an ADD and a target price of INR229/sh - Given a lean cost structure and its focus on sweating existing assets, we expect Apollo’s returns to improve from here on.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apollo Tyres (Initiating Coverage): Sharp Focus on Boosting Returns. ADD

India

Apollo Tyres Limited manufactures tires and tubes for cars, trucks, farm equipment and light commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures automobile flaps and retreading materials.

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Apollo Tyres (APTY IN)

HSIE Results Daily: JK Cement, Apollo Tyres, Ahluwalia Contracts

JK Cement: We downgrade our rating on JK Cement (JKCE) with a revised TP of INR 2,475 (11.5x Mar-24E consolidated EBITDA) on expensive valuations

HDFC Securities

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.

HDFC Securities

Apollo Tyres - Margin Headwinds Owing to Rising RM Prices; Maintain BUY

We have cut our margin estimates by ~80bps for FY23 and FY24 each, leading to EPS cut of ~16%/15% for FY23/FY24. Crude oil prices have risen by...

Nirmal Bang

Apollo Tyres - Maintaining FY26 Target of USD5bn Revenue with 12-15% ROCE

In its analyst meet, APTY management reiterated its revenue target of USD5bn in FY26, implying a 15% CAGR over FY22-26E vs. a 9% CAGR over FY18-22.

Emkay

Apollo Tyres (Initiating Coverage): Sharp Focus on Boosting Returns. ADD

Over the last few years, Apollo has invested in R&D, brand building, and expanding its distribution network. This has in turn led to market share...

HDFC Securities

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