Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods</li>
<li>Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access</li>
<li>Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity</li>
</ul>


The amount of deposits in the US banking system are substantial in absolute terms and compared with recent periods and older periods
Of the USD17.4tr in deposits in the US banking system, 86% is liquid, available to access
Alongside concerns about the S&amp;P 500 Index or the broad US stock market, we believe it is worthwhile to keep in mind the amount of depositor liquidity


US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple, Qualcomm, and Tesla are all hiring for EMIB-class advanced packaging, signalling an industry shift toward tech where Intel holds a structural edge.</li>
<li>Intel’s “packaging-first” strategy outlined last year is now visible in real customer activity; foundry share will be won through packaging long before leading-edge wafers.</li>
<li>With TSMC carrying excess capacity, IFS enters a rare window where early 18A traction and EMIB pull-through can create a credible path to 14A volume wins.</li>
</ul>


Apple, Qualcomm, and Tesla are all hiring for EMIB-class advanced packaging, signalling an industry shift toward tech where Intel holds a structural edge.
Intel’s “packaging-first” strategy outlined last year is now visible in real customer activity; foundry share will be won through packaging long before leading-edge wafers.
With TSMC carrying excess capacity, IFS enters a rare window where early 18A traction and EMIB pull-through can create a credible path to 14A volume wins.


IFS Comeback: Apple, Qualcomm, and Tesla Validating Intel’s Packaging Advantage

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Chinese AI model downloads have surpassed those of the U.S. putting at risk the valuations of the large hyperscalers in the U.S.</li>
<li>Chinese open-source AI models offer a more secure, efficient, and lower cost alternative to Chat GPT -5 , Claude 4.5 Sonnet, and other U.S. LLMs.  </li>
<li>We believe that there will be a turning point when investors will realize that the Chinese open-source AI models have undercut the premise of U.S. global dominance of AI.</li>
</ul>


Chinese AI model downloads have surpassed those of the U.S. putting at risk the valuations of the large hyperscalers in the U.S.
Chinese open-source AI models offer a more secure, efficient, and lower cost alternative to Chat GPT -5 , Claude 4.5 Sonnet, and other U.S. LLMs.  
We believe that there will be a turning point when investors will realize that the Chinese open-source AI models have undercut the premise of U.S. global dominance of AI.


CHINA'S AI COMMODITIZATION: Can Global AI Valuations Survive?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Nvidia Pushes TSMC for More Capacity as AI Chip Demand Surges</li>
<li>Apple Expands Its Satellite Ambitions for iPhones Beyond Just Emergencies -- A Step Towards Disintermediating Telcos?</li>
<li>Nvidia’s International HQ in Taipei Deal Clears Final Hurdle -- Boost for Taiwan 2026E-2027E</li>
</ul>


Nvidia Pushes TSMC for More Capacity as AI Chip Demand Surges
Apple Expands Its Satellite Ambitions for iPhones Beyond Just Emergencies -- A Step Towards Disintermediating Telcos?
Nvidia’s International HQ in Taipei Deal Clears Final Hurdle -- Boost for Taiwan 2026E-2027E


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s advanced-node wafer costs are rising sharply, with 2nm pricing now 50% above 3nm and multi-year price hikes expected; margin pressures likely for fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD.</li>
<li>U.S. fab expansion eroding TSMC's cost advantage; production reportedly 30–50% more expensive than in Taiwan. This opens the door for Intel and Samsung as geopolitical and cost dynamics shift.</li>
<li>Presently, TSMC remains irreplaceable in yield and process leadership, but one key moat may no longer be unchallenged; foundry competition to reshape over the next three years.</li>
</ul>


TSMC’s advanced-node wafer costs are rising sharply, with 2nm pricing now 50% above 3nm and multi-year price hikes expected; margin pressures likely for fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD.
U.S. fab expansion eroding TSMC's cost advantage; production reportedly 30–50% more expensive than in Taiwan. This opens the door for Intel and Samsung as geopolitical and cost dynamics shift.
Presently, TSMC remains irreplaceable in yield and process leadership, but one key moat may no longer be unchallenged; foundry competition to reshape over the next three years.


Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

USD18.4 trillion in bank deposits at US banks as at 5 November week. At start of this century, that was USD3.5 trillion. There is a lot of...

Daniel Tabbush

IFS Comeback: Apple, Qualcomm, and Tesla Validating Intel’s Packaging Advantage

Intel's packaging-first strategy is gaining traction, with a potential for winning foundry share with early 18A traction, EMIB adoption, and...

Mint Finance

CHINA'S AI COMMODITIZATION: Can Global AI Valuations Survive?

Chinese AI model downloads have surpassed those of the U.S. putting at risk the valuations of the large hyperscalers in the U.S.

David Mudd

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US Stock Market - US Banks Have Total Deposits of USD17.4tr, Which Was USD3-4tr ~30 Yrs Ago

USD18.4 trillion in bank deposits at US banks as at 5 November week. At start of this century, that was USD3.5 trillion. There is a lot of...

Daniel Tabbush

IFS Comeback: Apple, Qualcomm, and Tesla Validating Intel’s Packaging Advantage

Intel's packaging-first strategy is gaining traction, with a potential for winning foundry share with early 18A traction, EMIB adoption, and...

Mint Finance

CHINA'S AI COMMODITIZATION: Can Global AI Valuations Survive?

Chinese AI model downloads have surpassed those of the U.S. putting at risk the valuations of the large hyperscalers in the U.S.

David Mudd

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Asking TSMC for More Capacity; Apple to Disintermediate Telcos?

​Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Margin Call at 2nm: What TSMC's Price Hike Means for the Chip Ecosystem

​TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...

Mint Finance

Nvidia and Apple are both making strategic moves to secure more capacity and expand their reach in the tech industry, potentially disrupting...

TSMC's wafer costs are rising sharply, putting pressure on fabless players like Qualcomm, MediaTek, and AMD. U.S. fab expansion and competition...