Guasty Winds Investment Ideas, Guasty Winds

Guasty Winds

Guasty Winds Investment Ideas

I am a full-time private investor, ex-L/S. I document my investment portfolio decisions and share my work here.

Equity Bottom-Up

Applied Blockchain Inc / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>APLD released 4Q earnings last night. The stock performed well, +14%.</li>
<li>The key highlight was the huge guidance. In this post I will run through how the numbers make no sense.</li>
<li>
<p><em>Jamestown, North Dakota (JT) - 100MW - </em>JT has been operating since 2022. It has ~100MW of capacity and has been running at full capacity over the past two quarters, according to comments made on the company’s 3Q and 4Q earnings calls. Here is a snip for the 3Q call.</p>
</li>
</ul>


APLD released 4Q earnings last night. The stock performed well, +14%.
The key highlight was the huge guidance. In this post I will run through how the numbers make no sense.

Jamestown, North Dakota (JT) - 100MW - JT has been operating since 2022. It has ~100MW of capacity and has been running at full capacity over the past two quarters, according to comments made on the company’s 3Q and 4Q earnings calls. Here is a snip for the 3Q call.



Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Bitcoin could find the bottom and strongly rebounded in 1Q23. We believe BTC mining companies could be sellers of crypto assets on strong bounce and limit room for further upside. </li>
<li>Our bear case scenario assumes an average BTC price of $25K in 2023 with an opportunity to reach as high as $30K. Leading crypto miners began to offload Bitcoin holdings. </li>
<li>Investors should be more selective on the crypto miner names during a prolonged bear market. Our top picks include Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Blockchain, and Cipher Mining. </li>
</ul>


Bitcoin could find the bottom and strongly rebounded in 1Q23. We believe BTC mining companies could be sellers of crypto assets on strong bounce and limit room for further upside. 
Our bear case scenario assumes an average BTC price of $25K in 2023 with an opportunity to reach as high as $30K. Leading crypto miners began to offload Bitcoin holdings. 
Investors should be more selective on the crypto miner names during a prolonged bear market. Our top picks include Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Blockchain, and Cipher Mining. 


Crypto Mining Industry Series: Strong Start In 2023. Bitcoin Is Up ~40% YTD

<ul>
<li>During the last three months, the crypto market has lost ~$2 trillion in value and slightly recovered in July when BTC bulls could hold a $20K price level. </li>
<li>Bitcoin mining economics changed dramatically, and depressed BTC prices forced inefficient miners out of the market. Some BTC mining companies started to sell Bitcoins to cover OpEx and CapEx. </li>
<li>We remain bullish on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marathon-digital-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33244:1" rel="noopener">Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US)</a> and upgrade <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/riot-blockchain-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35453:1" rel="noopener">Riot Blockchain (RIOT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipher-mining" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33309:1" rel="noopener">Cipher Mining (CIFR US)</a>  to Overweight on favorable risk-reward post-recent sell-off.</li>
</ul>


During the last three months, the crypto market has lost ~$2 trillion in value and slightly recovered in July when BTC bulls could hold a $20K price level. 
Bitcoin mining economics changed dramatically, and depressed BTC prices forced inefficient miners out of the market. Some BTC mining companies started to sell Bitcoins to cover OpEx and CapEx. 
We remain bullish on Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US) and upgrade Riot Blockchain (RIOT US) and Cipher Mining (CIFR US)  to Overweight on favorable risk-reward post-recent sell-off.


Crypto Mining Industry Series: Time To Focus On Efficient Crypto Miners

United States

Applied Blockchain, Inc. operates as a technology company. The Company focuses on Ethereum and Altcoins. Applied Blockchain serves customers worldwide.

Applied Blockchain Inc (APLD US)

APLD - 4Q Review

APLD released 4Q earnings last night. The stock performed well, +14%. The key highlight was the huge guidance. In this post I will run through how...

Guasty Winds

Crypto Mining Industry Series: Strong Start In 2023. Bitcoin Is Up ~40% YTD

We believe the crypto contagion is finally over, and a rally in Bitcoin may restore investor confidence after 12 months of a bear market

Andrei Zakharov

Crypto Mining Industry Series: Time To Focus On Efficient Crypto Miners

We remain bullish on Marathon Digital Holdings and upgrade Riot Blockchain and Cipher Mining to Overweight on favorable risk-reward post-recent...

Andrei Zakharov