External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).</li><li>Meanwhile, the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). </li><li>Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial AI applications.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).Meanwhile, the US has broadened the restrictions from targeting specific companies (Entity List) to specific products (semiconductors/ equipment above certain computing threshold). Our channel checks suggested that the new rules have limited impact to existing commercial AI applications.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

<ul><li>Reuters reported that the U.S. may publish new regulations next month to broaden curbs on 1) AI chips, 2) chipmaking equipment and 3) products that contain targeted chips exports to China. </li><li>This could cover more U.S. companies and will disallow export of servers containing advanced GPU. </li><li>Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Reuters reported that the U.S. may publish new regulations next month to broaden curbs on 1) AI chips, 2) chipmaking equipment and 3) products that contain targeted chips exports to China. This could cover more U.S. companies and will disallow export of servers containing advanced GPU. Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China AI – U.S. May Broaden AI Chips Export Restrictions

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.</li>
<li>Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.</li>
</ul>


Nearly 90% of the way through the review period, we see 4 changes using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
There are overlaps in the inclusions using 6/12 month minimum listing history, so there is less risk if the index committee switches from 6 to 12 months at the review.
Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated at 5.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,795m.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

Hoymiles Power Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

<ul>
<li>Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.</li>
</ul>


Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

China

ArcSoft Corporation Limited provides computer vision artificial intelligence technology services. The Company offers computer vision artificial intelligence technologies for enabling advances camera applications among smart phones, smart cars, smart homes, smart retail, Internet video, and other fields. ArcSoft provides services worldwide.

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Arcsoft (688088 CH)

China AI – Public Security Demand Remained Weak in 3Q22

Number of China public security projects bidding remained weak in 3Q22 at -7% YoY (vs. -4% YoY in 2Q22) as Sep number deteriorated (-9% YoY).

CMB International

China AI – U.S. May Broaden AI Chips Export Restrictions

Under the new rules, China can still design sub-14nm (not sub-3nm) AI chips but the production has to be taken place outside of China.

CMB International

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four or Five Changes in December

There could be 4/5 changes if a 12/6 month minimum listing history is used. Using a 6 month minimum listing history, one-way turnover is estimated...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 in September as the index committee sticks to a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

There could be 5 changes if the index committee continues using a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

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