IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kandenko-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3726:1" rel="noopener">Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of 22.8 million shares (26.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>The timing is opportunistic as the shares are up 159% in the last 12 months. Notably, the placement was announced post-close after the full-year results were <a href="https://www.kandenko.co.jp/en/docs/3Notice%20of%20Revision%20to%20Financial%20Results%20and%20Dividend%20Forecasts.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">upgraded intraday</a>.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is below average compared to recent large placements. A ToSTNeT-3 repurchase (up to JPY30 billion) will partly mitigate the impact.</li>
</ul>



Kandenko Co Ltd (1942 JP) has announced a secondary offering of 22.8 million shares (26.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).
The timing is opportunistic as the shares are up 159% in the last 12 months. Notably, the placement was announced post-close after the full-year results were upgraded intraday.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is below average compared to recent large placements. A ToSTNeT-3 repurchase (up to JPY30 billion) will partly mitigate the impact.


Kandenko (1942 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

Shin Etsu Chemical / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-etsu-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4481:1" rel="noopener">Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 23.7 million shares (27.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>The goal of the secondary offering seems to be to facilitate the exits of several shareholders and improve liquidity.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback will further mitigate the impact.</li>
</ul>



Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 23.7 million shares (27.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.8 billion (US$1.0 billion including overallotment).
The goal of the secondary offering seems to be to facilitate the exits of several shareholders and improve liquidity.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback will further mitigate the impact.


Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ARE Holdings recycle and sells precious metals including gold. It is part of the URBAN MINING story. </li>
<li>Besides that, it is also included in the Semiconductor supply chain as the latter are keen to have conflict-free materials and meet their ESG requirements through having more recycled material. </li>
<li>Gold price is the key driver for ARE Holdings business and if gold price continues going up, ARE Holdings share price should benefit. </li>
</ul>


ARE Holdings recycle and sells precious metals including gold. It is part of the URBAN MINING story. 
Besides that, it is also included in the Semiconductor supply chain as the latter are keen to have conflict-free materials and meet their ESG requirements through having more recycled material. 
Gold price is the key driver for ARE Holdings business and if gold price continues going up, ARE Holdings share price should benefit. 


ARE Holdings (5857): Green Gold and Urban Mine

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$0.8 billion secondary offering, Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)’s shares have declined 4.9% to the undisturbed price of JPY3,754 per share (20 November).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Toyoda's share decline is better than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyoda-gosei-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20125:1" rel="noopener">Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a>'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.</li>
<li>The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.</li>
</ul>



Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP) has announced a secondary offering of up to 29.7 million shares (34.2 million including overallotment), worth around US$0.7 billion (US$0.8 billion including overallotment).
Toyoda Gosei's primary goal with the secondary offering is to reduce Toyota Motor (7203 JP)'s shareholding to around 20% of outstanding shares.
The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.


Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

Japan

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

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Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)

Kandenko (1942 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The timing of the placement after upgrading full-year forecasts will not be well-received. The offering as a percentage of out. shares and ADV are...

Arun George

Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback...

Arun George

ARE Holdings (5857): Green Gold and Urban Mine

ARE Holdings specializes in recycling and selling precious metals like gold, playing a crucial role in the urban mining and semiconductor supply...

Henry Soediarko

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kandenko (1942 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The timing of the placement after upgrading full-year forecasts will not be well-received. The offering as a percentage of out. shares and ADV are...

Arun George

Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP): A US$1.0 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is small compared to recent large placements. An ongoing JPY100 billion share buyback...

Arun George

ARE Holdings (5857): Green Gold and Urban Mine

​ARE Holdings specializes in recycling and selling precious metals like gold, playing a crucial role in the urban mining and semiconductor supply...

Henry Soediarko

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 December. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.

Arun George

Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP): A US$0.8 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering as a percentage of outstanding shares and ADV is large compared to recent large placements. The likely pricing date is 1 December.

Arun George

ARE Holdings specializes in recycling and selling precious metals like gold, playing a crucial role in the urban mining and semiconductor supply...