Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AREIT redeveloping Science Park Drive; 10M21 new home sales take-up rate at 181%; KEP final offer for SPH; SDPR new launches sold out; Phils Sep21 remittances rebounded</li><li>New private home sales rose 9% MoM in Oct21; Robust take-up rate (above 100%) for the past 9mo</li><li>Keppel Corp (KEP SP) says its final offer for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) is compelling - KEP stated that its final offer is a compelling one and a win-win proposition which would be put to both KEP’s and SPH’s shareholders for their respective decisions.</li></ul>

AREIT redeveloping Science Park Drive; 10M21 new home sales take-up rate at 181%; KEP final offer for SPH; SDPR new launches sold out; Phils Sep21 remittances reboundedNew private home sales rose 9% MoM in Oct21; Robust take-up rate (above 100%) for the past 9moKeppel Corp (KEP SP) says its final offer for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) is compelling - KEP stated that its final offer is a compelling one and a win-win proposition which would be put to both KEP’s and SPH’s shareholders for their respective decisions.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Nov21) - AREIT Redeveloping Science Park Drive

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>Cuscaden Peak minimum chain offer price for each <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> unit stands at S$96.4c</h3>
<ul>
<li>The minimum chain offer price, which consortium Cuscaden Peak will have to offer for each SPHREIT if its acquisition bid for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) succeeds is S$96.4c, fully in cash. The consortium had made a surprise rival bid to privatise SPH, following an earlier offer from Keppel Corp (KEP SP). Such an acquisition would take place by way of a scheme of arrangement. Subject to the finalisation of the terms of such a scheme, the completion of Cuscaden's proposed cash acquisition would result in an obligation for it to undertake a chain offer for all SPHREIT units as well, in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers</li>
<li>The minimum chain offer price shall be the simple average of the daily volume-weighted average traded prices of SPHREIT units, on either the latest 20 trading days, or whatever number of trading days there were within 30 calendar days before the announcement of the possible offer. The chain offer will not be made unless and until the possible scheme becomes effective in accordance with its terms, or – if Cuscaden undertakes the proposed acquisition in another method – is declared effective or unconditional, and/or is completed. Cuscaden's offer for SPH is S$2.10 per share in cash. Cuscaden comprises Hotel Properties, businessman Ong Beng Seng and two Temasek-linked entities – CLA Real Estate Holdings and Mapletree. Its proposal still needs to be accepted by the board of SPH.</li>
</ul>

Singapore
Cuscaden Peak minimum chain offer price for each SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) unit stands at S$96.4c

The minimum chain offer price, which consortium Cuscaden Peak will have to offer for each SPHREIT if its acquisition bid for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) succeeds is S$96.4c, fully in cash. The consortium had made a surprise rival bid to privatise SPH, following an earlier offer from Keppel Corp (KEP SP). Such an acquisition would take place by way of a scheme of arrangement. Subject to the finalisation of the terms of such a scheme, the completion of Cuscaden's proposed cash acquisition would result in an obligation for it to undertake a chain offer for all SPHREIT units as well, in accordance with the Singapore Code on Take-overs and Mergers
The minimum chain offer price shall be the simple average of the daily volume-weighted average traded prices of SPHREIT units, on either the latest 20 trading days, or whatever number of trading days there were within 30 calendar days before the announcement of the possible offer. The chain offer will not be made unless and until the possible scheme becomes effective in accordance with its terms, or – if Cuscaden undertakes the proposed acquisition in another method – is declared effective or unconditional, and/or is completed. Cuscaden's offer for SPH is S$2.10 per share in cash. Cuscaden comprises Hotel Properties, businessman Ong Beng Seng and two Temasek-linked entities – CLA Real Estate Holdings and Mapletree. Its proposal still needs to be accepted by the board of SPH.


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Nov21) - Cuscaden Peak Chain Offer for SPHREIT

<h2>Singapore</h2>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/236/273/original/image_54776601321634694560432.png?1634694565" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="236273"></figure><ul><li><h3></h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascendas-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39" rel="noopener">Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP)</a> 3Q21 Business Updates; Robust reversions while on virtuous cycle of inorganic growth (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)</li><li>3Q21 revenue, NPI and DPU were undisclosed. AREIT has completed the development of the Grab Headquarters, with a total development cost of S$184.6m. Divestment of two Australian logistics properties has also been completed at a price of S$104.5m (AUD101.6m)</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP) 3Q21 Business Updates; Robust reversions while on virtuous cycle of inorganic growth (BUY; TP S$3.55/unit)3Q21 revenue, NPI and DPU were undisclosed. AREIT has completed the development of the Grab Headquarters, with a total development cost of S$184.6m. Divestment of two Australian logistics properties has also been completed at a price of S$104.5m (AUD101.6m)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;"> </td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">AREIT</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">MINT</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">AAREIT</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">EREIT</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Period</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">1H21</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">1Q22</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">1Q22</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">2Q21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">586.0 (+12.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">128.1 (+29.2% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">31.8 (+16.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">59.5 (+6.25% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">445.6 (+14.8% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">104.7 (+33.1% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">23.1 (+23.9% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">42.9 (+9.4% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">7.66 (+5.4% YoY)</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">3.35 (+16.7% YoY)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">2.25 (+12.5% YoY)</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">0.754 (13.9% YoY)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">2.27</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">1.75</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">1.35</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">0.398</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">1.37</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">1.65</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">1.15</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">1.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">91.3</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">94.3 (Overall); 97.8 (North American); 93.4 (Singapore)</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">95.7</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">91.7</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 6px;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 6px;">6.4</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 6px;">Not Disclosed</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 6px;">Not disclosed</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 6px;">-0.2</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">37.6</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">31</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">34.3</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">42.9</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">2.4</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">2.7</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">2.8</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">3.24</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">5.06</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">4.69</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">6.1</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">7.05</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">75.2</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">95.8</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">77.2</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">75</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 12px;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 12px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 12px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 12px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 12px;">N/A</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 146.859px; height: 13px;">Rating</td><td style="width: 143.312px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 147.344px; height: 13px;">N/A</td><td style="width: 145.031px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td><td style="width: 143.453px; height: 13px;">Under Review</td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) AREITMINTAAREITEREITPeriod1H211Q221Q222Q21Gross Revenue (S$ m)586.0 (+12.4% YoY)128.1 (+29.2% YoY)31.8 (+16.8% YoY)59.5 (+6.25% YoY)NPI (S$ m)445.6 (+14.8% YoY)104.7 (+33.1% YoY)23.1 (+23.9% YoY)42.9 (+9.4% YoY)DPU (S$ c)7.66 (+5.4% YoY)3.35 (+16.7% YoY)2.25 (+12.5% YoY)0.754 (13.9% YoY)NAV per Unit (S$)2.271.751.350.398P/B (x)1.371.651.151.1Occupancy (%)91.394.3 (Overall); 97.8 (North American); 93.4 (Singapore)95.791.7Reversion (%)6.4Not DisclosedNot disclosed-0.2Gearing (%)37.63134.342.9Cost of Debt (%)2.42.72.83.241 Yr Fwd Yield (%)5.064.696.17.05Debt Hedged (%)75.295.877.275Target PriceUnder ReviewN/AUnder ReviewN/ARatingUnder ReviewN/AUnder ReviewUnder Review

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (03Aug21) - AREIT Boosted by DPU-Accretive Acq

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prime-us-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28144" rel="noopener">Prime US REIT (PRIME SP)</a> in talks with WeWork on proposed lease restructuring</h3><ul><li>Co-working space operator WeWork has approached PRIME with a proposal to restructure its lease at the latter's Class-A office property in California, and discussions are ongoing. The tenant occupies 56,977sqft within Tower I at Emeryville, out of the building's NLA of 222,606sqft. The tenant contributes less than 2.5% of PRIME's cash rental income as at end-Mar. It added that the tenant has been current on its rental obligations till mid-Jun21, and the lease terms are currently under evaluation</li><li>PRIME has called on the tenant to continue to meet its rental obligations, and also called upon the existing security package for the payment of such obligations. PRIME's security in relation to that WeWork lease consists of a combination of protections. If the counterparty honours its obligations, such protections will cover the tenant's monthly lease obligations through as much as end-2022. PRIME does not expect the matter to have any impact on the distribution per unit of PRIME for FY21, in light of the security. Based on the independent valuation sought, this will not materially affect the value of PRIME's portfolio as compared to the portfolio appraisal conducted as at last Dec.</li></ul>

SingaporePrime US REIT (PRIME SP) in talks with WeWork on proposed lease restructuringCo-working space operator WeWork has approached PRIME with a proposal to restructure its lease at the latter's Class-A office property in California, and discussions are ongoing. The tenant occupies 56,977sqft within Tower I at Emeryville, out of the building's NLA of 222,606sqft. The tenant contributes less than 2.5% of PRIME's cash rental income as at end-Mar. It added that the tenant has been current on its rental obligations till mid-Jun21, and the lease terms are currently under evaluationPRIME has called on the tenant to continue to meet its rental obligations, and also called upon the existing security package for the payment of such obligations. PRIME's security in relation to that WeWork lease consists of a combination of protections. If the counterparty honours its obligations, such protections will cover the tenant's monthly lease obligations through as much as end-2022. PRIME does not expect the matter to have any impact on the distribution per unit of PRIME for FY21, in light of the security. Based on the independent valuation sought, this will not materially affect the value of PRIME's portfolio as compared to the portfolio appraisal conducted as at last Dec.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Jun21) - PRIME/WeWork Lease Restructuring

Singapore

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT is an industrial real estate investment trust. The Trust invests in business and science park properties, integrated development, amenities, and retail (IDAR) properties, high-specifications industrial properties and data centers, light industrial and flatted factories, and logistics and distribution centers.

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CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (16Nov21) - AREIT Redeveloping Science Park Drive

AREIT redeveloping Science Park Drive; 10M21 new home sales take-up rate at 181%; KEP final offer for SPH; SDPR new launches sold out; Phils Sep21...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Nov21) - Cuscaden Peak Chain Offer for SPHREIT

Cuscaden Peak chain offer for SPHREIT; URA rejects International Plaza's redevelopment plan; DD riding on hospitality tailwinds; DILD 9M21 mktg...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (20Oct21)

AREIT robust reversions, on virtuous growth cycle; IWG opens 16th Co-working centre; Ann Siang House pivots to rental business; SWB revised FY21...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (03Aug21) - AREIT Boosted by DPU-Accretive Acq

AREIT boosted by DPU-accretive acq; KEP-SPH better yield for SPH holders; SMPH 1H21 supported by resi biz; DD launches buyback program; LPKR strong...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (18Jun21) - PRIME/WeWork Lease Restructuring

PRIME/WeWork lease restructuring; Park Hotel Mgmt winding up; IOIPG bidding for Marina View plot; LPCK mktg sales on track for FY21; BKK office...

SCCM Asia Research

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