Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 9M FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies have been soft due to the elections, uneven monsoon and slow capital expenditure.</li>
<li>In December2024, sales showed varied performance across major players. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> saw slight YoY decline,while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ashok-leyland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20104:1" rel="noopener">Ashok Leyland (AL IN)</a> &amp;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a> experienced growth in exports.</li>
<li>A recovery in sales is expected in Q4 FY2025 due to improved freight movement, resumption of construction and mining activities, and renewed government spending on infrastructural projects.</li>
</ul>


The 9M FY2025 sales volume of commercial vehicle(CV) companies have been soft due to the elections, uneven monsoon and slow capital expenditure.
In December2024, sales showed varied performance across major players. Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) saw slight YoY decline,while Ashok Leyland (AL IN) &amp;Eicher Motors (EIM IN) experienced growth in exports.
A recovery in sales is expected in Q4 FY2025 due to improved freight movement, resumption of construction and mining activities, and renewed government spending on infrastructural projects.


Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies</li><li>The auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection point</li><li>We expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energiesThe auto component players are also making investments to adjust their product portfolios to cater to the energy transition and be future-ready for when the penetration of greener energy vehicles reaches an inflection pointWe expect the domestic auto component industry to consolidate during this transition, with imports likely to be higher than usual, as auto component players in global regions where the energy transition has already seen meaningful penetration have the necessary technology in place and are already producing components at scale.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.The domestic CV industry sales grew by 4%/13% YoY/MoM. The 3W domestic wholesales for Bajaj and M&amp;M grew by 5% and 8% YoY, respectively, while TVS degrew by 18% YoY.The domestic tractor industry (proxy) witnessed 16% volume growth on a YoY basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

<ul><li>Nov’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed a decline in volume growth of 1% YoY and 26% MoM, while total exports grew by 32% YoY and remained flat MoM.</li><li>Domestic PV sales grew by 6-7% YoY (down 11% MoM), largely due to weakness in Hyundai and Honda, partially offset by strong domestic SUV volumes from Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales were flat YoY (down 20% MoM), mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes, which were partially offset by high bus volumes.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nov’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed a decline in volume growth of 1% YoY and 26% MoM, while total exports grew by 32% YoY and remained flat MoM.Domestic PV sales grew by 6-7% YoY (down 11% MoM), largely due to weakness in Hyundai and Honda, partially offset by strong domestic SUV volumes from Toyota, M&amp;M, and MG.The domestic CV industry sales were flat YoY (down 20% MoM), mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes, which were partially offset by high bus volumes.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Monthly Auto Volume Update - November 2024

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the BSE Sensex and BSE 100 Indices were announced after the close on Friday 22nd November 2024.</li>
<li>On the same day, the Bombay Stock Exchange announced several new names will be added to the Futures and Options (F&amp;O) segment resulting in multiple surprises among the index changes.</li>
<li>There will be one change for BSE Sensex and six changes for BSE 100 during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the BSE Sensex and BSE 100 Indices were announced after the close on Friday 22nd November 2024.
On the same day, the Bombay Stock Exchange announced several new names will be added to the Futures and Options (F&amp;O) segment resulting in multiple surprises among the index changes.
There will be one change for BSE Sensex and six changes for BSE 100 during the December 2024 index rebal event.


Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

India

Ashok Leyland Limited manufactures medium and heavy duty commercial vehicles, including buses, tractors, dumpsters, haulage trucks, fire engines, and defense sector vehicles. The Company also manufactures industrial & marine engines, ferrous castings and spare parts for automobiles. Ashok Leyland sells its products in India and abroad.

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Ashok Leyland (AL IN)

Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies

HDFC Securities

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

Monthly Auto Volume Update - November 2024

Nov’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed a decline in volume growth of 1% YoY and 26% MoM, while total exports grew by 32% YoY...

Axis Direct

Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

We estimate one-way flows of US$285mn and US$324mn for SENSEX and BSE 100 index rebalance events in December 2024. The Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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Monthly Sales Overview of Listed Indian Commercial Vehicle Companies

​Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...

Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

Autos: Near-term headwinds, time to be selective

The automotive sector is going through an interesting phase, with a once-in-a-century kind of transition towards greener energies

HDFC Securities

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - December 2024

Dec’24 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV sales grew by 15-17% YoY (down 7% MoM), largely due to strong domestic volumes from Maruti, Toyota, M&M, and MG.

Axis Direct

Monthly Auto Volume Update - November 2024

Nov’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed a decline in volume growth of 1% YoY and 26% MoM, while total exports grew by 32% YoY...

Axis Direct

Quiddity BSE Dec 24 Rebal: Big Wins for Zomato & Jiofin as New F&O Inclusions Trigger Surprises

We estimate one-way flows of US$285mn and US$324mn for SENSEX and BSE 100 index rebalance events in December 2024. The Inclusion/Exclusion events...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Commercial vehicle sales in FY2025 have been impacted by elections, monsoons, and slow capex, but a Q4 recovery is expected with improved freight...