Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Revenues of $7.05 billion were marginally higher than midpoint of $6.93 billion, up 4% QoQ and up 5% YoY.  Guided current quarter at $7.15 billion +1.5% QoQ , +10.5% YoY</li>
<li>Most WFE share prices have retreated to early 2022 levels, matching with when annual revenues first exceeded the $100 billion level</li>
<li>After a 44% growth spurt in 2021, we have had three years with mostly no growth. We expect the same in 2025. </li>
</ul>


Revenues of $7.05 billion were marginally higher than midpoint of $6.93 billion, up 4% QoQ and up 5% YoY.  Guided current quarter at $7.15 billion +1.5% QoQ , +10.5% YoY
Most WFE share prices have retreated to early 2022 levels, matching with when annual revenues first exceeded the $100 billion level
After a 44% growth spurt in 2021, we have had three years with mostly no growth. We expect the same in 2025. 


For Its WFE Q324 Season Finale, AMAT Returns ASML's Favour & Sinks Semis Yet Again

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>The fab is the first buyer of Taiwan's robot parts: smart manufacturing was SEMICON Taiwan 2026's largest zone, up 20% against 6% for advanced packaging.</li>
<li>Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among six packaging challenges.</li>
<li>TSMC will release its packaging-equipment automation specs and simulation software free in 4Q, which lowers the entry bar for local automation makers.</li>
</ul>


The fab is the first buyer of Taiwan's robot parts: smart manufacturing was SEMICON Taiwan 2026's largest zone, up 20% against 6% for advanced packaging.
Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among six packaging challenges.
TSMC will release its packaging-equipment automation specs and simulation software free in 4Q, which lowers the entry bar for local automation makers.


TechChain Insights: Walking SEMICON 2026 Showed the Fab Is the First Buyer of Taiwan's Robot Parts

<ul>
<li>KLA’s annual revenue grew 12% in 2024, 17% in 2025, and is on track for low-20% growth in 2026. Operating profits have expanded by ~400 basis points over this timeframe.</li>
<li>I think growth rates into 2027 are probably in a similar range, maybe higher.  Our backlog is very strong. We just disclosed our backlog of $12.6 billion in our 10-K</li>
<li>KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY (~$1.1 billion), roughly 2x market growth rate.</li>
</ul>


KLA’s annual revenue grew 12% in 2024, 17% in 2025, and is on track for low-20% growth in 2026. Operating profits have expanded by ~400 basis points over this timeframe.
I think growth rates into 2027 are probably in a similar range, maybe higher.  Our backlog is very strong. We just disclosed our backlog of $12.6 billion in our 10-K
KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY (~$1.1 billion), roughly 2x market growth rate.


KLA Corporation (KLAC) @ Citi Global TMT Conference. Key Takeaways & Full Transcript

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

<ul><li>In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | its main Dutch rival Jumbo reports steady growth in Belgium • ASML | collaboration with Canadian Xanadu broadens strategic relevance of lithography • TomTom | focus shifts to Enterprise for near-term revenue; auto cycle remains long-dated • TomTom | extends its partnership with citiEU; supports Enterprise strategy • Triodos Bank | 2026 SREP decision shows modest capital relief; buffers remain strong</li></ul>

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | its main Dutch rival Jumbo reports steady growth in Belgium • ASML | collaboration with Canadian Xanadu broadens strategic relevance of lithography • TomTom | focus shifts to Enterprise for near-term revenue; auto cycle remains long-dated • TomTom | extends its partnership with citiEU; supports Enterprise strategy • Triodos Bank | 2026 SREP decision shows modest capital relief; buffers remain strong

What's News in Amsterdam - 10 September (Ahold Delhaize | ASML | TomTom | Triodos)

Koninklijke Bam Groep Nv / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Kaufland launches Dutch marketplace; appears largely undifferentiated • ASML | following up on yesterday’s joint press release on High-NA with TSMC • PostNL | Dutch parcel peak on Monday highlights need for delivery-day choice • Ziggo Group | VodafoneZiggo sells mobile towers for EUR 669m • Dutch construction sector | new-build sales weaken as apartment inventory builds • Domestic household consumption | continued growth, albeit at a decelerating pace</li></ul>

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Kaufland launches Dutch marketplace; appears largely undifferentiated • ASML | following up on yesterday’s joint press release on High-NA with TSMC • PostNL | Dutch parcel peak on Monday highlights need for delivery-day choice • Ziggo Group | VodafoneZiggo sells mobile towers for EUR 669m • Dutch construction sector | new-build sales weaken as apartment inventory builds • Domestic household consumption | continued growth, albeit at a decelerating pace

Koninklijke BAM Groep NV - What's News in Amsterdam

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

For Its WFE Q324 Season Finale, AMAT Returns ASML's Favour & Sinks Semis Yet Again

AMAT's so-so quarter & outlook tanked semis as earnings season ends, just like ASML did when it began. Most WFE share prices are now back at early...

William Keating

TechChain Insights: Walking SEMICON 2026 Showed the Fab Is the First Buyer of Taiwan's Robot Parts

Labor drives the orders: TSMC has about 20 fabs under construction and calls construction workers a limiting factor, while ASE lists labor among...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KLA Corporation (KLAC) @ Citi Global TMT Conference. Key Takeaways & Full Transcript

KLA’s share of advanced packaging inspection/metrology market rose from ~2% in 2023 to roughly 7%–8% in 2026. This business is growing 70% YoY...

William Keating

What's News in Amsterdam - 10 September (Ahold Delhaize | ASML | TomTom | Triodos)

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | its main Dutch rival Jumbo reports steady growth in Belgium • ASML | collaboration with Canadian Xanadu...

The IDEA!

Koninklijke BAM Groep NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Kaufland launches Dutch marketplace; appears largely undifferentiated • ASML | following up on yesterday’s...

The IDEA!

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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