Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • a.s.r. Nederland | solid 1H26; Aegon integration completed, momentum intact • ING | reduces stake in TMBThanachart Bank (TTB) • InPost | EU clearance for the proposed takeover of InPost by the consortium • Alfen | reiterates FY26 as well as FY27 guidance • TomTom | Orbis Maps selected by Cedar Electronics • E-commerce & Logistics | Amazon brings AWD to Europe</li></ul>

In this edition: • a.s.r. Nederland | solid 1H26; Aegon integration completed, momentum intact • ING | reduces stake in TMBThanachart Bank (TTB) • InPost | EU clearance for the proposed takeover of InPost by the consortium • Alfen | reiterates FY26 as well as FY27 guidance • TomTom | Orbis Maps selected by Cedar Electronics • E-commerce & Logistics | Amazon brings AWD to Europe

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

The broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE) have pulled back to test key intermediate-term supports, and we expect to see buyers step in near current levels. Market dynamics remain largely healthy and our outlook remains neutral yet constructive overall. We see this pullback as a buying opportunity, however breakdowns would be problematic and would suggest additional downside or consolidation is likely.

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

<ul><li>In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May</li></ul>

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc Distribution • Unilever | divestment strategy criticized by Terry Smith • Arcadis | selected by CGA to deliver professional services valued at GBP 250-300m in the UK • DHL Group | raises FY26 guidance on better than expected 2Q26 • Dutch household consumption | growth accelerates to 1.8% in May

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

Our intermediate-term outlook remains constructive with major support levels holding on the broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE). Still, we continue to see some reason for caution as various market dynamics have deteriorated, leading us to a more neutral outlook in the near-term.

Our intermediate-term outlook remains constructive with major support levels holding on the broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE). Still, we continue to see some reason for caution as various market dynamics have deteriorated, leading us to a more neutral outlook in the near-term.

Developed international equities (MSCI EAFE) have been underperforming relative to global equities (MSCI ACWI). However, within EAFE, SMID-caps tell a different story and are a great source of investment ideas within the EAFE region. In today’s report we use a bottom-up approach to highlight actionable charts, sorted by market cap (all buys at current levels).

Developed international equities (MSCI EAFE) have been underperforming relative to global equities (MSCI ACWI). However, within EAFE, SMID-caps tell a different story and are a great source of investment ideas within the EAFE region. In today’s report we use a bottom-up approach to highlight actionable charts, sorted by market cap (all buys at current levels).

Netherlands

ASR Nederland N.V. is one of the largest insurance companies in the Netherlands. The Company offers a wide range of financial products such as corporate and individual pensions and life, health, travel and leisure and funeral insurance. In addition, ASR Nederland offers savings and investment banking products and actively invest in property management and development.

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Asr Nederland Nv (ASRNL NA)

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 19 August (asr NL | ING | InPost | Alfen | TomTom | E-com & Logistics)

In this edition: • a.s.r. Nederland | solid 1H26; Aegon integration completed, momentum intact • ING | reduces stake in TMBThanachart Bank...

The IDEA!

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE Testing Key Supports; Buy Ideas in Financials, Materials, Industrials

The MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US) are testing important intermediate-term support levels of $99, $54, and $76.50...

Vermilion Research

Arcadis NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • ASR Nederland | Ecolab pension fund buy out deal • Shell | divests South African downstream assets to Adnoc...

The IDEA!

Major Breakout For EURO STOXX 50

Our intermediate-term outlook remains constructive with major support levels holding on the broad global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and...

Vermilion Research

Focus on Outperforming EAFE SMID-Caps

Developed international equities (MSCI EAFE) have been underperforming relative to global equities (MSCI ACWI). However, within EAFE, SMID-caps...

Vermilion Research

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