Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral</li>
<li>The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here</li>
<li>Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200</li>
</ul>


We had been near-term bullish on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral
The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here
Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we'll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200


Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 7 July, it was reported that Hyung In-Woo (second largest shareholder of Alteogen) recently raised his ownership in the company by 0.22% stake (about 39 billion won) last month.</li>
<li>Mr. Hyung has requested to Alteogen to switch the company's listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI to improve the company's image and attract greater capital inflow from passive funds. </li>
<li>Alteogen is currently trading at P/E of 37.7x in 2026 and 31.6x in 2027 which are reasonable, considering the company's significant sales and profit growth in the next three years. </li>
</ul>


On 7 July, it was reported that Hyung In-Woo (second largest shareholder of Alteogen) recently raised his ownership in the company by 0.22% stake (about 39 billion won) last month.
Mr. Hyung has requested to Alteogen to switch the company's listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI to improve the company's image and attract greater capital inflow from passive funds. 
Alteogen is currently trading at P/E of 37.7x in 2026 and 31.6x in 2027 which are reasonable, considering the company's significant sales and profit growth in the next three years. 


Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Takeda has dropped AstraZeneca-partnered antibody drug candidate from its pipeline. Eisai and Merck are closing late-stage trial of Lenvima plus Keytruda in hepatocellular carcinoma on disappointing result.</li>
<li>Wuxi AppTec sharpens CRDMO business by selling its China-based clinical research subsidiaries. FDA has designated Celltrion’s Stoboclo and Osenvelt as interchangeable biosimilars to the reference products Prolia and Xgeva, respectively.</li>
<li>CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus ‘to maximise shareholder value.’ PharmaEssentia has filed for the additional indication of Besremi for Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) with the FDA.</li>
</ul>


Takeda has dropped AstraZeneca-partnered antibody drug candidate from its pipeline. Eisai and Merck are closing late-stage trial of Lenvima plus Keytruda in hepatocellular carcinoma on disappointing result.
Wuxi AppTec sharpens CRDMO business by selling its China-based clinical research subsidiaries. FDA has designated Celltrion’s Stoboclo and Osenvelt as interchangeable biosimilars to the reference products Prolia and Xgeva, respectively.
CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus ‘to maximise shareholder value.’ PharmaEssentia has filed for the additional indication of Besremi for Essential Thrombocythemia (ET) with the FDA.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 2) – Takeda, Eisai, Wuxi AppTec, Celltrion, CSL, PharmaEssentia

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Eccogene, a China-based clinical-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. Jefferies, BoA, and CICC are the joint sponsors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s core products, ECC4703, and key products ECC5004 and ECC0509.</li>
<li>We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.</li>
</ul>


Eccogene, a China-based clinical-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. Jefferies, BoA, and CICC are the joint sponsors.
In this note, we look at the company’s core products, ECC4703, and key products ECC5004 and ECC0509.
We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.


Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation

IMPACT Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Impact Therapeutics, a China-based near-commercial-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. GS and CICC are the joint sponsors</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s core products, senaparib/IMP4297, and key products IMP1734 and IMP9064.</li>
<li>We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.</li>
</ul>


Impact Therapeutics, a China-based near-commercial-stage biopharma company, is looking to raise at least USD 100 million via a Hong Kong listing. GS and CICC are the joint sponsors
In this note, we look at the company’s core products, senaparib/IMP4297, and key products IMP1734 and IMP9064.
We also look at the company’s pre-IPO investors and management team.


Impact Therapeutics (英派药业) Pre-IPO: Credible R&D in PARP

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas: Gastrointestinal, Oncology, Cardiovascular, Respiratory, Central Nervous System, Pain Control, Anaesthesia, and Infection.

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Astrazeneca Plc Spons Adr (AZN US)

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Alteogen announced that it will hold an EGM on 8 December to vote on a transfer of listing to KOSPI from KOSDAQ. On 7 July, the second largest...

Douglas Kim

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 2) – Takeda, Eisai, Wuxi AppTec, Celltrion, CSL, PharmaEssentia

Takeda and Eisai witnessed clinical trials setback. Wuxi AppTec is selling China-based CRO subsidiaries. CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus....

Tina Banerjee

Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation

China's Eccogene aims to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing. We see decent innovation and differentiation in its assets.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Impact Therapeutics (英派药业) Pre-IPO: Credible R&D in PARP

China's Impact Therapeutics seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with GS and CICC as joint sponsors. We look at the fundamental...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Near-Term Outlook to Neutral, But Still Bullish Intermediate-Term $SPX $QQQ; Downgrading...

Vermilion Research

Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Alteogen announced that it will hold an EGM on 8 December to vote on a transfer of listing to KOSPI from KOSDAQ. On 7 July, the second largest...

Douglas Kim

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 2) – Takeda, Eisai, Wuxi AppTec, Celltrion, CSL, PharmaEssentia

Takeda and Eisai witnessed clinical trials setback. Wuxi AppTec is selling China-based CRO subsidiaries. CSL is delaying demerger of CSL Seqirus....

Tina Banerjee

Eccogene (诚益生物) Pre-IPO: Decent Innovation and Differentiation

​China's Eccogene aims to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing. We see decent innovation and differentiation in its assets.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Impact Therapeutics (英派药业) Pre-IPO: Credible R&D in PARP

​China's Impact Therapeutics seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with GS and CICC as joint sponsors. We look at the fundamental...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China's Eccogene aims to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing. We see decent innovation and differentiation in its assets.

China's Impact Therapeutics seeks to raise $100 million through Hong Kong listing with GS and CICC as joint sponsors. We look at the fundamental...