Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are testing 52-week lows as prices have been consolidating over the last 1-2 months. Our outlook for global equities remains extremely cautious and we expect downward consolidation to continue. Equity prices will need to show signs of bottoming in order for this outlook to change.  In our December International Strategy, we explore various themes which lead to our cautious outlook, provide a technical appraisal of major world markets, explore a possible bottom in the Chinese market, and highlight attractive setups in the Consumer Staples, Communications, Health Care, and Utilities Sectors.

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are testing 52-week lows as prices have been consolidating over the last 1-2 months. Our outlook for global equities remains extremely cautious and we expect downward consolidation to continue. Equity prices will need to show signs of bottoming in order for this outlook to change.  In our December International Strategy, we explore various themes which lead to our cautious outlook, provide a technical appraisal of major world markets, explore a possible bottom in the Chinese market, and highlight attractive setups in the Consumer Staples, Communications, Health Care, and Utilities Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Cautious Outlook Intact; Defensive Sectors Remain Leadership

The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as the bellwether of global currencies, something seems amiss. Higher interest rates have doused the market’s advance, with 10-year yields double what they once were just three years ago. Investors are being jostled about as a determination is made as to whether the Fed has gone too far and too fast. Our concern here is that the Fed is creating a conundrum, indicating that higher rates are still forthcoming despite what we, and the market, are viewing as the possible end of the bull market...In our November Strategy publication, we outline a host of indicators we are watching for signs of the market's health.  In addition we highlight a number of actionable setups within Health care, Consumer Staples and Technology.

The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as the bellwether of global currencies, something seems amiss. Higher interest rates have doused the market’s advance, with 10-year yields double what they once were just three years ago. Investors are being jostled about as a determination is made as to whether the Fed has gone too far and too fast. Our concern here is that the Fed is creating a conundrum, indicating that higher rates are still forthcoming despite what we, and the market, are viewing as the possible end of the bull market...In our November Strategy publication, we outline a host of indicators we are watching for signs of the market's health.  In addition we highlight a number of actionable setups within Health care, Consumer Staples and Technology.

U.S. Equity Strategy & Sector Commentaries: Defensive Sectors Leading = Unhealthy Market

In our October International Strategy, we provide a synopsis on current market conditions around the globe, and explore the following themes in further detail:<ul>
<li>Supporting our cautious outlook, cyclical and growth Sectors are breaking down on the international front - namely Technology and Consumer Discretionary.  </li>
<li>Overweight Norway.</li>
<li>Price support holding in Japan as RS improves. </li>
<li>Health Care remains attractive, especially defensive pharma Groups within Japan and Europe.</li>
</ul>

In our October International Strategy, we provide a synopsis on current market conditions around the globe, and explore the following themes in further detail:
Supporting our cautious outlook, cyclical and growth Sectors are breaking down on the international front - namely Technology and Consumer Discretionary.  
Overweight Norway.
Price support holding in Japan as RS improves. 
Health Care remains attractive, especially defensive pharma Groups within Japan and Europe.


Global Equity Strategy: Market Deterioration Continues; Cyclical & Growth Sectors Breaking Down

Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index.  In today’s report we take a bottoms-up view on developed ex-U.S. equities, highlighting stocks that present attractive buy opportunities within the Communications, Health Care, Manufacturing, Materials, Technology, Transportation, and Utilities Sectors

Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index.  In today’s report we take a bottoms-up view on developed ex-U.S. equities, highlighting stocks that present attractive buy opportunities within the Communications, Health Care, Manufacturing, Materials, Technology, Transportation, and Utilities Sectors

Bottoms-Up View on Developed Markets: Actionable Stocks, Part 2

As the S&amp;P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we remain constructive overall, our expectations are tempered as the market finds itself a crossroad.  In today’s report we provide our U.S. equity strategy synopsis, and also highlight attractive stocks within the Health Care Sector.

As the S&amp;P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we remain constructive overall, our expectations are tempered as the market finds itself a crossroad.  In today’s report we provide our U.S. equity strategy synopsis, and also highlight attractive stocks within the Health Care Sector.

S&P 500: Outlook Constructive but Concerns Remain

United Kingdom

AstraZeneca PLC operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, researches, manufactures, and sells pharmaceutical and medical products. AstraZeneca focuses its operations on eight therapeutic areas, including gastrointestinal, oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, central nervous system, pain control, anaesthesia, and infection.

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AstraZeneca PLC (AZN LN)

Global Equity Strategy: Cautious Outlook Intact; Defensive Sectors Remain Leadership

Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are testing 52-week lows as prices have been consolidating over the last 1-2 months. Our outlook for global equities...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy & Sector Commentaries: Defensive Sectors Leading = Unhealthy Market

The “Big” rally has now faded less than a week from its start. While many point to a robust economy, strong GDP, and a strengthening U.S. dollar as...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Market Deterioration Continues; Cyclical & Growth Sectors Breaking Down

In our October International Strategy, we provide a synopsis on current market conditions around the globe, and explore the following themes in...

Vermilion Research

Bottoms-Up View on Developed Markets: Actionable Stocks, Part 2

Our outlook remains neutral for global ex-U.S. markets while horizontal consolidation continues on the MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index. In today’s report...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500: Outlook Constructive but Concerns Remain

As the S&P 500 nears the 2,873 January high - a critical hurdle - short-term Sector leadership changes give us reason for pause. While we...

Vermilion Research

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