Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA US: Ele.me's Daily Food Delivery Orders via Taobao Deals Surpass 10 Million on May 5 (-)</li>
<li>TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US: Summary of May Day Holiday Consumption Trends.(+/+/+)</li>
<li>Entertainment Sector Update: Weak Box Office Performance During May Day Holiday Hits 8-Year Low(-)</li>
</ul>


BABA US: Ele.me's Daily Food Delivery Orders via Taobao Deals Surpass 10 Million on May 5 (-)
TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US: Summary of May Day Holiday Consumption Trends.(+/+/+)
Entertainment Sector Update: Weak Box Office Performance During May Day Holiday Hits 8-Year Low(-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US/PDD US/JD US

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/9863 HK: Summary of April 2025 Sales for Major Chinese Automakers(+/+)</li>
<li>1211 HK:The foundation laying ceremony for BYD's passenger vehicle factory in Cambodia has taken place, with an expected official production launch in the fourth quarter of this year (/)</li>
<li>1211 HK: BYD Launches Fourth Vehicle Carrier Ship and Prepares Fifth for Export Expansion.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/9863 HK: Summary of April 2025 Sales for Major Chinese Automakers(+/+)
1211 HK:The foundation laying ceremony for BYD's passenger vehicle factory in Cambodia has taken place, with an expected official production launch in the fourth quarter of this year (/)
1211 HK: BYD Launches Fourth Vehicle Carrier Ship and Prepares Fifth for Export Expansion.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/9863 HK/XPEV US/LI US/ATAT US/Macro

<ul>
<li>300750 SZ/1211 HK: CATL launched 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery, surprassing BYD in fast charging (///)</li>
<li>ATAT US : Hotel RevPAR Decline Narrows Marginally  (+ /+)</li>
<li>NIO US: ONVO L90 Appears in MIIT's New Vehicle List(+)</li>
</ul>


300750 SZ/1211 HK: CATL launched 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery, surprassing BYD in fast charging (///)
ATAT US : Hotel RevPAR Decline Narrows Marginally  (+ /+)
NIO US: ONVO L90 Appears in MIIT's New Vehicle List(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

<ul>
<li>The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; </li>
<li>Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; </li>
<li>BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.</li>
</ul>


The market reflects on Trump's economic policy to find the rationale behind. Our issue with Steven Miran's proposal of strong -tariff/weak-dollar is whether it will bring back manufacturing to USA; 
Child birth policy from the capital of Inner-Mongolia could boost consumption and cost the country only Rmb100bn a year; 
BYD launches 1,000 V super charge. Xiaomi and XPEV talking about overseas expansion. LI Auto guided C1Q25 sharply lower.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

China

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, owns and manages midscale hotel chain through offline and online channels, including mobile application and weixin-wechat mini program. Atour Lifestyle Holdings serves customers in China.

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Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US/PDD US/JD US

Ele.me's food delivery orders via Taobao reached 10 million, May Day holiday consumption trends summarized, weak box office performance during...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/9863 HK/XPEV US/LI US/ATAT US/Macro

Chinese automakers BYD had a successful April 2025 sales month, with a new factory in Cambodia and plans for export expansion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US/PDD US/JD US

​Ele.me's food delivery orders via Taobao reached 10 million, May Day holiday consumption trends summarized, weak box office performance during...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/9863 HK/XPEV US/LI US/ATAT US/Macro

​Chinese automakers BYD had a successful April 2025 sales month, with a new factory in Cambodia and plans for export expansion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 SZ/1211 HK/ATAT US/NIO US

​CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 11/52] Our First Read of Trumponomics

​Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Ele.me's food delivery orders via Taobao reached 10 million, May Day holiday consumption trends summarized, weak box office performance during...

Chinese automakers BYD had a successful April 2025 sales month, with a new factory in Cambodia and plans for export expansion.

CATL surpasses BYD in fast charging with 2nd generation Shenxing LFP battery. Hotel RevPAR decline narrows slightly. ONVO L90 from NIO appears in...

Analysis of Trump's economic policy, Inner-Mongolia's child birth policy, and updates on BYD, Xiaomi, XPEV, and LI Auto in the market.