Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

AUB Group Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a> is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity.</li>
<li>The company has a good track record and the deal will be accretive to EPS.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity.
The company has a good track record and the deal will be accretive to EPS.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


AUB Group Placement - Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI was implemented on the same day.</li>
<li>The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.</li>
<li>After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes at the Nikkei 225 September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI was implemented on the same day.
The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.
After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.</li>
<li>That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.</li>
</ul>


There are a bunch of stocks that are constituents of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices and could go private or merge prior to the next scheduled rebalance in December.
That will lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and could also lead to ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 and S&amp;P/ASX 100 indices.
There is a fair amount of short interest on some of the potential inclusions and short covering due to index inclusion could take the stocks higher.


Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group-pty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU)</a>’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, will come off their placement linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the likely placement and past deal performance.</li>
</ul>



Ventia Services Group Pty (VNT AU)’s two largest shareholders, Apollo Global Management and CIMIC Group, will come off their placement linked lockup soon.
The two largest shareholders together owned nearly 30% of the company and have pared their stake twice this year.
In this note, we will talk about the likely placement and past deal performance.


Ventia Services Group US$450m Placement Lockup Expiry - Past Deals Have Done Well

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aub-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11179:1" rel="noopener">AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)</a> is looking to raise up to AUD150m (US$100m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to strengthen its balance sheet.</li>
<li>The deal would be a large one to digest at 24 days of three month ADV and dilution of 6.2%.  </li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD150m (US$100m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to strengthen its balance sheet.
The deal would be a large one to digest at 24 days of three month ADV and dilution of 6.2%.  
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


AUB Group Placement - Came as a Surprise but Strong Track Record Makes up for It

Australia

AUB Group Limited provides financial services. The Company offers equity-based risk management, insurance broking, and specialist underwriting agencies, as well as focuses on risk solutions for clients and strengthening our partners risk advisory capabilities.

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AUB Group Limited (AUB AU)

AUB Group Placement - Good Track Record, Accretive Acquisition

AUB Group Limited (AUB AU) is looking to raise up to AUD200m (US$133m) to fund the acquisition of Pacific Indemnity. In this note we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Mergers, Acquisitions and Potential S&P/ASX Index Ad Hoc Inclusions

There are 5 companies that are members of the S&P/ASX indices and could be delisted prior to the next rebalance in December. That could mean ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

Ventia Services Group US$450m Placement Lockup Expiry - Past Deals Have Done Well

The deal is now live, with the two investors looking to sell half of their current stake, as we had expected. This will be a very well flagged deal.

Sumeet Singh

AUB Group Placement - Came as a Surprise but Strong Track Record Makes up for It

AUB Group is looking to raise up to AUD150m (US$100m) in its primary placement. In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and...

Ethan Aw

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