Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1478477665867000&amp;usg=AFQjCNG0Emund0g2dLrP-nIHsdC50btJ8g">http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44</a> 10:40 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/928/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1478395871" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15928"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Decline below 97.40 support takes away some energy needed for the next DXY push with support now near 97-96.50. For upside momentum we need to get past 98.16 resistance again. US election will play the biggest role this week. We like DXY below 97 for a secondary rally attempt. RSI now below 50 while the MACD shows no bear divergence, suggesting a…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44 10:40 min.FX webcastDXY – Decline below 97.40 support takes away some energy needed for the next DXY push with support now near 97-96.50. For upside momentum we need to get past 98.16 resistance again. US election will play the biggest role this week. We like DXY below 97 for a secondary rally attempt. RSI now below 50 while the MACD shows no bear divergence, suggesting a…

USD Tactical Buy Support Within Topping Cycle

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

The USD is weaker as the US election takes on deeply disturbing characteristics that may have long-lived implications for political stability and leadership.  There may be a modest relief rally on a Clinton victory, but fears that her opponents will seek to have her impeached throughout her term in office will keep confidence in check. The USA economy has been growing modestly and lacks clear momentum.  It remains to be seen if it can shake off the political malaise and drive the case for higher interest rates. Outside of the USA, there have been signs of improvement in economic growth in several large emerging economies and Europe.  Industrial and agricultural commodity prices, with the exception of oil, also appear to support the notion of a more favorable supply and demand balance and rising inflation pressure.  This improves the outlook for emerging market and commodity currencies, the EUR and GBP.  The outlook for the USD is less clear, and JPY may weaken as yields tend to rise in other countries.  However, uncertainty remains high on several fronts including, Brexit, oil prices, USA election, and Chinese financial stability.

The USD is weaker as the US election takes on deeply disturbing characteristics that may have long-lived implications for political stability and leadership.  There may be a modest relief rally on a Clinton victory, but fears that her opponents will seek to have her impeached throughout her term in office will keep confidence in check. The USA economy has been growing modestly and lacks clear momentum.  It remains to be seen if it can shake off the political malaise and drive the case for higher interest rates. Outside of the USA, there have been signs of improvement in economic growth in several large emerging economies and Europe.  Industrial and agricultural commodity prices, with the exception of oil, also appear to support the notion of a more favorable supply and demand balance and rising inflation pressure.  This improves the outlook for emerging market and commodity currencies, the EUR and GBP.  The outlook for the USD is less clear, and JPY may weaken as yields tend to rise in other countries.  However, uncertainty remains high on several fronts including, Brexit, oil prices, USA election, and Chinese financial stability.

Improving Growth Outside the USA and Political Instability Inside

The hopes of a clean outcome in the dirtiest USA election in recent memory is dampening investor confidence, undermining US assets and the US dollar.  It’s not just the possibility of a Trump victory undermining confidence, it is the risk that a narrow Clinton victory is undermined by questions of legitimacy, national division, and a partisan Congress.  However, there is more encouraging evidence in global manufacturing surveys and rising commodity prices outside of oil.  These suggest that there is an improvement in the USA and global economy.  Currency markets have for the most part slipped back into choppy patterns with election uncertainty unraveling some promising trends towards a weaker JPY and EUR.  Stronger commodity markets may support AUD and NZD, but they are unlikely to rise much as US election uncertainty rises.

The hopes of a clean outcome in the dirtiest USA election in recent memory is dampening investor confidence, undermining US assets and the US dollar.  It’s not just the possibility of a Trump victory undermining confidence, it is the risk that a narrow Clinton victory is undermined by questions of legitimacy, national division, and a partisan Congress.  However, there is more encouraging evidence in global manufacturing surveys and rising commodity prices outside of oil.  These suggest that there is an improvement in the USA and global economy.  Currency markets have for the most part slipped back into choppy patterns with election uncertainty unraveling some promising trends towards a weaker JPY and EUR.  Stronger commodity markets may support AUD and NZD, but they are unlikely to rise much as US election uncertainty rises.

A Depressing USA Election, Stronger Commodity Prices

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul / Technical Analysis

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix</a> 13:51 min.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/015/573/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1477795990" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="15573"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div>DXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.FX webcastDXY – Touted trimming at 99+ in currencies that look extended (TRY, SGD for example). Euro held 1.08 which puts pressure on the DXY and the dollar in a broader sense. How the Euro reacts early this week is key for the DXY bias. This is the part of the topping cycle that gets tricky with risk we fade below ideal resistance. We may very well…

The abrupt turnaround in the AUD on Thursday may be indicative of a more erratic FX market this year.  But it may also reflect two big risks that continue to lurk in the background – increasing financial risk in China and financial stress emanating from the apartment sector in Australia.  The Australian employment data were also significantly weaker, fanning the concerns over under-employment expressed by the RBA in recent statements.  Commodity price indicators have been quite supportive for the AUD recently, but apartment sector financial stresses may now be on the footstep of the RBA before the economy has had time to work through the final phase of the mining investment downturn.  Australian banks’ are not too heavily exposed to apartment sector problems, but they have tightened credit to the sector.  Much less is known about property developers, but they are thought to be highly leveraged and facing significant headwinds.  They may prove to be a significant drag on activity and confidence and force the RBA to ease policy more than expected in coming months.  The New Zealand property market will not be immune with their banks also tightening credit under orders from head offices in Australia and tough new macroprudential measures introduced since October.

The abrupt turnaround in the AUD on Thursday may be indicative of a more erratic FX market this year.  But it may also reflect two big risks that continue to lurk in the background – increasing financial risk in China and financial stress emanating from the apartment sector in Australia.  The Australian employment data were also significantly weaker, fanning the concerns over under-employment expressed by the RBA in recent statements.  Commodity price indicators have been quite supportive for the AUD recently, but apartment sector financial stresses may now be on the footstep of the RBA before the economy has had time to work through the final phase of the mining investment downturn.  Australian banks’ are not too heavily exposed to apartment sector problems, but they have tightened credit to the sector.  Much less is known about property developers, but they are thought to be highly leveraged and facing significant headwinds.  They may prove to be a significant drag on activity and confidence and force the RBA to ease policy more than expected in coming months.  The New Zealand property market will not be immune with their banks also tightening credit under orders from head offices in Australia and tough new macroprudential measures introduced since October.

Apartment Glut Fears May Have Hit the AUD and NZD

Australia

The Australian dollar is the official currency of the Commonwealth of Australia.

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AUD (USDAUD CURNCY)

USD Tactical Buy Support Within Topping Cycle

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 6 November 2016USD buy supportsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/5z8EWf44 10:40 min.DXY –...

Thomas Schroeder

Improving Growth Outside the USA and Political Instability Inside

The USD is weaker as the US election takes on deeply disturbing characteristics that may have long-lived implications for political stability and...

Greg Gibbs

A Depressing USA Election, Stronger Commodity Prices

The hopes of a clean outcome in the dirtiest USA election in recent memory is dampening investor confidence, undermining US assets and the US...

Greg Gibbs

US Dollar Topping Process

Chartonics FX webcast Sunday 30 October 2016Dollar topping processTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/XsNifxix 13:51 min.DXY –...

Thomas Schroeder

Apartment Glut Fears May Have Hit the AUD and NZD

The abrupt turnaround in the AUD on Thursday may be indicative of a more erratic FX market this year. But it may also reflect two big risks that...

Greg Gibbs

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