Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM, Dantes Outlook

Damanick Dantes, CMT

Global Equities, Multi-Asset PM

Dantes Outlook

We invest over a full market cycle, using multi-asset portfolios tailored to each global client, from individuals to family offices.

Built to Endure

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>U.S. small caps, metals and mining stocks, and gold were key detractors within the portfolio suite, offsetting positive allocation effects in our underweight fixed income exposure. </li>
<li>Aggressive portfolios maintained their outperformance YTD driven by strong selections within the equity asset class.</li>
<li>Positioning changes include commodity diversification beyond gold, adding Japanese equities, and maintaining an underweight to bonds.</li>
</ul>


U.S. small caps, metals and mining stocks, and gold were key detractors within the portfolio suite, offsetting positive allocation effects in our underweight fixed income exposure. 
Aggressive portfolios maintained their outperformance YTD driven by strong selections within the equity asset class.
Positioning changes include commodity diversification beyond gold, adding Japanese equities, and maintaining an underweight to bonds.


Portfolio Update: Broader Commodity Positioning, Narrow Equity Leadership

Asian Economist

Kok Peng Chan

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Fed is buying Treasuries again—but this is not QE: purchases are mainly short-term bills designed to maintain banking-system liquidity, not stimulate the economy</li>
<li>Rising Fed assets is not always “money printing”: reserves remain near US$3 trillion as the liquidity created has been largely offset by Treasury operations, currency demand and other Fed liabilities</li>
<li>This helps explain the US dollar’s resilience: bill purchases barely suppress long-term yields, unlike conventional QE, so the direct downward pressure on the dollar is limited</li>
</ul>


The Fed is buying Treasuries again—but this is not QE: purchases are mainly short-term bills designed to maintain banking-system liquidity, not stimulate the economy
Rising Fed assets is not always “money printing”: reserves remain near US$3 trillion as the liquidity created has been largely offset by Treasury operations, currency demand and other Fed liabilities
This helps explain the US dollar’s resilience: bill purchases barely suppress long-term yields, unlike conventional QE, so the direct downward pressure on the dollar is limited


The Fed Is Buying Treasuries Again—but This Is Not Another Round of Money Printing

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Yesterday was a crazy day in FX and commodities as seen in chart 1.a. Within the span of 6 hours we had markets trading WaPo the rumour, then reacting to the pushback on the rumour from Trump and then markets calling Trump’s push back a bluff.</li>
<li>We conclude a couple of things from this.</li>
<li>Firstly, what we have been saying the last month ever since Trump’s first comments on Canadian tariffs, namely that this is a negotiation tactic to get what he really wants.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday was a crazy day in FX and commodities as seen in chart 1.a. Within the span of 6 hours we had markets trading WaPo the rumour, then reacting to the pushback on the rumour from Trump and then markets calling Trump’s push back a bluff.
We conclude a couple of things from this.
Firstly, what we have been saying the last month ever since Trump’s first comments on Canadian tariffs, namely that this is a negotiation tactic to get what he really wants.


The Drill: It’s an Omnishambles in the Tariff Talks

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing</li>
<li>Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors</li>
<li>Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio</li>
</ul>


A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing
Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors
Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio


November Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

CEO, ByteTree Asset Management

ByteTree Asset Management

Specialising in Bitcoin, Gold and Digital Assets

Investment Manager specialising in bitcoin, gold and digital assets

<ul><li>Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket.</li><li>The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial markets.</li><li>A weak dollar is bullish, and a strong dollar, bearish. The dollar was strong (the euro weak) until September, and that put downward pressure on stocks. </li></ul>

Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket.The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial markets.A weak dollar is bullish, and a strong dollar, bearish. The dollar was strong (the euro weak) until September, and that put downward pressure on stocks. 

United States

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The Fund seeks to follow the Deutsche Bank Long USD Currency Portfolio Index which tracks the performance of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of the six major world currencies - the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona & Swiss franc.

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Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul (UUP US)

Portfolio Update: Broader Commodity Positioning, Narrow Equity Leadership

Full breakdown of our portfolio suite, performance, and new positioning. We broadened our commodity positioning, added Japan, and maintained a core...

Damanick Dantes, CMT

The Fed Is Buying Treasuries Again—but This Is Not Another Round of Money Printing

Most reports neglect analysing the Fed balance sheet resulting in misinformation. This report separates headlines from mechanics and explains what...

Kok Peng Chan

The Drill: It’s an Omnishambles in the Tariff Talks

Trades: Short DXY, Long Palladium, Long Copper / Short Iron Ore. Yesterday was a crazy day in FX and commodities as seen in chart 1

Steno Research

November Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

The Dollar Is Back

Over the past year, what was good for the US dollar was bad for the stockmarket. The world’s reserve currency lubricates (or seizes up) financial...

ByteTree Asset Management

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