Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We estimate Vision Fund portfolio companies lost $2.1bn in value in Q3 as upside from new listings was not enough to offset valuation losses from the current portfolio.</li>
<li>A strong debut for SenseTime boosted Q3 gains by $2.3bn and +$1.7bn this week. That takes the sting out of weak Didi Q3 results but China remains a challenge. </li>
<li>Shares trade at a 49% discount to NAV because investment losses both lower NAV and boost balance sheet concerns. </li>
</ul>


We estimate Vision Fund portfolio companies lost $2.1bn in value in Q3 as upside from new listings was not enough to offset valuation losses from the current portfolio.
A strong debut for SenseTime boosted Q3 gains by $2.3bn and +$1.7bn this week. That takes the sting out of weak Didi Q3 results but China remains a challenge. 
Shares trade at a 49% discount to NAV because investment losses both lower NAV and boost balance sheet concerns. 


Softbank Group - SenseTime Rally Offsets Some of China Weakness but Q3 Vision Fund in the Red

<ul>
<li>PayTM shares fell 27% in their debut as investors seem unhappy with loss-making companies.  Policy Bazaar's Monday listing was better (+40%) but it's not a good sign for Oyo</li>
<li>This is the seventh Q3 listing event for Vision Fund after little activity in Q2 and is consistent with weak performance for 2021 IPOs in general</li>
<li>The buyback is doing its job with shares up 13% in two weeks with the discount moving from 48%to 43%.  We have updated our Softbank and VF tables below</li>
</ul>


PayTM shares fell 27% in their debut as investors seem unhappy with loss-making companies.  Policy Bazaar's Monday listing was better (+40%) but it's not a good sign for Oyo
This is the seventh Q3 listing event for Vision Fund after little activity in Q2 and is consistent with weak performance for 2021 IPOs in general
The buyback is doing its job with shares up 13% in two weeks with the discount moving from 48%to 43%.  We have updated our Softbank and VF tables below


Softbank Group Mixed Early Results for Indian IPOs

These are our initial thoughts – we will write more about the quarter later – but we wanted to get our initial thoughts on the buyback out.This was a terrible print for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>  which posted record investment losses for Vision Fund despite some fancy footwork on valuations in the private portfolio. That seems to make the announcement of a ¥1,000bn share buyback less surprising. No doubt it will attract interest as the shares trade near 52-week lows and at the high-end of the holding company discount range but there are some caveats that may temper enthusiasm whilst the longer-term risk is that the buyback is tied to completion of the Nvidia/ARM deal, which still faces regulatory scrutiny.

These are our initial thoughts – we will write more about the quarter later – but we wanted to get our initial thoughts on the buyback out.This was a terrible print for Softbank Group (9984 JP)  which posted record investment losses for Vision Fund despite some fancy footwork on valuations in the private portfolio. That seems to make the announcement of a ¥1,000bn share buyback less surprising. No doubt it will attract interest as the shares trade near 52-week lows and at the high-end of the holding company discount range but there are some caveats that may temper enthusiasm whilst the longer-term risk is that the buyback is tied to completion of the Nvidia/ARM deal, which still faces regulatory scrutiny.   

Softbank Group Q2 21 Results Reaction: Softbank May Intend to Use ARM Proceeds for Buyback

Norway

AutoStore Holdings Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides warehouse robot technology solutions which helps its customers to enable space saving and increase performance, while reducing labor and energy costs. AutoStore Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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AutoStore Holdings Ltd (AUTO NO)

Softbank Group - SenseTime Rally Offsets Some of China Weakness but Q3 Vision Fund in the Red

A strong public debut for SenseTime boosted Vision Fund performance after Didi released dismal results but the portfolio is likely in the red for...

Kirk Boodry

Softbank Group Mixed Early Results for Indian IPOs

PayTM has fallen 27% on its debut and whilst Policy Bazaar's Monday listing was better (+40%) it's not a good sign for the upcoming Oyo IPO. We...

Kirk Boodry

Softbank Group Q2 21 Results Reaction: Softbank May Intend to Use ARM Proceeds for Buyback

Softbank's share buyback may have as much to do with delays to Nvidia/ARM regulatory approval as record losses for Vision Fund in Q2. We look at...

Kirk Boodry

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