Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. </li>
<li>In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra-quarterly changes.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX Index family is a widely-tracked group of indices and sub-indices which represent the performance of ASX-listed companies. 
In March 2022, Index rebalance events will take place for the S&amp;P/ASX capitalization-weighted indices including ASX 300, ASX 200, ASX 100, ASX 50, and ASX 20. 
In this insight, we take a look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra-quarterly changes.


S&P/​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus Group (AVN AU)</a> securityholders vote on the proposed merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-consortium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29082:1" rel="noopener">Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU)</a> on 25 January.</li>
<li>If approved, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus Group (AVN AU)</a> will stop trading after the close on 3 February and the shares in issue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a> will increase substantially.</li>
<li>That will make <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HDN AU</a> the highest ranked non-ASX200 constituent and a high probability add for March. There could be an earlier inclusion to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">SYD AU</a> in the index.</li>
</ul>



Aventus Group (AVN AU) securityholders vote on the proposed merger with HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)/ Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU) on 25 January.
If approved, Aventus Group (AVN AU) will stop trading after the close on 3 February and the shares in issue for HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) will increase substantially.
That will make HDN AU the highest ranked non-ASX200 constituent and a high probability add for March. There could be an earlier inclusion to replace SYD AU in the index.


HDN/AVN Merger & Potential ASX200 Inclusion in March (Or Earlier)

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes to the ASX100 and ASX200 prior to the March rebalance due to the acquisitions of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">Ausnet Services (AST AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a>. </li>
<li>There will also be the large <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> upweight and funding trade following unification, and possibly the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afterpay-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26940:1" rel="noopener">Afterpay Touch (APT AU)</a> acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/square-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23755:1" rel="noopener">Square Inc (SQ US)</a>. </li>
<li>Then there will be more changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 at the March rebalance. There could be a lot of new listings included in the ASX300.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes to the ASX100 and ASX200 prior to the March rebalance due to the acquisitions of Ausnet Services (AST AU) and Sydney Airport (SYD AU). 
There will also be the large BHP Group (BHP AU) upweight and funding trade following unification, and possibly the Afterpay Touch (APT AU) acquisition by Square Inc (SQ US). 
Then there will be more changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 at the March rebalance. There could be a lot of new listings included in the ASX300.


ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

This morning 18 October, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus Group (AVN AU)</a> announced they had entered into a Binding Scheme Implementation Deed for HDS to acquire AVN through a Scheme of Arrangement. This will create a combined portfolio of A$4.1bn and a combined market cap of A$3.2bn on a pro-forma basis. Terms are that AVN security-holders will receive 2.2 HDN securities AND either A$0.285/unit of cash or 0.038 HMC securities (either or, not a combination). HDN is contributing 93% of the total consideration paid to AVN holders. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-consortium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29082:1" rel="noopener">Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU)</a> is contributing the other 7%, which will lower HMC's ownership of HDN post-merger. The consideration results in a premium of 15.3% from the Friday close, a 16.4% premium to one-month VWAP, and a 41.9% premium to 30 June 2021. There is ~4% accretion involved for security-holders of both sides assuming the cash option is take-up.Both HDN and AVN boards unanimously recommend/support the deal (AVN in the absence of a superior proposal) and AVN shareholders and directors representing 29.3% of AVN voting rights (22.6% by BBRC Retail and 6.7% by the AVN Board) have agreed to vote for the Scheme. Separately, HMC has done a deal to buy a 6% stake in AVN directly from BBRC at a cash amount equal to the Offer Price. That will leave the HMC holding at 13.5% post-merger.HDN is the smaller of the two and existing AVN shareholders will end up with nearly 57% of the total NEWCO HDN shares out after the deal (AVN minorities will have 47.1% while after selling 6% to HMC, BBRC will have 10.1%). HMC will have 13.5% of the post-merger business. Importantly, the entire management team of AVN is expected to join HMC, and the CEO and CFO of AVN will become CEO and CFO, respectively, of HDN MergeCo.The Scheme Booklet will be out in about two months, the Scheme meeting executed in late January 2022, and implementation will be mid-February under the proposed schedule. This looks like a decent deal, and a done deal.

This morning 18 October, 2021, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) and Aventus Group (AVN AU) announced they had entered into a Binding Scheme Implementation Deed for HDS to acquire AVN through a Scheme of Arrangement. This will create a combined portfolio of A$4.1bn and a combined market cap of A$3.2bn on a pro-forma basis. Terms are that AVN security-holders will receive 2.2 HDN securities AND either A$0.285/unit of cash or 0.038 HMC securities (either or, not a combination). HDN is contributing 93% of the total consideration paid to AVN holders. Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU) is contributing the other 7%, which will lower HMC's ownership of HDN post-merger. The consideration results in a premium of 15.3% from the Friday close, a 16.4% premium to one-month VWAP, and a 41.9% premium to 30 June 2021. There is ~4% accretion involved for security-holders of both sides assuming the cash option is take-up.Both HDN and AVN boards unanimously recommend/support the deal (AVN in the absence of a superior proposal) and AVN shareholders and directors representing 29.3% of AVN voting rights (22.6% by BBRC Retail and 6.7% by the AVN Board) have agreed to vote for the Scheme. Separately, HMC has done a deal to buy a 6% stake in AVN directly from BBRC at a cash amount equal to the Offer Price. That will leave the HMC holding at 13.5% post-merger.HDN is the smaller of the two and existing AVN shareholders will end up with nearly 57% of the total NEWCO HDN shares out after the deal (AVN minorities will have 47.1% while after selling 6% to HMC, BBRC will have 10.1%). HMC will have 13.5% of the post-merger business. Importantly, the entire management team of AVN is expected to join HMC, and the CEO and CFO of AVN will become CEO and CFO, respectively, of HDN MergeCo.The Scheme Booklet will be out in about two months, the Scheme meeting executed in late January 2022, and implementation will be mid-February under the proposed schedule. This looks like a decent deal, and a done deal. 

HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) To Merge with Aventus (AVN AU) In Self-Takeunder

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aventus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25897:1" rel="noopener">Aventus Group (AVN AU)</a> is Australia’s largest fully integrated owner, manager and developer of large format retail centres in Australia. Aventus entered a scheme implementation deed to implement a merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/home-consortium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29082:1" rel="noopener">Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU)</a>. Aventus securityholders will be offered 2.200 HDN units for every 1 unit in Aventus Retail Property Fund (93% of transaction value) and A$0.285 cash or 0.038 HMC securities for every 1 share in Aventus Holdings Limited (7% of transaction value). The implied offer price of A$3.82 per Aventus share is a 15.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$3.31 (15 October). The offer price will not be reduced for any distributions announced by Aventus, HDN and HMC prior to the implementation. Post-merger, Aventus securityholders will own 47.1% of the merged group.The scheme is conditional on AVN securityholder approval by at least 75% of the votes cast and 50% securityholders voting. Brett Blundy Retail Capital (BBRC) and the Aventus Board which represents 22.6% and 6.7% of AVN securities, respectively, intend to vote in favour of the merger. The scheme is also conditional on HDN unitholder approval by at least 50% of votes cast (HMC cannot vote). <div class="content-highlight">We think that recommended offer is attractive both in terms of historical multiples and share prices for Aventus securityholders. The merger is also FFO and NTA accretive to Aventus securityholders. While the merger is FFO accretive, it is NTA dilutive to HDN unitholders. Nevertheless, the strong strategic rationale for the merger should gain support from HDN unitholders. At the last close prices of Aventus and HDN, Aventus’ shares are trading at 3.6% gross spread to the indicative offer.</div>

Aventus Group (AVN AU) is Australia’s largest fully integrated owner, manager and developer of large format retail centres in Australia. Aventus entered a scheme implementation deed to implement a merger with HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) and Home Consortium Ltd (HMC AU). Aventus securityholders will be offered 2.200 HDN units for every 1 unit in Aventus Retail Property Fund (93% of transaction value) and A$0.285 cash or 0.038 HMC securities for every 1 share in Aventus Holdings Limited (7% of transaction value). The implied offer price of A$3.82 per Aventus share is a 15.3% premium to the unaffected price of A$3.31 (15 October). The offer price will not be reduced for any distributions announced by Aventus, HDN and HMC prior to the implementation. Post-merger, Aventus securityholders will own 47.1% of the merged group.The scheme is conditional on AVN securityholder approval by at least 75% of the votes cast and 50% securityholders voting. Brett Blundy Retail Capital (BBRC) and the Aventus Board which represents 22.6% and 6.7% of AVN securities, respectively, intend to vote in favour of the merger. The scheme is also conditional on HDN unitholder approval by at least 50% of votes cast (HMC cannot vote). We think that recommended offer is attractive both in terms of historical multiples and share prices for Aventus securityholders. The merger is also FFO and NTA accretive to Aventus securityholders. While the merger is FFO accretive, it is NTA dilutive to HDN unitholders. Nevertheless, the strong strategic rationale for the merger should gain support from HDN unitholders. At the last close prices of Aventus and HDN, Aventus’ shares are trading at 3.6% gross spread to the indicative offer.

Aventus Recommended Merger with HomeCo Daily Needs REIT

Australia

Aventus Group operates as a real estate company. The Company owns, develops, and manages retail centers. Aventus Group serves customers in Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Aventus Group (AVN AU)

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance

A look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes for the S&P ASX Indices during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HDN/AVN Merger & Potential ASX200 Inclusion in March (Or Earlier)

Aventus shareholders vote on the proposed merger with HDN/HMC on 25 Jan. Approval by AVN shareholders will see a huge increase in shares out on HDN...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

There will be many changes to the ASX100/200/300 indices from now to March due to M&A activity & price moves. Plus a large funding trade following...

Brian Freitas

HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) To Merge with Aventus (AVN AU) In Self-Takeunder

Home Daily Needs is merging with the larger Aventus under the HCM umbrella where AVN execs will take over HDN mgmt. This is OK, and will probably...

Travis Lundy

Aventus Recommended Merger with HomeCo Daily Needs REIT

The offer is attractive in terms of P/NTA and share prices for AVN. The merger is also FFO and NTA accretive to AVN. The strong strategic rationale...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance

A look at the leading candidates who could become Adds/Deletes for the S&P ASX Indices during the March 2022 Rebalance and other potential intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

HDN/AVN Merger & Potential ASX200 Inclusion in March (Or Earlier)

Aventus shareholders vote on the proposed merger with HDN/HMC on 25 Jan. Approval by AVN shareholders will see a huge increase in shares out on HDN...

Brian Freitas

ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

There will be many changes to the ASX100/200/300 indices from now to March due to M&A activity & price moves. Plus a large funding trade following...

Brian Freitas

HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU) To Merge with Aventus (AVN AU) In Self-Takeunder

Home Daily Needs is merging with the larger Aventus under the HCM umbrella where AVN execs will take over HDN mgmt. This is OK, and will probably...

Travis Lundy

Aventus Recommended Merger with HomeCo Daily Needs REIT

The offer is attractive in terms of P/NTA and share prices for AVN. The merger is also FFO and NTA accretive to AVN. The strong strategic rationale...

Arun George

S&P/ASX Indices: Quiddity Leaderboard for March 2022 Rebalance

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March