Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Avery Dennison reported a solid third quarter with earnings up 2% year-over-year, marginally surpassing midpoint expectations.</li><li>The company demonstrated resilience in navigating ongoing trade policy changes by executing strategic operational adjustments and select pricing surcharges to mitigate cost increases.</li><li>Materials Group achieved margin expansion, although modest revenue declines were observed in high-value categories, attributed primarily to inventory management adjustments by some customers.</li></ul>

Avery Dennison reported a solid third quarter with earnings up 2% year-over-year, marginally surpassing midpoint expectations.The company demonstrated resilience in navigating ongoing trade policy changes by executing strategic operational adjustments and select pricing surcharges to mitigate cost increases.Materials Group achieved margin expansion, although modest revenue declines were observed in high-value categories, attributed primarily to inventory management adjustments by some customers.

Inside Avery Dennison’s Transformation: How Cost Cuts & Tech Partnerships Could Fuel Profit Growth!

<ul><li>Avery Dennison Corporation, a global materials science and manufacturing company, reported its second quarter results ending June 28, 2025.</li><li>The company delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.42, aligning with the previous year's results.</li><li>This performance was achieved amid a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by trade policy changes impacting its operations, especially within the apparel and retail sectors.</li></ul>

Avery Dennison Corporation, a global materials science and manufacturing company, reported its second quarter results ending June 28, 2025.The company delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.42, aligning with the previous year's results.This performance was achieved amid a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by trade policy changes impacting its operations, especially within the apparel and retail sectors.

Avery Dennison’s $390 Million Flooring Adhesives Bet: Can It Stick?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early-October we have discussed our expectation for a bear rally, targeting the 200-day MAs on the $IWM and $SPX; targets were hit (within 0.5% of hitting on SPX).</li>
<li>We are now seeing short-term uptrend breaks on the IWM and the DJIA; this is a good time to get defensive and/or take profits, as the 1.5-month rally appears over.</li>
<li>We expect more weakness in the weeks ahead, and we cannot rule out another test of the 2022 lows.</li>
</ul>


Since early-October we have discussed our expectation for a bear rally, targeting the 200-day MAs on the $IWM and $SPX; targets were hit (within 0.5% of hitting on SPX).
We are now seeing short-term uptrend breaks on the IWM and the DJIA; this is a good time to get defensive and/or take profits, as the 1.5-month rally appears over.
We expect more weakness in the weeks ahead, and we cannot rule out another test of the 2022 lows.


Time to Get Defensive After 1.5-Month Uptrend Breaks; High Yield Spreads Widening Much Like Mid-Aug.

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

With U.S. steelmaker stocks having rallied sharply after a painful 2015, shares are now pricing in much better times ahead. Given the impact of skyrocketing steel prices, the perception of improved supply discipline in China, and protectionist trade cases, the consensus narrative now argues that the worst is over. We strongly disagree and see more pain ahead for U.S. steelmakers. Barring a significant improvement in demand, we are hard-pressed to buy into the thesis that elevated steel prices are sustainable. We contend that the peak has already been realized and that prices will move materially lower by the end of 2016. Based on our outlook, every U.S. steelmaker we cover is trading above fair value. In particular, we urge investors to avoid highly leveraged blast furnace operators, as their future cash flows are most sensitive to falling steel prices. We see the most considerable downside for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11502" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11502:1">Ak Steel Holding Corp (AKS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/202" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:202:1">United States Steel Corp (X US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21125" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21125:1">ArcelorMittal (MT NA)</a>.Analyst: Andrew Lane

With U.S. steelmaker stocks having rallied sharply after a painful 2015, shares are now pricing in much better times ahead. Given the impact of skyrocketing steel prices, the perception of improved supply discipline in China, and protectionist trade cases, the consensus narrative now argues that the worst is over. We strongly disagree and see more pain ahead for U.S. steelmakers. Barring a significant improvement in demand, we are hard-pressed to buy into the thesis that elevated steel prices are sustainable. We contend that the peak has already been realized and that prices will move materially lower by the end of 2016. Based on our outlook, every U.S. steelmaker we cover is trading above fair value. In particular, we urge investors to avoid highly leveraged blast furnace operators, as their future cash flows are most sensitive to falling steel prices. We see the most considerable downside for Ak Steel Holding Corp (AKS US), United States Steel Corp (X US), and ArcelorMittal (MT NA).Analyst: Andrew Lane

Avoid the Steel Trap: Fundamentals Indicate Trouble Ahead

United States

Avery Dennison Corporation produces pressure-sensitive materials and a variety of tickets, tags, labels and other converted products. The Company's pressure sensitive products are used in labeling, decorating, and specialty applications. Avery Dennison's non-pressure sensitive products include tickets, tags, RFID inlays, and services for retailers, apparel manufacturers and brand owners.

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Avery Dennison (AVY US)

Inside Avery Dennison’s Transformation: How Cost Cuts & Tech Partnerships Could Fuel Profit Growth!

Avery Dennison reported a solid third quarter with earnings up 2% year-over-year, marginally surpassing midpoint expectations. The company...

Baptista Research

Avery Dennison’s $390 Million Flooring Adhesives Bet: Can It Stick?

Avery Dennison Corporation, a global materials science and manufacturing company, reported its second quarter results ending June 28, 2025. The...

Baptista Research

Time to Get Defensive After 1.5-Month Uptrend Breaks; High Yield Spreads Widening Much Like Mid-Aug.

Our targets for this bear rally have been hit, which were the 200-day MAs on $IWM and $SPX (within 0.5%). Now seeing short-term uptrend breaks on...

Vermilion Research

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel exporters to the US.Steel exports to US...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

Avoid the Steel Trap: Fundamentals Indicate Trouble Ahead

With U.S. steelmaker stocks having rallied sharply after a painful 2015, shares are now pricing in much better times ahead. Given the impact of...

Morningstar, Inc.

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