Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.</li>
<li>Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.</li>
<li>Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.</li>
</ul>


Midway through the 3Q25 result season, eighteen Asian market-sectors have reported consensus EPS estimate upgrades over past one, three and six months. A quarter ago, we identified 11 such sectors.
Eleven of these sectors are from HK/China, Korea and Taiwan. Seven are from ASEAN markets, dominated by Thailand. India and Singapore are conspicuous by their absence.
Among the notable sectors with EPS upgrades, Chinese base metals, HK/Chinese and Korean financials, Chinese pharmaceuticals, Korean and Taiwanese technology, Thai utilities and communication and Philippines transportation stand out.


Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

Equity Bottom-Up

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our focus on earnings delivery continues, this time turning to ASEAN. We screen stocks with consistent EPS estimate upgrades, strong EPS growth forecasts, net debt/equity below 1 and PEG&lt;1.3x.</li>
<li>In the six ASEAN markets, 10 stocks satisfy our criteria - four from Vietnam, two each from Indonesia and Thailand and one each from Singapore and Malaysia.</li>
<li>Nine of the ten stocks appreciated sharply over the past 3 and 6 months. Over the past 12 months 7 stocks appreciated and three declined.</li>
</ul>


Our focus on earnings delivery continues, this time turning to ASEAN. We screen stocks with consistent EPS estimate upgrades, strong EPS growth forecasts, net debt/equity below 1 and PEG&lt;1.3x.
In the six ASEAN markets, 10 stocks satisfy our criteria - four from Vietnam, two each from Indonesia and Thailand and one each from Singapore and Malaysia.
Nine of the ten stocks appreciated sharply over the past 3 and 6 months. Over the past 12 months 7 stocks appreciated and three declined.


Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 22nd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP ALL, Bangkok Dusit, CP ALL, Bangkok Dusit, True.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Aug 22nd. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.4bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP ALL, Bangkok Dusit, CP ALL, Bangkok Dusit, True.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP ALL

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 4th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Dusit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 4th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Dusit.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, there will be 4 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the close on 30 June.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>Positioning appears to be a lot smaller in the adds compared to the deletes. There could be buying in the deletes on a drop in the stock price.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, there will be 4 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the close on 30 June.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
Positioning appears to be a lot smaller in the adds compared to the deletes. There could be buying in the deletes on a drop in the stock price.


SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

Thailand

B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited operates as a renewable energy company. The Company focuses on the development, financing, construction, and operation of green field power plants. B.Grimm Power also renders electricity distribution, operations, and maintenance services. B.Grimm Power serves clients in Asia.

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B Grimm Power (BGRIM TB)

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP ALL

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

There are 4 changes, plus DELTA capping. Impact on the adds is bigger and positioning appears smaller. The deletes are down a lot and there could...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Earnings Estimate Upgrades Climbing, but Slowly and Selectively

​18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Earnings Delivery, Reasonable Valuations, Healthy Balance Sheet - Ten Stocks in ASEAN

​We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Aug 22nd): Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP ALL

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch, True, Siri Prime Office Property Fd, CP...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 4th): Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Ptt, PTT E&P, Bangkok Dusit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SET50 Index Rebalance: Four Changes in Two Weeks; DELTA Capping Too

There are 4 changes, plus DELTA capping. Impact on the adds is bigger and positioning appears smaller. The deletes are down a lot and there could...

Brian Freitas

18 Asian market-sectors now show steady EPS est upgrades. A quarter ago we spotted 11. CN, KR & TW lead the pack. Notable sectors are base metals,...

We identify stocks in ASEAN with consistent EPS est upgrades, strong growth forecasts, low debt/equity, and PEG<1.3x. Ten stocks meet the...