Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chinese self-driving start-up Pony AI has filed for IPO in the US to raise around US$300m and the company has reduced the minimum valuation to $4.0bn from $8.5bn previously.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a> 's core business of self-driving operations is still at very early stages and will spend most of IPO proceeds on large-scale commercialisation of these services.</li>
<li>The autonomous driving market in China is increasingly competitive with competitors such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> ’s Apollo Taxi operating with a large scale posing significant threat to the company.</li>
</ul>


Chinese self-driving start-up Pony AI has filed for IPO in the US to raise around US$300m and the company has reduced the minimum valuation to $4.0bn from $8.5bn previously.

Pony AI (PONY US) 's core business of self-driving operations is still at very early stages and will spend most of IPO proceeds on large-scale commercialisation of these services.
The autonomous driving market in China is increasingly competitive with competitors such as Baidu (9888 HK) ’s Apollo Taxi operating with a large scale posing significant threat to the company.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weride-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39905:1" rel="noopener">WeRide (WRD US)</a> is looking to raise US$119m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>WeRide provides autonomous driving products and services from L2 to L4 of driving automation.</li>
<li>We had looked at the firm’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



WeRide (WRD US) is looking to raise US$119m in its US IPO.
WeRide provides autonomous driving products and services from L2 to L4 of driving automation.
We had looked at the firm’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation.


WeRide IPO - Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment.  Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44035:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (PONY US)</a>, an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, Pony AI was among the first companies in China to obtain licenses to operate fully driverless robotaxis in all four Tier-1 cities in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (1395186D CH)</a> is offering 1.355bn shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$3.73-3.99/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$6.2bn (US$801m).</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors will take up a third of the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.</li>
<li>Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - however, as a stock with Weighted Voting Rights, inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only take place in May.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (1395186D CH) is offering 1.355bn shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$3.73-3.99/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$6.2bn (US$801m).
Cornerstone investors will take up a third of the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.
Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - however, as a stock with Weighted Voting Rights, inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only take place in May.


Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.


Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (9888 HK)

Pony AI IPO: A Bumpy Ride

Chinese self-driving start-up Pony AI has filed for an IPO in the US. Self-driving operations is the company's core business which is still in...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

WeRide IPO - Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment. Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help

WeRide has since relaunched its US$119m US IPO, having pulled it two months ago. Bosch cornered US$100m of the deal, leaving

Clarence Chu

Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

Horizon Robotics priced at the top end of the IPO range. Stock starts trading today and could move higher. With a large chunk of the IPO taken by...

Brian Freitas

Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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Pony AI IPO: A Bumpy Ride

​Chinese self-driving start-up Pony AI has filed for an IPO in the US. Self-driving operations is the company's core business which is still in...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

WeRide IPO - Stiff Competition and Bleak Sentiment. Premium Valuation Doesn’t Help

WeRide has since relaunched its US$119m US IPO, having pulled it two months ago. Bosch cornered US$100m of the deal, leaving

Clarence Chu

Pony AI Pre-IPO - The Negatives - No Signs of Growth, Valuation Has Already Been Cut by 50%+

Pony AI (PONY US), an autonomous mobility solutions provider, is looking to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not...

Sumeet Singh

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

Horizon Robotics priced at the top end of the IPO range. Stock starts trading today and could move higher. With a large chunk of the IPO taken by...

Brian Freitas

Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Chinese self-driving start-up Pony AI has filed for an IPO in the US. Self-driving operations is the company's core business which is still in...