Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET attempted to rebound but encountered selling pressure throughout the day, eventually closing lower.</li><li>The higher high, higher low pattern remains intact as long as the index stays above the uptrend line support at 1,273.</li><li>Therefore, we maintain our “buy on dips” strategy, as the recent pullback has occurred on light volume and movements among bluechip stocks have been mixed.</li></ul>

The SET attempted to rebound but encountered selling pressure throughout the day, eventually closing lower.The higher high, higher low pattern remains intact as long as the index stays above the uptrend line support at 1,273.Therefore, we maintain our “buy on dips” strategy, as the recent pullback has occurred on light volume and movements among bluechip stocks have been mixed.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 3, 2025

<ul><li>The SET fluctuated in a narrow range after the Fed cut rates as expected but signaled uncertainty over future rate reductions.</li><li>The minor pullback does not alter the primary uptrend structure of higher highs and higher lows, as the index is forming a support base around 1,313–1,300.</li><li>We therefore recommend buying on dips, expecting the index to hold above the 1,313–1,300 support zone, with a focus on blue-chip stocks.</li></ul>

The SET fluctuated in a narrow range after the Fed cut rates as expected but signaled uncertainty over future rate reductions.The minor pullback does not alter the primary uptrend structure of higher highs and higher lows, as the index is forming a support base around 1,313–1,300.We therefore recommend buying on dips, expecting the index to hold above the 1,313–1,300 support zone, with a focus on blue-chip stocks.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. October 31, 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With a third of the review period yet to go, we forecast 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>Capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delta-electronics-thailand-pcl-98806732-8ac4-42b2-a565-ba32673d1e5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20912:1" rel="noopener">Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)</a> will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have moved higher and outperformed the index while the forecast deletes have drifted lower over the last 6 months.</li>
</ul>


With a third of the review period yet to go, we forecast 2 changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in December.
Capping changes for Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB) will result in big passive selling in the stock and funding inflows for the other index constituents.
The forecast adds have moved higher and outperformed the index while the forecast deletes have drifted lower over the last 6 months.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in Dec, Big DELTA Capping

<ul><li>The US: US equities advanced (S&amp;P 500 +0.58%, NASDAQ +0.89%) on renewed optimism over US–China trade negotiations, following the White House’s confirmation that President Donald Trump will meet President Xi Jinping on October 30 in a sideline discussion at the APEC Summit in South Korea.</li><li>Oil: Crude oil prices rebounded sharply (WTI +5.43%, Brent +5.62%) after the US imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, two of Russia’s largest oil producers.</li><li>Thailand: Focus today will also be on Thailand’s September international trade report, which is expected to show continued recovery.</li></ul>

The US: US equities advanced (S&amp;P 500 +0.58%, NASDAQ +0.89%) on renewed optimism over US–China trade negotiations, following the White House’s confirmation that President Donald Trump will meet President Xi Jinping on October 30 in a sideline discussion at the APEC Summit in South Korea.Oil: Crude oil prices rebounded sharply (WTI +5.43%, Brent +5.62%) after the US imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, two of Russia’s largest oil producers.Thailand: Focus today will also be on Thailand’s September international trade report, which is expected to show continued recovery.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 24, 2025

<ul><li>The easing tensions helped lift US equities, including a rebound in regional bank stocks (Zions +5.8%, Western Alliance +3.1%) after sharp losses on Thursday.</li><li>We recommend short-term speculative plays in export and industrial estate stocks (DELTA, HANA, KCE, TFG, WHA, AMATA), which should benefit from the improving trade outlook.</li><li>Bank stocks may see increased volatility driven by speculative trading or sell-on-fact activity, which could add short-term pressure to the SET Index.</li></ul>

The easing tensions helped lift US equities, including a rebound in regional bank stocks (Zions +5.8%, Western Alliance +3.1%) after sharp losses on Thursday.We recommend short-term speculative plays in export and industrial estate stocks (DELTA, HANA, KCE, TFG, WHA, AMATA), which should benefit from the improving trade outlook.Bank stocks may see increased volatility driven by speculative trading or sell-on-fact activity, which could add short-term pressure to the SET Index.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 20, 2025

Thailand

Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited operates as an energy company. The Company offers petroleum exploration and production, biomass, crude oil, and solar energy. Bangchak markets its products in Thailand.

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Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB)

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. November 3, 2025

Therefore, we maintain our “buy on dips” strategy, as the recent pullback has occurred on light volume and movements among bluechip stocks have...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. October 31, 2025

The SET fluctuated in a narrow range after the Fed cut rates as expected but signaled uncertainty over future rate reductions.

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in Dec, Big DELTA Capping

There should be 2 constituent changes for the SET50 in Dec. There will also be big selling in DELTA to cap the stock at 10% index weight. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 24, 2025

The SET Index is expected to trade in a sideways-up pattern today, with the resistance at 1,314 and 1,334 points, and support at 1,300 and 1,280...

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. October 20, 2025

The easing tensions helped lift US equities, including a rebound in regional bank stocks (Zions +5.8%, Western Alliance +3.1%) after sharp losses...

Krungthai XSpring

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