Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker (BJC TB)</a> continues to be a close add on liquidity while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> continue to be close deletes.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the halfway mark in the review period, we see 3 potential changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.2-4.5 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 0.9-1.3 days of ADV on the deletions.

Berli Jucker (BJC TB) continues to be a close add on liquidity while Gulf Energy Development (GULF TB) and Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) continue to be close deletes.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.</li>
<li>The 3-month reference period used for average market cap rankings started on 1st March 2024 and as things stand, there could be three ADDs/DELs in June 2024.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed in the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET during the index rebal event in June 2024.
The 3-month reference period used for average market cap rankings started on 1st March 2024 and as things stand, there could be three ADDs/DELs in June 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: Reference Period Begins; Three Changes Likely; Some Trade Ideas

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-dusit-medical-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:875:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB)</a> reported double-digit top and bottomline growth in 4Q23. Growth was attributable to international and Thai non-COVID patient revenues growth.</li>
<li>In 2023, total revenue was THB102B, up 10% YoY, matching the higher end of the guidance range of 9–10%. EBITDA margin of 24.2% remained higher than guidance of 24.0%.</li>
<li>In 2024, BDMS expects healthcare business to grow continuously on the back of secular tailwinds in the healthcare sector in Thailand.</li>
</ul>



Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB) reported double-digit top and bottomline growth in 4Q23. Growth was attributable to international and Thai non-COVID patient revenues growth.
In 2023, total revenue was THB102B, up 10% YoY, matching the higher end of the guidance range of 9–10%. EBITDA margin of 24.2% remained higher than guidance of 24.0%.
In 2024, BDMS expects healthcare business to grow continuously on the back of secular tailwinds in the healthcare sector in Thailand.


Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB): Core Business Drives 4Q23 Result; Outlook Remains Positive

<ul>
<li>Early days, but there could be three changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index</a> at the June rebalance. Two names are reversals of the December changes.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.5-3.6 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 1.1-1.4 days of ADV on the deletions.</li>
<li>There are a couple of stocks that are close to passing/failing the liquidity tests and a couple close to cutoff ranks. That could result in further changes to the index.</li>
</ul>


Early days, but there could be three changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index at the June rebalance. Two names are reversals of the December changes.
Passive trackers will need to buy between 1.5-3.6 days of ADV on the inclusions and sell 1.1-1.4 days of ADV on the deletions.
There are a couple of stocks that are close to passing/failing the liquidity tests and a couple close to cutoff ranks. That could result in further changes to the index.


Thonburi Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thonburi-healthcare-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24386:1" rel="noopener">Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB)</a> has underperformed most of its peers over the last six months. Thus far this year, the company’s financial performance also remained unimpressive.</li>
<li>Despite a healthy 29% YoY increase in normalized medical services revenue, normalized net profit decreased 8% YoY in 3Q23 as the company experienced significantly higher financial costs.</li>
<li>Although the company is repaying debts, debt level is still elevated and is expected to remain so in the near-term due to upcoming capex plans.</li>
</ul>



Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB) has underperformed most of its peers over the last six months. Thus far this year, the company’s financial performance also remained unimpressive.
Despite a healthy 29% YoY increase in normalized medical services revenue, normalized net profit decreased 8% YoY in 3Q23 as the company experienced significantly higher financial costs.
Although the company is repaying debts, debt level is still elevated and is expected to remain so in the near-term due to upcoming capex plans.


Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): High Debt Has Clouded Near-Term Growth Prospect

Thailand

Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited operates a network of private hospitals and polyclinics across Thailand and in the Lao People's Democratic Republic, providing primary to tertiary medical services. These services encompass diagnosis, treatment, prevention, and rehabilitation for various conditions, including heart disease, eye ailments, and cancer. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB)

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 Index in June. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on liquidity and that will need to be...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: Reference Period Begins; Three Changes Likely; Some Trade Ideas

Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB) could outperform Aeon Thana Sinsap Thailand (AEONTS TB) and Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) could outperform IRPC PCL...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB): Core Business Drives 4Q23 Result; Outlook Remains Positive

BDMS sees double-digit growth in 4Q23 driven by international and Thai non-COVID patient revenues. The company is expecting continued growth in...

Tina Banerjee

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 in June. Big moves in liquidity could result in more changes for the index. With the index using full market...

Brian Freitas

Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): High Debt Has Clouded Near-Term Growth Prospect

Thonburi struggled to perform well compared to its peers. Despite 29% YoY increase in normalized medical services revenue, normalized net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 Index in June. There are a few stocks that are close adds/deletes on liquidity and that will need to be...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun 24: Reference Period Begins; Three Changes Likely; Some Trade Ideas

Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB) could outperform Aeon Thana Sinsap Thailand (AEONTS TB) and Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB) could outperform IRPC PCL...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB): Core Business Drives 4Q23 Result; Outlook Remains Positive

​BDMS sees double-digit growth in 4Q23 driven by international and Thai non-COVID patient revenues. The company is expecting continued growth in...

Tina Banerjee

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Three Potential Changes in June

There could be 3 changes for the SET50 in June. Big moves in liquidity could result in more changes for the index. With the index using full market...

Brian Freitas

Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): High Debt Has Clouded Near-Term Growth Prospect

​Thonburi struggled to perform well compared to its peers. Despite 29% YoY increase in normalized medical services revenue, normalized net profit...

Tina Banerjee

BDMS sees double-digit growth in 4Q23 driven by international and Thai non-COVID patient revenues. The company is expecting continued growth in...

Thonburi struggled to perform well compared to its peers. Despite 29% YoY increase in normalized medical services revenue, normalized net profit...