Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Bangkok Chain Hospital / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bangkok-chain-hospital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:882:1" rel="noopener">Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB)</a> recorded 62% YoY decline in revenue from hospital operation, dragged by 39% YoY decline in revenue from general patients (66% of total revenue).</li>
<li>COVID-19 revenue contributed 48% of revenue in 1Q22, thereby creating a high base for 1Q23. Even if we exclude COVID-19 revenue received in 1Q22, 1Q23 revenue was down 28% YoY.</li>
<li>BCH will need time to recover and record growth. Consensus expects BCH to report revenue and EPS decline of 34% and 47%, YoY, respectively in 2023.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q23, Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB) recorded 62% YoY decline in revenue from hospital operation, dragged by 39% YoY decline in revenue from general patients (66% of total revenue).
COVID-19 revenue contributed 48% of revenue in 1Q22, thereby creating a high base for 1Q23. Even if we exclude COVID-19 revenue received in 1Q22, 1Q23 revenue was down 28% YoY.
BCH will need time to recover and record growth. Consensus expects BCH to report revenue and EPS decline of 34% and 47%, YoY, respectively in 2023.


Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB): High COVID-Related Base Effect Impacted 1Q23 Result

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> recorded 48% YoY increase in revenue from hospital operation to THB6 billion in 1Q23, mainly driven by 78% YoY revenue growth from non-Thai patients.</li>
<li>International patients contributed 55% of total revenue in 1Q23. Middle East and Indochina remained the two most important growth drivers, with YoY revenue growth of 147% and 60%, respectively.</li>
<li>The company is constructing a 150-bed boutique hospital in Phuket, one of the world’s most coveted island travel destinations, thereby opening immense opportunity for medical tourism.  </li>
</ul>



Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) recorded 48% YoY increase in revenue from hospital operation to THB6 billion in 1Q23, mainly driven by 78% YoY revenue growth from non-Thai patients.
International patients contributed 55% of total revenue in 1Q23. Middle East and Indochina remained the two most important growth drivers, with YoY revenue growth of 147% and 60%, respectively.
The company is constructing a 150-bed boutique hospital in Phuket, one of the world’s most coveted island travel destinations, thereby opening immense opportunity for medical tourism.  


Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): International Business Is Roaring Back; Greenfield Project Approved

Thonburi Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thonburi-healthcare-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24386:1" rel="noopener">Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB)</a> recorded 23% YoY increase in non-COVID medical services revenue in 1Q23, mainly driven by higher pay per bed and utilization of inpatient division.</li>
<li>With the recovery in core healthcare services, THG expects its revenue to grow 10% YoY this year, accelerating from 6% revenue growth recorded in 2022.</li>
<li>In the next 3 years, THG plans to increase 195 outpatient rooms and 419 beds and is set to spend nearly THB5 billion on capex during 2023–2025.</li>
</ul>



Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB) recorded 23% YoY increase in non-COVID medical services revenue in 1Q23, mainly driven by higher pay per bed and utilization of inpatient division.
With the recovery in core healthcare services, THG expects its revenue to grow 10% YoY this year, accelerating from 6% revenue growth recorded in 2022.
In the next 3 years, THG plans to increase 195 outpatient rooms and 419 beds and is set to spend nearly THB5 billion on capex during 2023–2025.


Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): Improving Core Operation and Future Expansion to Drive Growth

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we forecast two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wha-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:104:1" rel="noopener">WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart PCL (JMART TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngern-tid-lor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31103:1" rel="noopener">Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmt-network-services-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8581:1" rel="noopener">JMT Network Services (JMT TB)</a> is a very close delete on market cap, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a> is a close delete on liquidity. Multiple possibilities here.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we forecast two changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) at the June rebalance.

Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) and WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB) could replace Jaymart PCL (JMART TB) and Ngern Tid Lor (TIDLOR TB).

JMT Network Services (JMT TB) is a very close delete on market cap, while Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB) is a close delete on liquidity. Multiple possibilities here.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes - One High Probability; One Has Possibilities

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

i-Tail Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, raised around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>.</li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and spoken about valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics</li>
</ul>


I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, raised around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB).
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance, undertaken a peer comparison and spoken about valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics


I-Tail Corporation IPO Trading - Should Be Able to Provide Some Holiday Cheer

Thailand

Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited operates a network of private hospitals and polyclinics across Thailand and in the Lao People's Democratic Republic, providing primary to tertiary medical services. These services encompass diagnosis, treatment, prevention, and rehabilitation for various conditions, including heart disease, eye ailments, and cancer. The company was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.

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Bangkok Chain Hospital (BCH TB)

Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB): International Business Is Roaring Back; Greenfield Project Approved

In 1Q23, revenue from non-Thai patients grew 78% YoY and 3% QoQ to contribute 67% of total revenue. Bumrungrad is constructing a 150-bed boutique...

Tina Banerjee

Thonburi Healthcare Group (THG TB): Improving Core Operation and Future Expansion to Drive Growth

THG recorded 23% YoY increase in non-COVID medical services revenue in 1Q23, mainly driven by higher pay per bed and utilization of IPD. During...

Tina Banerjee

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes - One High Probability; One Has Possibilities

There could be 2 changes in June. +TLI/-JMART is the high probability change. +WHA is medium probability. JMT/TIDLOR could be the second delete....

Brian Freitas

I-Tail Corporation IPO Trading - Should Be Able to Provide Some Holiday Cheer

I-Tail, an OEM in the wet pet food category, raised around US$600m in its Thailand IPO. It is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB).

Sumeet Singh

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