Equity Strategy: Short-Term Domestic Growth Challenges in 2Q24 May Drive Further De-Risking
Our FY23 results recap shows market EPS growth of -12% yoy, but growth would reach +4.1% if we exclude one-offs (mainly from GOTO).
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Banks: FY24 Earnings Growth Outlook Still Intact Despite the Tight Liquidity in 1Q24
We expect the pressure on NIM to persist in 1Q24 driven by a higher CoF, arising from lower excess liquidity. We expect the big-4 banks to still...
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Macro and Flows Tracker - The Tipping Point
This is a major week for macro data with expectations of a Fed pause, driven by moderation in the inflation print, rising unemployment, and a surge...
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Macro and Flows Tracker - Liquidity Headwind
Domestically, weaker growth was signalled by the slowing of Money Supply (M2) growth to 5.5% y-o-y in April, the slowest in four years, partly due...
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Macro and Flows Tracker - Positive Market Momentum
While Bank Indonesia's recent meeting highlighted weaker growth signals, stronger expansion of fiscal spending in 2H and election-related funds...
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