External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect BMRI FY26 net profit to rebound by 5.6% yoy to Rp52.3tr from its FY25F low base, driven by higher loan growth and lower opex.</li><li>Wholesale loans will remain the growth engine while intensified competition will pose risk on NIM amid potentially lower CoF.</li><li>\We adjusted our FY25/26F net profit est. by -1.9/+0.2% and maintain Buy rating with a higher GGM-based TP of Rp5,500.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect BMRI FY26 net profit to rebound by 5.6% yoy to Rp52.3tr from its FY25F low base, driven by higher loan growth and lower opex.Wholesale loans will remain the growth engine while intensified competition will pose risk on NIM amid potentially lower CoF.\We adjusted our FY25/26F net profit est. by -1.9/+0.2% and maintain Buy rating with a higher GGM-based TP of Rp5,500.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ) FY26 Outlook: Cautious on NIM Amid Higher Volume...

<ul><li>BMRI booked 3Q25 net profit of Rp13.3tr (+18% qoq, -14% yoy) bringing its 9M25’s NP tp Rp37.7tr (-10% yoy), in line with our and cons. FY25F.</li><li>BMRI is looking at higher loan growth and lower CoF, but remains cautious on the loan yield. One-off opex will remain until FY25F.</li><li>We adjusted our FY25/27F net profit est. by -0.6/-0.2% and maintain Buy rating with an unchanged GGM-based TP of Rp5,000.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BMRI booked 3Q25 net profit of Rp13.3tr (+18% qoq, -14% yoy) bringing its 9M25’s NP tp Rp37.7tr (-10% yoy), in line with our and cons. FY25F.BMRI is looking at higher loan growth and lower CoF, but remains cautious on the loan yield. One-off opex will remain until FY25F.We adjusted our FY25/27F net profit est. by -0.6/-0.2% and maintain Buy rating with an unchanged GGM-based TP of Rp5,000.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ) - Rebounding from 2Q25’s Low Base but Still Pressured by Higher Opex

<ul><li>BMRI reported net profit of Rp11.3tr in 2Q25 (-15% qoq, -19% yoy), bringing its 1H25 NP to Rp24.5tr (-8% yoy), missing our/cons FY25F.</li><li>Mgmt. cut FY25 guidance for loan growth to 8–10%, NIM to 4.8–5.0%, CoC to 0.8–1.0%, while expecting CIR to be at 45%.</li><li>We maintain our Buy rating with a lower TP of Rp5,000 as we cut our FY25/26/27F by 9.9/13.4/10.9%, reflecting lower ROE.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BMRI reported net profit of Rp11.3tr in 2Q25 (-15% qoq, -19% yoy), bringing its 1H25 NP to Rp24.5tr (-8% yoy), missing our/cons FY25F.Mgmt. cut FY25 guidance for loan growth to 8–10%, NIM to 4.8–5.0%, CoC to 0.8–1.0%, while expecting CIR to be at 45%.We maintain our Buy rating with a lower TP of Rp5,000 as we cut our FY25/26/27F by 9.9/13.4/10.9%, reflecting lower ROE.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ Rp 4,380; BUY TP Rp 5,000) 2Q25 Earnings Missed; Profit Hit by One-Off Cost

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.</li>
<li>In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).</li>
<li>Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


JCI closed slightly up (+0.3% w-w) despite correcting from all-time high level during the week.
In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental stocks underperformed (BBCA -3.6% w-w, TLKM -4.1%, BMRI -1.6%).
Within our coverage universe, the Metal sector has regained leadership (+9.5% w-w), following recovery in gold price, followed by Media (+6.2% w-w, led by SCMA) and Tech (+2.0% w-w, led by GOTO); Industrial Estate, Heavy Equipment and Cigarettes underperformed.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>BMRI continues to take loan market share with growth well higher than average, due to its large balance sheet and focus on mining</li>
<li>Despite this, its NPL ratio has been steady for several periods, suggesting good underwriting, loan emphasis</li>
<li>ROA recent peak was 3.14% but the bank is near there now at 2.97%, growing in recent quarters, and likely to continue</li>
</ul>


BMRI continues to take loan market share with growth well higher than average, due to its large balance sheet and focus on mining
Despite this, its NPL ratio has been steady for several periods, suggesting good underwriting, loan emphasis
ROA recent peak was 3.14% but the bank is near there now at 2.97%, growing in recent quarters, and likely to continue


2025 High Conviction - BMRI Strong Loan Growth at 2x Industry, Better Fees and Lower Costs/Assets

Indonesia

PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk is formed by the merger of four state-owned banks, namely Pt Bank Bumi Daya, PT Bank Dagang Negara, PT Bank Ekspor Import Indonesia (Bank Exim), PT Bank Pembangunan Indonesia (Bank Bapindo). The Bank operates in the commercial banking services.

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Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI IJ)

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ) FY26 Outlook: Cautious on NIM Amid Higher Volume...

We expect BMRI FY26 net profit to rebound by 5.6% yoy to Rp52.3tr from its FY25F low base, driven by higher loan growth and lower opex.

BRI Danareksa Research

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ) - Rebounding from 2Q25’s Low Base but Still Pressured by Higher Opex

BMRI booked 3Q25 net profit of Rp13.3tr (+18% qoq, -14% yoy) bringing its 9M25’s NP tp Rp37.7tr (-10% yoy), in line with our and cons. FY25F.

BRI Danareksa Research

Bank Mandiri (BMRI.IJ Rp 4,380; BUY TP Rp 5,000) 2Q25 Earnings Missed; Profit Hit by One-Off Cost

BMRI reported net profit of Rp11.3tr in 2Q25 (-15% qoq, -19% yoy), bringing its 1H25 NP to Rp24.5tr (-8% yoy), missing our/cons FY25F.

BRI Danareksa Research

BRIDS Market Pulse: Chart of the week – JCI vs. LQ45 Forward P/E Band

In terms of performance, however, the market was mainly driven by the conglo names (BUMI +54.6% w-w, BRMS +25.5%, DSSA), while the fundamental...

BRI Danareksa Research

2025 High Conviction - BMRI Strong Loan Growth at 2x Industry, Better Fees and Lower Costs/Assets

BMRI is taking market share of loans, growing strongly, with no worsening in credit metrics. Slightly lower NIM is offset by higher fees, and also...

Daniel Tabbush

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