Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New World Development is now warning of losses from impairments in HK and China</li>
<li>We have already seen this some weeks ago from China Vanke, conditions still weakening</li>
<li>Banks in Hong Kong and China face more bad loans, but also those with exposures in the regions, like HSBC, STAN and Singapore's banks</li>
</ul>


New World Development is now warning of losses from impairments in HK and China
We have already seen this some weeks ago from China Vanke, conditions still weakening
Banks in Hong Kong and China face more bad loans, but also those with exposures in the regions, like HSBC, STAN and Singapore's banks


Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 30th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, BYD, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 30th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent, Alibaba, Xiaomi, BYD, AIA.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 9th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, CSPC Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 9th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC, CSPC Pharma.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 9th): Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC

<ul>
<li>What matters with HSBC results is really not the bottom line, the management view or the constant currency comparatives, but rather the view on specific regions. </li>
<li>Still there is concern HSBC has not yet realized losses on BoCom, it is not marked to market; there will be an impairment of USD1.2-1.6bn from dilution</li>
<li>HK shows credit costs rising from USD233m to USD320m YoY in 1Q25 and UK shows credit costs rising from USD55m to USD169m YoY, both are key to HSBC</li>
</ul>


What matters with HSBC results is really not the bottom line, the management view or the constant currency comparatives, but rather the view on specific regions. 
Still there is concern HSBC has not yet realized losses on BoCom, it is not marked to market; there will be an impairment of USD1.2-1.6bn from dilution
HK shows credit costs rising from USD233m to USD320m YoY in 1Q25 and UK shows credit costs rising from USD55m to USD169m YoY, both are key to HSBC


HSBC - BoCom Losses Not Yet Realized, Credit Metrics in HK and UK Are Worsening

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.</li>
<li>Breadth continues to deteriorate against an increasingly hostile global backdrop.</li>
<li>Both price and implied volatility declined on average, with the typical stock still well below its 52-week high.</li>
</ul>


Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.
Breadth continues to deteriorate against an increasingly hostile global backdrop.
Both price and implied volatility declined on average, with the typical stock still well below its 52-week high.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

China

Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. provides a full range of commercial banking services including RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, discount, currency trading, letter of credit, bank guarantee, and other related services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bank Of Communications Co H (3328 HK)

Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

This is relevant to new insight on HK banks with worsening HFD for LDR and real estate lending growth now at most negative rates in the HKMA...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 9th): Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSBC - BoCom Losses Not Yet Realized, Credit Metrics in HK and UK Are Worsening

HSBC's 1Q25 results data release show that it will book a $1.2-1.6bn impairment on BoComm once govt capital injection is done, and that credit...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...

John Ley

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

This is relevant to new insight on HK banks with worsening HFD for LDR and real estate lending growth now at most negative rates in the HKMA...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 30th): Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Horizon Robotics, CCB, China Mobile, CNOOC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 9th): Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, CCB, Alibaba, Beigene, Tencent, Xiaomi, SMIC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSBC - BoCom Losses Not Yet Realized, Credit Metrics in HK and UK Are Worsening

HSBC's 1Q25 results data release show that it will book a $1.2-1.6bn impairment on BoComm once govt capital injection is done, and that credit...

Daniel Tabbush

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (March 24 – 28): Earnings Wrap as Breadth Deteriorates

​Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...

John Ley

Weekly recap: Option metrics show declining breadth amid global challenges. Prices and implied volatility down, most stocks still well below 52...