CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 72% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 23%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 72% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 23%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 51

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 12th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Airports of Thailand, Plan B Media, Thai Life Insurance, Gulf Energy Development, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 12th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Intouch, Airports of Thailand, Plan B Media, Thai Life Insurance, Gulf Energy Development, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): Intouch, Airports of Thailand, Plan B Media

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Indo Tambangraya Megah / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-tambangraya-megah-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15891:1" rel="noopener">Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ)</a> approved the buyback of 150 mn USD at its EGM on 3rd November, in addition to approving a 50 mn USD dividend payment. </li>
<li>Net cash on the balance sheet was &gt;USD 920 million at the end of 3Q 2025 (representing 58% of the market capitalization), easily enough to complete its capital allocation commitments.</li>
<li>At the cyclical low, the company will still generate free cash flow of 250 million USD in FY25, representing a free cash flow yield of 15%. </li>
</ul>



Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ) approved the buyback of 150 mn USD at its EGM on 3rd November, in addition to approving a 50 mn USD dividend payment. 
Net cash on the balance sheet was &gt;USD 920 million at the end of 3Q 2025 (representing 58% of the market capitalization), easily enough to complete its capital allocation commitments.
At the cyclical low, the company will still generate free cash flow of 250 million USD in FY25, representing a free cash flow yield of 15%. 


Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): Massive ~10% Buyback Approved, Cash 58% of Market Capitalization

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>Although the market lacked supporting catalysts and investors awaited the upcoming Fed meeting — along with a market holiday — the SET still managed to rebound and stay in positive territory throughout the day.</li><li>The index rebounded from the 1,260-point support level, reinforcing the strength of the 1,260–1,250 support zone and signaling potential for a continued move toward the 1,300-point level.</li><li>We expect the index to continue rising, though the upside may remain limited until trading volume becomes more substantial.</li></ul>

Although the market lacked supporting catalysts and investors awaited the upcoming Fed meeting — along with a market holiday — the SET still managed to rebound and stay in positive territory throughout the day.The index rebounded from the 1,260-point support level, reinforcing the strength of the 1,260–1,250 support zone and signaling potential for a continued move toward the 1,300-point level.We expect the index to continue rising, though the upside may remain limited until trading volume becomes more substantial.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. December 11, 2025

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in December 2024.
We see four ADDs/DELs in December 2024. While the expected DELs list remains unchanged since last month, there is a change in our expected ADDs list.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

Thailand

Banpu Public Company Limited mines for coal and other minerals. The Company produces thermal coal and coking coal, and have expertise in open-pit and underground coal mining operations, as well as coal-fired power generation.  Banpu PCL has business bases in Thailand, Laos, Indonesia, China, Australia and Mongolia.

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Banpu (BANPU-R TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 51

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Six stocks remain, eight new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 12th): Intouch, Airports of Thailand, Plan B Media

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Intouch (INTUCH TB), Airports of Thailand (AOT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG IJ): Massive ~10% Buyback Approved, Cash 58% of Market Capitalization

Positive catalyst for ITMG: sizable capital return plan—10% buyback approved over the existing 65% dividend payout. Shares trade at 15% FCF yield;...

Sameer Taneja

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. December 11, 2025

The index rebounded from the 1,260-point support level, reinforcing the strength of the 1,260–1,250 support zone and signaling potential for a...

Krungthai XSpring

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Dec 24: Final Expectations; LONGs up +6% Vs SHORTs in a Month

The expected ADDs have outperformed the expected DELs by 17% on average since 29th November. With the official index changes to be confirmed in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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