Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $<span style="color: #24a9a7;">ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136</span>
</li>
<li>We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.</li>
</ul>


A pullback is finally underway following Trump's Friday tape bomb and the decisive loss of the 20-day MA on the SPX, though $ACWI is testing the 4-month uptrend at $136

We are no longer near-term bullish which had been in place since our April 22 report, but we are still bullish intermediate-term and are buyers on pullbacks.
Short-Term supports to watch on ACWI-US include the 4+ month uptrend (currently at $136), $134-$134.50, $131.50-$132, $130, $128, and $125-$126.


Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EU member states have unanimously backed a Dutch-led proposal to commit tens of billions of euros in future support for the European chip industry, underscoring the sector’s strategic importance.</li>
<li>Outgoing Dutch Economic Affairs Minister Vincent Karremans stressed that continued investment is a “pure necessity” to reduce dependence on the US and China and to safeguard Europe’s economic and geopolitical resilience.</li>
<li>The initiative calls for a follow-up to the 2023 EU Chips Act, which mobilized EUR 43bn for semiconductor R&amp;D, start-ups, and manufacturing capacity.</li>
</ul>


EU member states have unanimously backed a Dutch-led proposal to commit tens of billions of euros in future support for the European chip industry, underscoring the sector’s strategic importance.
Outgoing Dutch Economic Affairs Minister Vincent Karremans stressed that continued investment is a “pure necessity” to reduce dependence on the US and China and to safeguard Europe’s economic and geopolitical resilience.
The initiative calls for a follow-up to the 2023 EU Chips Act, which mobilized EUR 43bn for semiconductor R&amp;D, start-ups, and manufacturing capacity.


<ul><li>In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | expects order intake to increase significantly in 25Q3 • ING | Tanate Phutrakul to step down as CFO at 2026 AGM • KPN | post earnings call comment • RELX Group | another strong half year; solid outlook for 2H25 • Aalberts | lowers FY25 organic revenue growth and EBITA-margin outlook • e-Commerce and Logistics | pressure building on Chinese platforms selling unsafe goods • Consumer confidence | Dutch consumers less negative in July</li></ul>

In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | expects order intake to increase significantly in 25Q3 • ING | Tanate Phutrakul to step down as CFO at 2026 AGM • KPN | post earnings call comment • RELX Group | another strong half year; solid outlook for 2H25 • Aalberts | lowers FY25 organic revenue growth and EBITA-margin outlook • e-Commerce and Logistics | pressure building on Chinese platforms selling unsafe goods • Consumer confidence | Dutch consumers less negative in July

Koninklijke KPN NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | awarded follow-on order for five TCB Next systems • Philips | adjusts FY25 outlook on back of assumed impact of announced tariiffs • PostNL | 1Q25 broadly in line; FCF deviation mainly due to phasing • Triodos Bank | first ruling by Spanish Supreme Court: Triodos not liable</li></ul>

In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | awarded follow-on order for five TCB Next systems • Philips | adjusts FY25 outlook on back of assumed impact of announced tariiffs • PostNL | 1Q25 broadly in line; FCF deviation mainly due to phasing • Triodos Bank | first ruling by Spanish Supreme Court: Triodos not liable

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 6 May (BE Semiconductor Industries | Philips | PostNL | Triodos Bank)

<ul><li>In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake remains depressed • Randstad | modest beat of consensus – valuation at attractive level due to share price decline • Corbion | strongly beating consensus – reiterates FY25 guidance • Corbion | another letter from Inclusive Capital • InPost | signs multi-year contact with Vinted • Just Eat TakeAway.com | reiterates FY25 guidance, expects offer to commence in 2Q25 • PostNL/DHL | DHL deploys first APMs at Praxis DIY stores • Corporate agenda | week 17 - 21</li></ul>

In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake remains depressed • Randstad | modest beat of consensus – valuation at attractive level due to share price decline • Corbion | strongly beating consensus – reiterates FY25 guidance • Corbion | another letter from Inclusive Capital • InPost | signs multi-year contact with Vinted • Just Eat TakeAway.com | reiterates FY25 guidance, expects offer to commence in 2Q25 • PostNL/DHL | DHL deploys first APMs at Praxis DIY stores • Corporate agenda | week 17 - 21

Netherlands

BE Semiconductor Industries N.V. produces integrated semiconductor assembly equipment.  The Company designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and services machines that manufacture semiconductor packages, which provide the connection between the chip and other electronic components and protect the chip.  BE also produces automated molding and plating machines, and manufactures leadframes.

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BE Semiconductor Industries NV (BESI NA)

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI; Supports to Buy

Stick With Global Technology; Pullback Phase Finally Here on $ACWI $SPX Likely in 3%-7% Range; Supports to watch on $ACWI include $136, $134...

Vermilion Research

What's News in Amsterdam

EU member states have unanimously backed a Dutch-led proposal to commit tens of billions of euros in future support for the European chip industry,...

The IDEA!

Koninklijke KPN NV - What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | expects order intake to increase significantly in 25Q3 • ING | Tanate Phutrakul to step down as...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 6 May (BE Semiconductor Industries | Philips | PostNL | Triodos Bank)

In this edition: • BE Semiconductor Industries | awarded follow-on order for five TCB Next systems • Philips | adjusts FY25 outlook on back of...

The IDEA!

Akzo Nobel NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In today's edition: • AkzoNobel | no major surprises, yet slightly improving underlying trends • BE Semiconductor Industries | order intake...

The IDEA!

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