HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Everbright Water / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Weaker 2H22 and FY22 earnings are primarily caused by disruption from the pandemic, and the 18.7% share price retreat since 2022 should have well factored in an unexciting year.</li>
<li>Recovery of construction revenue, rebound in margin, completion of pipeline projects, increase in water tariffs and faster receivable collections are the key positive factors to watch. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-water-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31446:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Water (1857 HK)</a> will generate ROE of 9.8% and 10.3% for FY23 and FY24. Such return profile renders its 3.5x PER and 0.35x P/B for FY23 inexpensive. </li>
</ul>


Weaker 2H22 and FY22 earnings are primarily caused by disruption from the pandemic, and the 18.7% share price retreat since 2022 should have well factored in an unexciting year.
Recovery of construction revenue, rebound in margin, completion of pipeline projects, increase in water tariffs and faster receivable collections are the key positive factors to watch. 

China Everbright Water (1857 HK) will generate ROE of 9.8% and 10.3% for FY23 and FY24. Such return profile renders its 3.5x PER and 0.35x P/B for FY23 inexpensive. 


China Everbright Water (1857 HK): More to Look Forward

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moya-holdings-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2293:1" rel="noopener">Moya Holdings Asia (MHAL SP)</a> received a delisting proposal from Tamaris Infrastructure (a 72.84% shareholder) at S$0.092 per share, a 41.5% premium to the undisturbed price (8 September).</li>
<li>The key condition is shareholder approval. Gateway Partners, which holds a blocking stake, will likely use the offer as an opportunity to exit an underperforming investment.</li>
<li>The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Moya Holdings Asia (MHAL SP) received a delisting proposal from Tamaris Infrastructure (a 72.84% shareholder) at S$0.092 per share, a 41.5% premium to the undisturbed price (8 September).
The key condition is shareholder approval. Gateway Partners, which holds a blocking stake, will likely use the offer as an opportunity to exit an underperforming investment.
The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.


<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>On the ECM front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acommerce-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35789:1" rel="noopener">aCommerce Group (ACOM TB)</a> are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.</li>
<li>On the Event-Driven front, developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-urban-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29131:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
On the ECM front, Thai Life Insurance (124744Z TB) and aCommerce Group (ACOM TB) are premarketing US$1bn and US$200m IPOs. Tianqi Lithium has passed the HKEx listing hearing for US$1-1.5bn raise.
On the Event-Driven front, developments at Link Administration (LNK AU), Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP), Link Net (LINK IJ), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)</a>'s Offer comes at an all-time high price, exceeding the end-2019 price on a dividend-adjusted basis.  This should be done, but it is worth thinking about how.</li>
<li>There is clearly an intentional miscommunication and bad faith posturing by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Admin (LNK AU)</a> has to exit PEXA to appease ACCC. But how badly do D&amp;D want PEXA? Will they walk? Time to look at Link fundamentally.</li>
</ul>



Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)'s Offer comes at an all-time high price, exceeding the end-2019 price on a dividend-adjusted basis.  This should be done, but it is worth thinking about how.
There is clearly an intentional miscommunication and bad faith posturing by Toyo Construction (1890 JP). 

Link Admin (LNK AU) has to exit PEXA to appease ACCC. But how badly do D&amp;D want PEXA? Will they walk? Time to look at Link fundamentally.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Frasers Hospitality, Toyo Construction, Link Admin, Kito Corporation

Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Composite Doc for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-water-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1660:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Water Group (371 HK)</a>'s (BEURG) mandatory general cash for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-urban-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29131:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK)</a> (BEW) has been despatched. </li>
<li>The first close is the 17 June but can be open until the 26 July. BEW has 44.16% in the bag and this requires a 50% hurdle to turn unconditional.</li>
<li>It's an underwhelming Offer yet the IFA considers the terms to be fair and reasonable. But there's probably enough here for the Offer to get up.</li>
</ul>


The Composite Doc for Beijing Enterprises Water Group (371 HK)'s (BEURG) mandatory general cash for Beijing Enterprises Urban Resources (3718 HK) (BEW) has been despatched. 
The first close is the 17 June but can be open until the 26 July. BEW has 44.16% in the bag and this requires a 50% hurdle to turn unconditional.
It's an underwhelming Offer yet the IFA considers the terms to be fair and reasonable. But there's probably enough here for the Offer to get up.


BEURG (3718 HK) Now Open For Acceptances. IFA Says Fair

Hong Kong

Beijing Enterprises Water Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops water treatment systems.  The Group specializes in water services and environmental protection businesses, with waste water treatment as its core business segment.

Beijing Enterprises Water Group (371 HK)

China Everbright Water (1857 HK): More to Look Forward

FY22 is an unexciting year, but there are positive drivers like construction revenue recovery, margin rebound, pipeline project completions, water...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Moya Holding’s S$0.092 Delisting Offer

The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (19 Jun): Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, Thai Life, GOGOX, ResApp

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Frasers Hospitality, Link Admin, Link Net, ResApp, BEUR, Hwa Hong, Cocoaland, MyDeal.com)...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Frasers Hospitality, Toyo Construction, Link Admin, Kito Corporation

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

BEURG (3718 HK) Now Open For Acceptances. IFA Says Fair

Trading around 2.5%/34.2% gross/annualised - including the HK$0.03/share final dividend - assuming this turns unconditional on the first close. ...

David Blennerhassett