Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Multiple new agencies have been reporting that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. </li>
<li>The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.</li>
</ul>


Multiple new agencies have been reporting that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. 
The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.
In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.


Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Kuaishou Technology / Forensic Accounting

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> is a video creation and streaming mobile application that has a huge userbase in Mainland China.  For the 3 months ended 31 March 2021, its Monthly Active Users (MAU), Daily Active Users (DAU) and Average Daily Time Spent per User totalled 520 million, 295 million and 99.3 minutes respectively, mainly derived from Mainland China. 
While its valuation has retreated to more reasonable levels in recent months, there are still considerable uncertainties about its revenue and profitability prospects, particularly in the wake of tightening regulations in Mainland China and execution difficulties in overseas expansion.
Further, Kuaishou's catchup story to Bytedance is not playing out as expected due to user growth underperformance and average user time spent peaking in Q1 2021.  We discuss some of the underlying issues in the following sections and highlight key factors to watch in its upcoming Q2 2021 results release (expected on 23 August 2021).

Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) is a video creation and streaming mobile application that has a huge userbase in Mainland China.  For the 3 months ended 31 March 2021, its Monthly Active Users (MAU), Daily Active Users (DAU) and Average Daily Time Spent per User totalled 520 million, 295 million and 99.3 minutes respectively, mainly derived from Mainland China. 
While its valuation has retreated to more reasonable levels in recent months, there are still considerable uncertainties about its revenue and profitability prospects, particularly in the wake of tightening regulations in Mainland China and execution difficulties in overseas expansion.
Further, Kuaishou's catchup story to Bytedance is not playing out as expected due to user growth underperformance and average user time spent peaking in Q1 2021.  We discuss some of the underlying issues in the following sections and highlight key factors to watch in its upcoming Q2 2021 results release (expected on 23 August 2021). 

Kuaishou - Q2 2021 Preview Through a Forensic Lens

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income 1.13%/35.0%/52.2% vs. our estimation.</li>
<li>The bottom-line beats were primarily due to reduced S&amp;M costs related to effective user retention strategies and the operation of the newly constructed data centre in Ulanqab...</li>
<li>We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to HK$78 for a positive outlook in the e-commerce business and viral playlets, stimulating advertising growth...</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported revenue/non-GAAP operating profit/GAAP net income 1.13%/35.0%/52.2% vs. our estimation.
The bottom-line beats were primarily due to reduced S&amp;M costs related to effective user retention strategies and the operation of the newly constructed data centre in Ulanqab...
We maintain our BUY rating and raised TP to HK$78 for a positive outlook in the e-commerce business and viral playlets, stimulating advertising growth...


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou’s 3Q2023 earnings beat consensus estimates with significant improvement to the company’s profitability driven by growth across all business segments.</li>
<li>Operating losses of the overseas segment has further reduced, and new offerings such as paid mini dramas have been driving strong growth for the company.</li>
<li>Though Kuaishou’s share price has moved up during the last few months, valuation multiples are at a steep discount to historical multiples, suggesting there is further upside.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou’s 3Q2023 earnings beat consensus estimates with significant improvement to the company’s profitability driven by growth across all business segments.
Operating losses of the overseas segment has further reduced, and new offerings such as paid mini dramas have been driving strong growth for the company.
Though Kuaishou’s share price has moved up during the last few months, valuation multiples are at a steep discount to historical multiples, suggesting there is further upside.


Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Total revenue grew by 21% YoY in 3Q23, as both advertising and e-commerce expanded strongly.</li>
<li>KS achieved historical high operating margin and operating profit, as the company continue to cut all operating expenses.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 63% and a price target of HK$95. Buy.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue grew by 21% YoY in 3Q23, as both advertising and e-commerce expanded strongly.
KS achieved historical high operating margin and operating profit, as the company continue to cut all operating expenses.
We believe the stock has an upside of 63% and a price target of HK$95. Buy.


KS (Kuaishou 1024 HK): 3Q23, High Growth and Higher Margin

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou - Q2 2021 Preview Through a Forensic Lens

Kuaishou's revenue and profitability prospects remain uncertain, particularly in the wake of stricter regulations and overseas expansion hurdles....

Jason Yap, CFA

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

KS (Kuaishou 1024 HK): 3Q23, High Growth and Higher Margin

Total revenue grew by 21% YoY in 3Q23, as advertising and e-commerce expanded strongly. KS achieved historical high operating margin and operating...

Ming Lu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

Kuaishou - Q2 2021 Preview Through a Forensic Lens

Kuaishou's revenue and profitability prospects remain uncertain, particularly in the wake of stricter regulations and overseas expansion hurdles....

Jason Yap, CFA

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$78) TP Change]: Refined Operation Supports Sustainable Growth

​Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kuaishou: Strong Earnings With Further Improvement in Profitability

​Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

KS (Kuaishou 1024 HK): 3Q23, High Growth and Higher Margin

Total revenue grew by 21% YoY in 3Q23, as advertising and e-commerce expanded strongly. KS achieved historical high operating margin and operating...

Ming Lu

Kuaishou beats revenue and profit estimates, thanks to lower costs and new data center. Positive outlook for e-commerce and advertising growth....

Kuaishou's 3Q2023 earnings show increased profitability and growth across all segments. The company's share price has risen, but valuation...