Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility is currently cheap, trading in its 14th percentile, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> approaches its twelve-months high.</li>
<li>
Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: A pronounced skew smile and a relatively flat term structure make spreads and calendar / diagonal spreads attractive strategies.</li>
<li>
Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity can be found in the monthly May expiry and the Quarterly expiries. The historically low implied volatility facilitates longer term positions.</li>
</ul>



Implied Volatility Trends: One-month implied volatility is currently cheap, trading in its 14th percentile, while Tencent (700 HK) approaches its twelve-months high.

Skew and Term Structure Dynamics: A pronounced skew smile and a relatively flat term structure make spreads and calendar / diagonal spreads attractive strategies.

Open Interest Distribution: Liquidity can be found in the monthly May expiry and the Quarterly expiries. The historically low implied volatility facilitates longer term positions.


Tencent (700 HK): Strategies to Navigate Low Volatility and A Flat Term Structure

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Calendar and Diagonal Spreads make up a quarter of all strategies. Several examples are presented incorporating upfront cost, upfront credit, or zero-cost combinations. </li>
<li>While there is a bias towards bullish strategies, 26% of all strategies express a market-neutral view in the form of Straddles, Strangles, Butterflies or Condors.</li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Tencent (700 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Calendar and Diagonal Spreads make up a quarter of all strategies. Several examples are presented incorporating upfront cost, upfront credit, or zero-cost combinations. 
While there is a bias towards bullish strategies, 26% of all strategies express a market-neutral view in the form of Straddles, Strangles, Butterflies or Condors.


Tencent (700 HK): Strategic Insights and Top Trades from HKEX Options Trading

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK), AIA (1299 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Bilibili (9626 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 23rd): Tencent, Bilibili, AIA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China announced game approval for the May batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.</li>
<li>The pace of China's game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.</li>
<li>Of the companies that we are monitoring, none of them got approval for domestic games but a handful approvals of imported games save their day.</li>
</ul>


China announced game approval for the May batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
The pace of China's game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
Of the companies that we are monitoring, none of them got approval for domestic games but a handful approvals of imported games save their day.


Tencent/Netease: None Gets Approvals for Domestic Games

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Eastroc Beverage Group   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eastroc-beverage-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34882:1" rel="noopener">Eastroc Beverage Group (605499 CH)</a> (EB), a China-based functional beverage company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), EB has been the largest functional beverage company in China in terms of sales volume for four consecutive years since 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Eastroc Beverage Group (605499 CH) (EB), a China-based functional beverage company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing.
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), EB has been the largest functional beverage company in China in terms of sales volume for four consecutive years since 2021.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Eastroc Beverage A/H Listing - Energized - Fast Growth, Better Margins

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Tencent (700 HK): Strategies to Navigate Low Volatility and A Flat Term Structure

Tencent is approaching its 12-month high and implied volatility is cheap. The skew smile and flattish term structure make spreads attractive.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Strategic Insights and Top Trades from HKEX Options Trading

Tencent's multi-leg option strategies feature a mix of bullish, bearish and market-neutral approaches, including Calendar and Diagonal Spreads....

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 23rd): Tencent, Bilibili, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: None Gets Approvals for Domestic Games

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of May. Game approvals for large players are slow so far...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Eastroc Beverage A/H Listing - Energized - Fast Growth, Better Margins

Eastroc Beverage Group (605499 CH) (EB), a China-based functional beverage company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Tencent (700 HK): Strategies to Navigate Low Volatility and A Flat Term Structure

Tencent is approaching its 12-month high and implied volatility is cheap. The skew smile and flattish term structure make spreads attractive.

Gaudenz Schneider

Tencent (700 HK): Strategic Insights and Top Trades from HKEX Options Trading

​Tencent's multi-leg option strategies feature a mix of bullish, bearish and market-neutral approaches, including Calendar and Diagonal Spreads....

Gaudenz Schneider

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 23rd): Tencent, Bilibili, AIA

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent/Netease: None Gets Approvals for Domestic Games

We analyzed the game approval issued by NPPA for Chinese online game players for the month of May. Game approvals for large players are slow so far...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Eastroc Beverage A/H Listing - Energized - Fast Growth, Better Margins

Eastroc Beverage Group (605499 CH) (EB), a China-based functional beverage company, aims to raise around US$1bn in its H-share listing. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Tencent's multi-leg option strategies feature a mix of bullish, bearish and market-neutral approaches, including Calendar and Diagonal Spreads....