External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of private investment.</li><li>Also, despite limited scope, it may leave some space for hot money into new residential projects and M&amp;A deals especially when the sales are recovering now and trust loans are back.</li><li>This is in line with our previous report that the policy will remain supportive.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of private investment.Also, despite limited scope, it may leave some space for hot money into new residential projects and M&amp;A deals especially when the sales are recovering now and trust loans are back.This is in line with our previous report that the policy will remain supportive.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Mildly positive for CSRC’s pilot private investment scheme in real estate

<ul><li>According to 100NJZ’s channel check among 12220 projects, the work resumption rate was only 11% on the 10th day of CNY vs. 17% in 2022.</li><li>It is mainly dragged by property constructions (infra relatively better), in line with weak sales in Jan by major developers (-22% YoY).</li><li>By regions, South China saw most drop in constructions, due to tight cash flow by developers and governments while Southwest is better off on active fund inflow. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

According to 100NJZ’s channel check among 12220 projects, the work resumption rate was only 11% on the 10th day of CNY vs. 17% in 2022.It is mainly dragged by property constructions (infra relatively better), in line with weak sales in Jan by major developers (-22% YoY).By regions, South China saw most drop in constructions, due to tight cash flow by developers and governments while Southwest is better off on active fund inflow. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property+ Weekly: Weak Construction Resumption Rate Dragged by Property

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.</li><li>4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.</li><li>Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.4Q is unlikely to be a big surprise as property and its supply chain (20-30% of GDP) will still be the major drag that could neutralize the still resilient auto and gradually recovering consumption.Together with more market volatility from pandemic and CPC meeting, we recommend investors to avoid one-sided long or short, but focus on pair trade opportunities to play the difference of BtoC over BtoB as BtoB is more vulnerable in terms of bad debts and pricing power than BtoC amid weak macro.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

China

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China Property Sector – Mildly positive for CSRC’s pilot private investment scheme in real estate

We expect property + sector to react positively on CSRC’s pilot scheme since it may accelerate home delivery and social housing with the help of...

CMB International

Property+ Weekly: Weak Construction Resumption Rate Dragged by Property

According to 100NJZ’s channel check among 12220 projects, the work resumption rate was only 11% on the 10th day of CNY vs. 17% in 2022.

CMB International

Cross sector report – Post-Golden Week: More positive on BToC recovery potential; Cautious on BToB

Golden week data missed market’s already low expectation for all three major categories - property sales, domestic tourism spending and auto sales.

CMB International