HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The recent rally in TCM sector is mainly driven by new favorable policies, but it may not be sustainable. It could also squeeze out the development space of innovative drugs. </li>
<li>The concerns on TCM mainly include limited medical insurance fund, VBP on TCM, difficulties in internationalization, unclear adverse reactions and contradiction with ESG investment philosophy.</li>
<li>In China, it's not wise to go against policy.Therefore, a smart play in the short term is to “follow the policy”.We analyzed different TCM varieties to identify good investment opportunities.</li>
</ul>


The recent rally in TCM sector is mainly driven by new favorable policies, but it may not be sustainable. It could also squeeze out the development space of innovative drugs. 
The concerns on TCM mainly include limited medical insurance fund, VBP on TCM, difficulties in internationalization, unclear adverse reactions and contradiction with ESG investment philosophy.
In China, it's not wise to go against policy.Therefore, a smart play in the short term is to “follow the policy”.We analyzed different TCM varieties to identify good investment opportunities.


The Concerns and Outlook About the Recent Rally in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Sector

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-baiyunshan-pharmaceutical-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:276:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874 HK)</a>, mainly relying on Wang Lao Ji and Jin Ge for performance contribution, is relatively weak in risk resistance compared with other biopharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>With the promotion of medical reform policies such as VBP, Baiyunshan’s weaknesses of R&amp;D and innovation that support the business transition would be more prominent.</li>
<li>Baiyunshan may lack the core competitiveness for future development. Therefore, we are conservative about its outlook, but investors could still trade this stock when the whole TCM sector moves up.</li>
</ul>



Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874 HK), mainly relying on Wang Lao Ji and Jin Ge for performance contribution, is relatively weak in risk resistance compared with other biopharmaceutical companies.
With the promotion of medical reform policies such as VBP, Baiyunshan’s weaknesses of R&amp;D and innovation that support the business transition would be more prominent.
Baiyunshan may lack the core competitiveness for future development. Therefore, we are conservative about its outlook, but investors could still trade this stock when the whole TCM sector moves up.


Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874.HK) - Conservative About the Outlook

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

The share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhangzhou-pientzehuang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15709:1" rel="noopener">Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436 CH)</a> has been on a roller coaster this year. After hitting a record high of RMB491.88/share in July, the stock price once fell to RMB318.56/share in September, down over 35%. After that, it rebounded and closed at RMB434.99/share by the end of October 22, 2021. On the other hand, Pien Tze Huang released its 2021Q3 financial results. In the first three quarters, the revenue was RMB6.112 billion, up 20.55% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB2.011 billion, up 51.36%. The highlight was the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, which reached RMB891 million in Q3 single quarter, up 92.51% YoY. The results beat the market expectations. This insight mainly analyzed the 2021Q3 results and the concerns of the Company.

The share price of Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436 CH) has been on a roller coaster this year. After hitting a record high of RMB491.88/share in July, the stock price once fell to RMB318.56/share in September, down over 35%. After that, it rebounded and closed at RMB434.99/share by the end of October 22, 2021. On the other hand, Pien Tze Huang released its 2021Q3 financial results. In the first three quarters, the revenue was RMB6.112 billion, up 20.55% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB2.011 billion, up 51.36%. The highlight was the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses, which reached RMB891 million in Q3 single quarter, up 92.51% YoY. The results beat the market expectations. This insight mainly analyzed the 2021Q3 results and the concerns of the Company.

Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436.CH) 2021Q3 - Concerns Behind The  "Double Top Secret"

Equity Capital Markets

In recent years, the national policy has provided great support for the development of private healthcare providers. Meanwhile, due to the consumption upgrade, residents have raised their requirements on the level of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), leading to a growing demand for middle and high-end services from providers. Therefore, some private healthcare providers have developed rapidly by taking advantage of the large market demand and favorable policy support, and are heading for IPO. On June 10, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gushengtang-cayman-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33503:1" rel="noopener">Gushengtang (GUS HK), </a>a leading neo-TCM healthcare provider, formally submitted its application for listing on the main board of the HKEX. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business and the concerns of the Company.

In recent years, the national policy has provided great support for the development of private healthcare providers. Meanwhile, due to the consumption upgrade, residents have raised their requirements on the level of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), leading to a growing demand for middle and high-end services from providers. Therefore, some private healthcare providers have developed rapidly by taking advantage of the large market demand and favorable policy support, and are heading for IPO. On June 10, Gushengtang (GUS HK), a leading neo-TCM healthcare provider, formally submitted its application for listing on the main board of the HKEX. This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO Gushengtang - Optimistic About Future Development

Chengdu Quanyuantang Pharmacy Chain / Equity Capital Markets

Since the beginning of 2021, the boom of pharmaceutical e-commerce seems to be continuing. Some leading online pharmacies/retail pharmacies are heading for IPOs. On June 9th, 2021, the leading omni-channel smart retail pharmacy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chengdu-quanyuantang-pharmacy-chain-joint-stock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33478:1" rel="noopener">Chengdu Quanyuantang Pharmacy Chain (QPC HK)</a> submitted the listing application to the HKEX. As a representative of the innovative retail pharmacy in recent years, Quanyuantang held its ground under the "stress test" in the pandemic this year. Also because Quanyuantang is among the first batch of market participants launching online retail pharmacies in China, the news of its IPO caught the market's attention. So, how about this Company? This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, and the concerns of Quanyuantang.

Since the beginning of 2021, the boom of pharmaceutical e-commerce seems to be continuing. Some leading online pharmacies/retail pharmacies are heading for IPOs. On June 9th, 2021, the leading omni-channel smart retail pharmacy Chengdu Quanyuantang Pharmacy Chain (QPC HK) submitted the listing application to the HKEX. As a representative of the innovative retail pharmacy in recent years, Quanyuantang held its ground under the "stress test" in the pandemic this year. Also because Quanyuantang is among the first batch of market participants launching online retail pharmacies in China, the news of its IPO caught the market's attention. So, how about this Company? This insight mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, and the concerns of Quanyuantang. 

Pre-IPO Quanyuantang Pharmacy Chain - Can Quanyuantang Find Its Own Place in the Fierce Competition?

China

Beijing Tongrentang Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets Chinese traditional medicines and medicinal wines.  The Company also operates pharmaceutical retail businesses and provides consulting services.

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Beijing Tongrentang Co A (600085 CH)

The Concerns and Outlook About the Recent Rally in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) Sector

The insight mainly analyzed the logic behind the recent rally in TCM sector, the policy impact, the concerns on limited resources, VBP,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874.HK) - Conservative About the Outlook

This insight analyzed Baiyunshan’s 2021Q3 performance, the core business segments, the comparison with peers, the concerns on business transition,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (600436.CH) 2021Q3 - Concerns Behind The "Double Top Secret"

The article mainly analyzed Zhangzhou Pien Tze Huang Pharmaceutical in terms of its 2021Q3 results and the concerns on medical efficacy, collection...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Gushengtang - Optimistic About Future Development

This article mainly analyzed Gushengtang in terms of the industry characteristics, the business model, the comparison with peers, the potential...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Quanyuantang Pharmacy Chain - Can Quanyuantang Find Its Own Place in the Fierce Competition?

This article mainly analyzed Quanyuantang in terms of the industry characteristics, the business, the comparison with peers, the concerns and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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52-week Range

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