IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a> has rejected a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-fields-ltd-434088e3-4626-4b0b-a6ec-acfc202c86d8" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28563:1" rel="noopener">Gold Fields (GFI US)</a>. The offer is A$2.27 plus value per share of Gold Road’s shareholding in De Grey.</li>
<li>The Board has rejected the offer mainly due to opportunistic timing and no value attributed to the potential underground expansion of the Gruyere mine (Gold Road/Gold Fields are JV partners).</li>
<li>The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. </li>
</ul>



Gold Road Resources (GOR AU) has rejected a non-binding proposal from Gold Fields (GFI US). The offer is A$2.27 plus value per share of Gold Road’s shareholding in De Grey.
The Board has rejected the offer mainly due to opportunistic timing and no value attributed to the potential underground expansion of the Gruyere mine (Gold Road/Gold Fields are JV partners).
The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. 


Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)

<ul>
<li>On 17 March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spartan-resources-ltd-australi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1818:1" rel="noopener">Spartan Resources (SPR AU)</a> entered a binding scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramelius-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5968:1" rel="noopener">Ramelius Resources (RMS AU)</a>. Spartan shareholders will receive A$0.25 cash + 0.6957 RMS shares per SPR share. </li>
<li>The scheme vote is low risk as Ramelius has secured irrevocable commitments from Tembo Capital, 1832 Asset Management, and Fourth Sail Capital (18.89% of outstanding shares). </li>
<li>The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. The scheme meeting is targeted for mid-July. </li>
</ul>


On 17 March, Spartan Resources (SPR AU) entered a binding scheme with Ramelius Resources (RMS AU). Spartan shareholders will receive A$0.25 cash + 0.6957 RMS shares per SPR share. 
The scheme vote is low risk as Ramelius has secured irrevocable commitments from Tembo Capital, 1832 Asset Management, and Fourth Sail Capital (18.89% of outstanding shares). 
The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. The scheme meeting is targeted for mid-July. 


Spartan Resources (SPR AU): Ramelius Resources (RMS AU) Attractive Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a> entered a binding scheme with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a> at 0.119 NST shares per DEG share, implying A$2.08, a 37.1% premium to the undisturbed price. </li>
<li>The scheme is conditional on DEG shareholder approval. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>, the largest shareholder, potentially holds a blocking stake and has not provided an irrevocable. </li>
<li>The offer is susceptible to a competing offer as it is all-scrip and unremarkable vs peer multiples. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barrick-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21023:1" rel="noopener">Barrick Gold (GOLD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agnico-eagle-mines-ltd-8b0f0329-d882-44b2-8bfc-7fe3a15f96b4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38576:1" rel="noopener">Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM US)</a> are potential suitors.</li>
</ul>



De Grey Mining (DEG AU) entered a binding scheme with Northern Star Resources (NST AU) at 0.119 NST shares per DEG share, implying A$2.08, a 37.1% premium to the undisturbed price. 
The scheme is conditional on DEG shareholder approval. Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), the largest shareholder, potentially holds a blocking stake and has not provided an irrevocable. 
The offer is susceptible to a competing offer as it is all-scrip and unremarkable vs peer multiples. Barrick Gold (GOLD US) and Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM US) are potential suitors.


De Grey Mining (DEG AU): Northern Star (NST AU)’s All-Scrip Offer Could Draw Out Competing Suitors

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 18th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD26.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Australia And New Zealand Banking, Evolution Mining, BHP, Webjet.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 18th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD26.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Australia And New Zealand Banking, Evolution Mining, BHP, Webjet.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Fortescue, Australia And New Zealand Banking, Evolution Mining

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Bellevue is raising capital through a placement and share purchase plan at a discount to the last close</li><li>The purpose of the capital raise is to pay off debt and fund future growth, with operational pressure and hedges in place</li><li>The company is shifting to a long-term growth story, with guidance for increased production and costs going forward</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Bellevue is raising capital through a placement and share purchase plan at a discount to the last closeThe purpose of the capital raise is to pay off debt and fund future growth, with operational pressure and hedges in placeThe company is shifting to a long-term growth story, with guidance for increased production and costs going forwardThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Australia

Bellevue Gold Limited operates as a mining company. The Company engages in the exploration and development of gold mines. Bellevue Gold serves customers in Australia.

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Bellevue Gold (BGL AU)

Gold Road (GOR AU): Rejects an NBIO from Gold Fields (GFI US)

The proposal is a logical consolidation to eliminate dis-synergies. The offer, while not a knockout bid, is reasonable. The offer disclosure will...

Arun George

Spartan Resources (SPR AU): Ramelius Resources (RMS AU) Attractive Offer

The offer is attractive compared to peer multiples, precedent transactions and historical trading ranges. The scheme meeting is targeted for mid-July.

Arun George

De Grey Mining (DEG AU): Northern Star (NST AU)’s All-Scrip Offer Could Draw Out Competing Suitors

The offer is susceptible to a competing offer as it is all-scrip and unremarkable vs peer resource/reserve multiples. Barrick Gold and Agnico Eagle...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 18th): Fortescue, Australia And New Zealand Banking, Evolution Mining

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Fortescue, Australia And New Zealand Banking,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CONFIRMED: Bellevue raising

Bellevue is raising capital through a placement and share purchase plan at a discount to the last close. The purpose of the capital raise is to pay...

Money of Mine

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