Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

In a surprise move, the Central bank (RBI) today maintained the policy rate at the current level of 6.25% but changed the monetary policy stance to neutral. The 6 member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) was unanimous in its decision to hold rates. The consensus was again caught on the wrong foot as majority expected a rate cut. Key rationale behind the move has been the adoption of 4% inflation target for the next financial year (ending March 2018). Even as current CPI inflation at 3.4% is well…

In a surprise move, the Central bank (RBI) today maintained the policy rate at the current level of 6.25% but changed the monetary policy stance to neutral. The 6 member Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) was unanimous in its decision to hold rates. The consensus was again caught on the wrong foot as majority expected a rate cut. Key rationale behind the move has been the adoption of 4% inflation target for the next financial year (ending March 2018). Even as current CPI inflation at 3.4% is well…

RBI Spoils the Bond Market Party - Prices Unlikely to Scale the Peaks Seen After Demonetization

The Government presented a fiscally sound budget and avoided any major steps to boost expenditure and mitigate the shock of demonetization. Catching the street by a little surprise, the government stuck to the Fiscal responsibility act and reduced the fiscal deficit target for the year ending March'18 to 3.2% of GDP (vs 3.5% in March'17).  Relief has been provided on the personal income side to low and middle-income earners (people with salaries in Rs 0.25m-0.5m range) where the tax has been…

The Government presented a fiscally sound budget and avoided any major steps to boost expenditure and mitigate the shock of demonetization. Catching the street by a little surprise, the government stuck to the Fiscal responsibility act and reduced the fiscal deficit target for the year ending March'18 to 3.2% of GDP (vs 3.5% in March'17).  Relief has been provided on the personal income side to low and middle-income earners (people with salaries in Rs 0.25m-0.5m range) where the tax has been…

Budget a Non-Event as Govt Plays Safe; Falling Yields to Shift Asset Allocation to Equities

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.</li>
<li>However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.</li>
<li>That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…</li>
</ul>


The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to lag given that backdrop.
However, it has delivered a mediocre longer term return relative to the investor hype generated - the Sensex has seen only a 4.9% annualized return over the past five years and 2.7% over the past decade in USD.
That partly reflects the INR falling by a third since late 2011, underperforming even the commodity exposed IDR and MYR…


Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods &amp; Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper House of Parliament today. The Bill had been stalled in Upper House for over a year due to which the GST implementation got considerably delayed. GST reform is definitely a landmark legislation in Indian tax reform process that started with liberalisation in 1991 and is expected to benefit the economy (expected positive impact between 1-1.5% of GDP over…

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

India

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

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Berger Paints India (BRGR IN)

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

RBI Spoils the Bond Market Party - Prices Unlikely to Scale the Peaks Seen After Demonetization

In a surprise move, the Central bank (RBI) today maintained the policy rate at the current level of 6.25% but changed the monetary policy stance to...

Asia Advisors

Budget a Non-Event as Govt Plays Safe; Falling Yields to Shift Asset Allocation to Equities

The Government presented a fiscally sound budget and avoided any major steps to boost expenditure and mitigate the shock of demonetization....

Asia Advisors

Still Too Many Stale Bulls on India, as Structural Risks Deepen - 11th Jan 2017

The value vs. momentum factor divergence was 17 percentage points in EM last year - India as a highly-rated, defensive market was always likely to...

Sean Maher

Landmark GST Legislation (India): Upper House Finally Approves; Next Steps & Impact (Inflationary??)

The Indian government has cleared a key step in the implementation of Goods & Services tax (GST) as it ensured acceptance of GST bill by Upper...

Asia Advisors

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