Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition of 148,400 jobs in the first five months of 2016. Over the past 3 months (April-June 2016), job gains have averaged 147,000 per month. The payrolls number for May 2016 was revised down from 38,000 to 11,000 and the number for April 2016 was revised up from 123,000 to 144,000.The unemployment rate increased to 4.9% in June 2016, up from 4.7% in May…

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I see as continued coming compliance feeding frenzy, and which may lead to another major hurdle/headache for investors/bank account holders and global banks (not all bad, but confusing and execution issues). As a result of my initial discussion, I followed up with other bank and company managers as well as a private bank executive representing overseas…

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I see as continued coming compliance feeding frenzy, and which may lead to another major hurdle/headache for investors/bank account holders and global banks (not all bad, but confusing and execution issues). As a result of my initial discussion, I followed up with other bank and company managers as well as a private bank executive representing overseas…

CRS/AEOI: The Next FATCA …And Which May Affect Even More Asia Accounts

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

With global capital flows in real estate at historical highs, property investors need to pay greater attention to currency dynamics across the world, even if their performance is measured on local currency basis. We have updated our currency impact tables post-Brexit for USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP and CNY. We make a simple assumption that a property investor uses his/her domestic 'investor' currency to buy assets in 'investment' currency at a spot rate on a given start date and then repatriates…

With global capital flows in real estate at historical highs, property investors need to pay greater attention to currency dynamics across the world, even if their performance is measured on local currency basis. We have updated our currency impact tables post-Brexit for USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP and CNY. We make a simple assumption that a property investor uses his/her domestic 'investor' currency to buy assets in 'investment' currency at a spot rate on a given start date and then repatriates…

Post-Brexit Currency Impact Tables - For International Property Investors

United States

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company owning subsidiaries in a variety of business sectors.  The Company's principal operations are insurance business conducted nationwide on a primary basis and worldwide on a reinsurance basis. Berkshire's other operations include a railway company, a specialty chemical company, and an international association of diversified businesses.

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Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)

US: Non-Farm Payrolls Surge, Beating Market Expectations

Non-farm payroll employment came in much higher than market expectations with 287,000 jobs being added in June 2016 compared to an average addition...

Rajan Govil

Brexit; Unintended Consequences

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some...

John-Paul Smith

CRS/AEOI: The Next FATCA …And Which May Affect Even More Asia Accounts

I recently sat down for a catch up with a finance friend running a CFO type role in a major company. Some points he noted on banks led to what I...

Charles De Trenck

The Path to No Brexit

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some...

Emad Mostaque

Post-Brexit Currency Impact Tables - For International Property Investors

With global capital flows in real estate at historical highs, property investors need to pay greater attention to currency dynamics across the...

Robert Ciemniak

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